2020 Poll Hype Thread

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

So 10 PM pacific & 1 AM eastern?

Here's what the last Texas Tribune poll had back in October

Biden       23%
Warren     18%
Beto         14%
Sanders    12%
Buttigieg     6%
Harris         5%
Yang           4%
Klobuchar    2%
Castro         2%

I'm gonna predict Bloomberg on top or within the margin of error. He's gotta be doing great somewhere with how his national numbers have been moving.

One slight caveat is they like to poll over a week. That poll was done between October 18 - 27 and released a week later

[Xing]

https://twitter.com/evanasmith/status/1228095868429049856

Close 3-way race between Biden, Sanders, and Bloomberg?

[2016]

https://twitter.com/evanasmith/status/1228095868429049856

Of the two big States that are voting on Super Tuesday Texas was considered the more favorable State to Joe Biden compared to California.

Conventional wisdom said Texas would go to Biden while California would go to Sanders.

I'm curious if that still holds!

[UWS]

The last poll in Nevada was published more than a month ago and was showing a tight race between Biden and Sanders. As we are now approaching the Nevada Democratic caucuses, when do you think will they finally give us new polls in order for us to have an idea of where is it trending?

[2016]

New South Carolina Winthrop Poll coming out next week (either 17 or 18)
https://twitter.com/HuffmonPolitics/status/1228024042843770886

[Tender Branson]

Only 80.000 out of 620.000 Democrats will caucus.

That makes it quite difficult for pollsters to produce credible numbers.

They don’t want to end up as a laughingstock, so most are probably skipping this contest.

[GeorgiaModerate]

New South Carolina Winthrop Poll coming out next week (either 17 or 18)
https://twitter.com/HuffmonPolitics/status/1228024042843770886

WHAT!?  How dare he put his students ahead of getting poll information out?

(Joking, in case that's not obvious.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie is gonna win, NV. With Steyer surging in polls in SC, Bloomberg is probably gonna be the nominee, but dont count out Bernie

[Oryxslayer]

Only 80.000 out of 620.000 Democrats will caucus.

That makes it quite difficult for pollsters to produce credible numbers.

They don’t want to end up as a laughingstock, so most are probably skipping this contest.

Throw on the additional difficulties of polling Nevada, both linguistically and structurally, and you have a recipe for a state nobody wants to touch. Even Ralston, the usual Nevada political expert doesn't want to poll it. Some will probably try, but I wonder if they will be accurate.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Is Bloomberg going to get a chance to get his last qualifying national poll for the Nevada debate?

[atheist4thecause]

Is Bloomberg going to get a chance to get his last qualifying national poll for the Nevada debate?

I'm not sure. Does Bloomberg even want to be in a debate where he has to stand up and defend his record or would he rather just flood the airwaves where other candidates can't respond as easily? Would he accept an invitation to the debate?

[Ljube]

Is Bloomberg going to get a chance to get his last qualifying national poll for the Nevada debate?

I'm not sure. Does Bloomberg even want to be in a debate where he has to stand up and defend his record or would he rather just flood the airwaves where other candidates can't respond as easily? Would he accept an invitation to the debate?

Bloomberg doesn't want to be in any debate, but he most certainly doesn't want to be in this particular Nevada debate while there are so many candidates left.
He is a poor debater and he would be overwhelmed in a debate with 5-7 participants.
Plus he would be attacked by everybody and he would have to spend almost all of his time defending, which is bad for any candidate.

[2016]

No new Polls will be apparently released on any of the Sunday Talk Shows! Meh!!!!

[ElectionsGuy]

No new Polls will be apparently released on any of the Sunday Talk Shows! Meh!!!!

At this point, a conspiracy of qualifying pollsters withholding the release of national polls to prevent Bloomberg from debating sounds somewhat plausible. There are only three days left!

[bilaps]

I was expecting FOX NEWS polls from NV and SC, they have polled it when there was no importance and teased those Steyer numbers. And now week from the caucus nothing.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

No new Polls will be apparently released on any of the Sunday Talk Shows! Meh!!!!

At this point, a conspiracy of qualifying pollsters withholding the release of national polls to prevent Bloomberg from debating sounds somewhat plausible. There are only three days left!

If Bloomberg wanted to debate, he could simply finance some polls for the media.

I don't think he does particularly want to debate though, because he would be attacked and not be particularly good at defending himself. Better from his perspective to just run more ads instead, because he controls the content of his ads.

[Gass3268]

No new Polls will be apparently released on any of the Sunday Talk Shows! Meh!!!!

At this point, a conspiracy of qualifying pollsters withholding the release of national polls to prevent Bloomberg from debating sounds somewhat plausible. There are only three days left!

If Bloomberg wanted to debate, he could simply finance some polls for the media.

I don't think he does particularly want to debate though, because he would be attacked and not be particularly good at defending himself. Better from his perspective to just run more ads instead, because he controls the content of his ads.

My guess is that even if he got invited, he would skip them.

[2016]

Given that we have President's Day I don't expect any new Polls to be released TODAY.

[UWS]

I guess there will be at least a poll after the next Democratic debate on February 19.

[2016]

I guess there will be at least a poll after the next Democratic debate on February 19.

Maybe, maybe not. We'll see!

[Mr. Morden]

Given that we have President's Day I don't expect any new Polls to be released TODAY.

I just looked up President's Day from four years ago, and on that day, we got 3 different South Carolina polls:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229372.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229389.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229390.0

[Tender Branson]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1229449777676460032

[2016]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1229449777676460032

Who the heck needs a VA Poll? We need SC & NV!

[Eraserhead]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1229449777676460032

Who the heck needs a VA Poll? We need SC & NV!

I mean VA votes a couple of days after SC, it wouldn't be the worst thing to get some kind of poll from there.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1229449777676460032

Who the heck needs a VA Poll? We need SC & NV!

I mean VA votes a couple of days after SC, it wouldn't be the worst thing to get some kind of poll from there.

We need polls from basically every Super Tuesday state other than California and Texas, and we could even use more of those.