2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Politician]

Housley OUT for MN-Sen.

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2019/07/02/this-is-the-right-decision-karin-housley-wont-seek-2020-rematch-with-sen-tina-smith/

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Housley OUT for MN-Sen.

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2019/07/02/this-is-the-right-decision-karin-housley-wont-seek-2020-rematch-with-sen-tina-smith/

A friend has been telling me that Jason Lewis is probably going to go for it lol.

[smoltchanov]

Housley OUT for MN-Sen.

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2019/07/02/this-is-the-right-decision-karin-housley-wont-seek-2020-rematch-with-sen-tina-smith/

A friend has been telling me that Jason Lewis is probably going to go for it lol.

The better for Smith. An opponent of only slightly above Roy Moore level, and this is still Minnesota, not Alabama.

[S019]

Housley OUT for MN-Sen.

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2019/07/02/this-is-the-right-decision-karin-housley-wont-seek-2020-rematch-with-sen-tina-smith/

A friend has been telling me that Jason Lewis is probably going to go for it lol.

The better for Smith. An opponent of only slightly above Roy Moore level, and this is still Minnesota, not Alabama.

This

Lewis is going to lose

He loses by 5-10 is my guess

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Housley OUT for MN-Sen.

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2019/07/02/this-is-the-right-decision-karin-housley-wont-seek-2020-rematch-with-sen-tina-smith/

A friend has been telling me that Jason Lewis is probably going to go for it lol.

The better for Smith. An opponent of only slightly above Roy Moore level, and this is still Minnesota, not Alabama.

This

Lewis is going to lose

He loses by 5-10 is my guess

52-46 Smith imo against Lewis. Similar margin, maybe a little slimmer against Lindell, that guy is no bueno either, and Wardlow loses by 7-8.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1146455000115240960

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1146455000115240960

Pathetic. Emily's list is for women... except if they are progressive justice dems who don't bow down to corporatists. Screw them

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1146455000115240960

So EMILY's List is essentially going to guarantee Cuellar another term instead of backing the candidate who is already challenging him (even though she is a pro-choice woman)?

Such a terrible organization. They only care about backing establishment-friendly candidates who can bring in the most $$$.

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA-07 now has 13 candidates (8 R, 5 D) to replace Rep. Rob Woodall.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

Moody probably would have lost it if rcv was hypothetically done, I mean besides run for senate, there's no other mistake he has made.

[Politician]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

If this is true, this race will move to Lean D with Brakey.

[Gracile]

IA-01: Ashley Hinson (R) has raised $335k in Q2 (or in the six weeks since she launched)

https://twitter.com/hinsonashley/status/1146423103741997056

Also, DailyKos has been keeping track of Q2 fundraising totals. Here is their latest -

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1146523533557809154

[Politician]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

Greg Abbott won TX-7 and TX-32 so they're tossups.
John Cox won CA-39, CA-45 and CA-48 so they're tossups.

[Gracile]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

Greg Abbott won TX-7 and TX-32 so they're tossups.
John Cox won CA-39, CA-45 and CA-48 so they're tossups.

Gubernatorial election results are not great indicators for how a district will vote at the federal level.

[Politician]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

Greg Abbott won TX-7 and TX-32 so they're tossups.
John Cox won CA-39, CA-45 and CA-48 so they're tossups.

Gubernatorial election results are not great indicators for how a district will vote at the federal level.

I was mocking Progress96's notion that ME-2 is Safe R because Moody carried it with a plurality.

[Gracile]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.

Greg Abbott won TX-7 and TX-32 so they're tossups.
John Cox won CA-39, CA-45 and CA-48 so they're tossups.

Gubernatorial election results are not great indicators for how a district will vote at the federal level.

I was mocking Progress96's notion that ME-2 is Safe R because Moody carried it with a plurality.

Sorry, I misunderstood your post.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1146283535784927237

Could Dems manage to beat their total after the 2006 and 2008 landslides, after 2020? I do remember Dems picked up around 32 seats in 2006 and 22 or so in 2008. It was 257-178 after 2008.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So, Ashley Hinson used an outdated Cook PVI map. My guess is it's from the early stages of the 2018 midterms.

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans blowing ME-02 might be the least surprising news ever, Golden was smart to pass on the Senate race and run for reelection. As for McSally, the only question is whether she loses in 2020 or 2022 (she’s already a substantial underdog in 2020 if you ask me, but even if she somehow survives 2020, she’s 100% gone in another Trump midterm).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McSally is gone and so is CO, then you have Gross, Grissom and Cunningham  trying to dispatch the GOP.

If Dems do well in the South in 2019, those southern seats can be gone too in the Senate. Dems are leading by 11 on Generic Ballot 48-39.


Greenfield and Hegar and MT-Sen have D+ recruits. Gideon can dispatch Collins and give Dems 51 without Veep

[Oryxslayer]

Allen West decides that he wants to run to chair the Texas Republicans. This is only notable because he passed on a what would have been a weird TX-32 run.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Allen West decides that he wants to run to chair the Texas Republicans. This is only notable because he passed on a what would have been a weird TX-32 run.

I guess having a war criminal leading the party will stop the Republicans bleeding among educated suburbanites.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Allen West decides that he wants to run to chair the Texas Republicans. This is only notable because he passed on a what would have been a weird TX-32 run.

Lmao nooooo! I wanted to see that you know what run and get absolutely decimated by Allred!