Rate NC-02 for 2020
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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
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Poll
Question: Which party will win North Carolina's 2nd congressional district in 2020?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D/Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R/Tossup		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 27

Author Topic: Rate NC-02 for 2020  (Read 378 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

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« on: October 11, 2019, 01:34:33 PM »
This district has a PVI of R+7. It is currently represented by Republican George Holding. 63% of this district is urban, while 37% is rural. It voted for Trump by 9.6% in 2016.

Recent Results
2018: R +5.5%
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2019, 01:40:12 PM »
Somewhere between Lean and Likely R. I think this is actually the most likely Republican-held seat in NC to flip, but it's still a very tough lift for Democrats. The only way this seat could become truly competitive is if it gets remapped in 2020.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09

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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2019, 07:19:37 PM »
The state courts have to decide on whether the congressional map will be redrawn, but on the current lines I'd say Likely R for now.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2019, 07:57:11 AM »
Likely R.
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