2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 186724 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #575 on: April 26, 2020, 09:29:27 PM »
Baldwin/Wallace OH poll coming the morn of April 27.
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Pollster
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« Reply #576 on: May 04, 2020, 05:32:01 PM »
Progress Campaign teasing a Georgia poll for May 18
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #577 on: May 05, 2020, 08:39:08 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #578 on: May 10, 2020, 07:36:23 PM »
We're getting polls of Erie County and Lackawanna County PA this week which is fun
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #579 on: May 11, 2020, 10:41:45 AM »
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #580 on: May 11, 2020, 11:17:48 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 11, 2020, 10:41:45 AM


By „California“, I hope they mean the special election tomorrow ...

Why would they poll the general election there ?

My guesses:

OH: Biden+1
TX: Trump+2
CA: Biden+30
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #581 on: May 11, 2020, 01:21:10 PM »
Emerson is good only for a few laughs. I wonder if they will find zero undecideds again.
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Gracile
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« Reply #582 on: May 11, 2020, 01:53:07 PM »
Marquette has a poll coming out tomorrow:
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #583 on: May 11, 2020, 01:55:41 PM »
Prediction- Biden +1
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #584 on: May 11, 2020, 02:17:56 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on May 11, 2020, 01:21:10 PM
Emerson is good only for a few laughs. I wonder if they will find zero undecideds again.

Emerson is weird b/c sometimes they are completely ridiculous and sometimes they actually are pretty good
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #585 on: May 19, 2020, 03:28:20 AM »

Their Twitter account claims they have finished the survey but have also delayed its release by up to a week while they are vetted by 538.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #586 on: May 19, 2020, 11:14:15 AM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 19, 2020, 03:28:20 AM

Their Twitter account claims they have finished the survey but have also delayed its release by up to a week while they are vetted by 538.

Actually, that's good. There keeps being rumors about them being fake, so I'd like to see 538 weigh in once and for all.

There should also be a Civiqs/DailyKos poll of Georgia out today
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #587 on: May 20, 2020, 09:25:01 AM »
Feel like we should be getting FOX, ABC/Wapo, CBS, and NBC/WSJ sometime this week/week-end. It's been a while since most of those came out with their last poll.
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Jopow
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« Reply #588 on: May 26, 2020, 10:06:43 AM »
I have a poll: I cannot post links yet because I am new, so go to the allcounted website and search in the survey search bar "2020 Election Poll". Thank you! Results will be counted if we get enough people to make an accurate count.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #589 on: May 26, 2020, 01:05:58 PM »
Quote from: Jopow on May 26, 2020, 10:06:43 AM
I have a poll: I cannot post links yet because I am new, so go to the allcounted website and search in the survey search bar "2020 Election Poll". Thank you! Results will be counted if we get enough people to make an accurate count.

I finished your survey.

I entered Boulder, CO as my location - even though I'm from Austria.
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Jopow
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« Reply #590 on: May 26, 2020, 01:37:41 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 26, 2020, 01:05:58 PM
Quote from: Jopow on May 26, 2020, 10:06:43 AM
I have a poll: I cannot post links yet because I am new, so go to the allcounted website and search in the survey search bar "2020 Election Poll". Thank you! Results will be counted if we get enough people to make an accurate count.

I finished your survey.

I entered Boulder, CO as my location - even though I'm from Austria.
Okay, thats fine, thank you!
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #591 on: May 29, 2020, 06:44:09 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 19, 2020, 11:14:15 AM
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 19, 2020, 03:28:20 AM

Their Twitter account claims they have finished the survey but have also delayed its release by up to a week while they are vetted by 538.

Actually, that's good. There keeps being rumors about them being fake, so I'd like to see 538 weigh in once and for all.

There should also be a Civiqs/DailyKos poll of Georgia out today

There's been no word from 538 but they continue to insist they're being vetted, though they've given no updated timescale and it's been well over a week:

https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1266046600478167041

More likely than not to be a fraud at this point, I suspect.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #592 on: May 29, 2020, 06:48:08 AM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 29, 2020, 06:44:09 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 19, 2020, 11:14:15 AM
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 19, 2020, 03:28:20 AM

Their Twitter account claims they have finished the survey but have also delayed its release by up to a week while they are vetted by 538.

Actually, that's good. There keeps being rumors about them being fake, so I'd like to see 538 weigh in once and for all.

There should also be a Civiqs/DailyKos poll of Georgia out today

There's been no word from 538 but they continue to insist they're being vetted, though they've given no updated timescale and it's been well over a week:

https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1266046600478167041

More likely than not to be a fraud at this point, I suspect.

It's weird, b/c they're releasing a ton of data, like the VP maps and stuff. It just seems like a lot of work to make all that sh**t up, ya know? But it's weird that 538 or anyone else hasn't commented on if their legit or not.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #593 on: May 29, 2020, 07:08:29 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 29, 2020, 06:48:08 AM
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 29, 2020, 06:44:09 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 19, 2020, 11:14:15 AM
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on May 19, 2020, 03:28:20 AM

Their Twitter account claims they have finished the survey but have also delayed its release by up to a week while they are vetted by 538.

Actually, that's good. There keeps being rumors about them being fake, so I'd like to see 538 weigh in once and for all.

There should also be a Civiqs/DailyKos poll of Georgia out today

There's been no word from 538 but they continue to insist they're being vetted, though they've given no updated timescale and it's been well over a week:

https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1266046600478167041

More likely than not to be a fraud at this point, I suspect.

It's weird, b/c they're releasing a ton of data, like the VP maps and stuff. It just seems like a lot of work to make all that sh**t up, ya know? But it's weird that 538 or anyone else hasn't commented on if their legit or not.

I agree. It's possible they fiddled some numbers in their early stages and regret it (they list some of their earlier surveys as "non-scientific"), but it might also be an elaborate PredictIt scam (they wouldn't be the first to try this) or a group that manufactures data for political ends (Warren lobbying, perhaps?). @baseballot (Nathaniel Rakich) wrote a tweet seeming to imply that their data might have been fake, but never explicitly called them out on it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #594 on: May 30, 2020, 04:03:34 PM »
We are FINALLY getting a new ABC/Wapo poll tonight at midnight. The last ABC/Wapo poll was in late March, and had Biden +2 (49-47)

Suspect we may get a new NBC/WSJ one, since it's been about a month and a half since their last new one.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #595 on: June 02, 2020, 06:23:42 PM »


Guessing Biden +10
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #596 on: June 02, 2020, 06:26:48 PM »
They've already released half of the poll, and it has Trump's approval falling from 43-51 to 42-54, so Biden's lead will probably increase slightly from the last poll (which was +9).

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_060220/
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Gracile
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« Reply #597 on: June 03, 2020, 10:24:53 AM »
Texas Quinnipiac Poll is incoming today:
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #598 on: June 03, 2020, 10:25:39 AM »
Quote from: Chancellor Gracile on June 03, 2020, 10:24:53 AM
Texas Quinnipiac Poll is incoming today:



49-45 Trump !
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #599 on: June 03, 2020, 10:27:46 AM »
Quote from: Chancellor Gracile on June 03, 2020, 10:24:53 AM
Texas Quinnipiac Poll is incoming today:



I'm gonna be bold and say 48-47 Biden
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