2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 04:01:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 48 49 50 51 52 [53] 54 55 56 57 58 ... 80
Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 170524 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1300 on: July 01, 2019, 04:40:00 PM »
Quote from: gracile on July 01, 2019, 10:04:09 AM
VA-10: Jennifer Wexton raised over $500k in the second quarter



What a waste. Wexton winning in 2020 will happen regardless of how much people donate to her.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,761


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1301 on: July 01, 2019, 04:45:14 PM »
RRH is insane if they think South Dakota is the Safest Senate race in the entire Country.

West Virginia, Oklahoma, Wyoming, Idaho, Nebraska, and Arkansas are all safer for Republicans, while Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Delaware, Illinois, and Oregon are all safer for Democrats.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1302 on: July 01, 2019, 04:45:59 PM »
Quote from: #Kavanaugh For Prison on July 01, 2019, 04:45:14 PM
RRH is insane if they think South Dakota is the Safest Senate race in the entire Country.

Yeah it is Wyoming or WV.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1303 on: July 01, 2019, 04:46:18 PM »
Have to imagine that Wexton has desires of a future Senate or Governor run.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,622


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1304 on: July 01, 2019, 05:42:27 PM »
Its not the greatest but its only been like 70 days and it is more than O'Rourke did in the same period.



A solid start.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1305 on: July 01, 2019, 06:23:10 PM »
Quote from: #Kavanaugh For Prison on July 01, 2019, 04:45:14 PM
RRH is insane if they think South Dakota is the Safest Senate race in the entire Country.

West Virginia, Oklahoma, Wyoming, Idaho, Nebraska, and Arkansas are all safer for Republicans, while Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Delaware, Illinois, and Oregon are all safer for Democrats.
My rankings would be:
1. Alabama Likely R
2. Colorado Lean D
3. Arizona Tossup
4. North Carolina Tossup
5. Maine Lean R
6. Michigan Lean D
7. Georgia Lean R
8. Iowa Lean R
9. New Hampshire Likely D
10. Texas Likely R
11. Alaska Likely R
12. Minnesota Likely D
13. Montana Likely R
14. Kansas Likely R
15. South Carolina Safe R
16. Mississippi Safe R
17. Virginia Safe D
18. Kentucky Safe R
19. New Mexico Safe D
20. Nebraska Safe R
21. Louisiana Safe R
---Dividing line for races that have a chance of flipping below 0.1%
22. New Jersey Safe D
23. Illinois Safe D
24. Oregon Safe D
25. West Virginia Safe R
26. Delaware Safe D
27. Tennessee Safe R
28. Rhode Island Safe D
29. Arkansas Safe R
30. Idaho Safe R
31. South Dakota Safe R
32. Massachusetts Safe D
33. Wyoming Safe R
34. Oklahoma Safe R
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,061


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1306 on: July 01, 2019, 06:52:05 PM »
MI-11: Rep. Haley Stevens (D) raised $725k (!) in Q2 and has over $1M in cash-on-hand
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,049
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1307 on: July 01, 2019, 06:56:55 PM »
Quote from: gracile on July 01, 2019, 06:52:05 PM
MI-11: Rep. Haley Stevens (D) raised $725k (!) in Q2 and has over $1M in cash-on-hand



Likely D
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,622


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1308 on: July 01, 2019, 09:33:02 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 01, 2019, 09:32:27 PM


Already posted above.
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,833
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1309 on: July 01, 2019, 10:38:21 PM »
Quote from: Elliot County Populist on July 01, 2019, 05:42:27 PM
Its not the greatest but its only been like 70 days and it is more than O'Rourke did in the same period.



A solid start.

Nice!
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,049
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1310 on: July 01, 2019, 10:44:56 PM »
Kim Olson (TX-24) raised $300K according to her social media.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1311 on: July 02, 2019, 12:43:10 AM »
« Edited: July 02, 2019, 12:47:12 AM by Interlocutor »
Quote from: Muh trends on July 01, 2019, 08:16:47 AM
NRCC internal: Malinowski TRAILS generic R, 44-42.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

But Atlas told me this district was Safe D because of muh sububran trends and muh "swung towards Menendez"!

Atlas says a lot of things.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,078
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1312 on: July 02, 2019, 04:08:16 AM »
Beto would win this race, I have my doubts on Greenfield,  Tomlinson and Hegar. Now, that Dems can win Senate with KS being in play
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,061


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1313 on: July 02, 2019, 09:24:08 AM »
CA-25: Rep. Katie Hill (D) raised $720k in Q2
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1314 on: July 02, 2019, 10:17:36 AM »
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1315 on: July 02, 2019, 10:21:31 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 02, 2019, 10:17:36 AM


D+ tier candidate but very impressive haul, this will be a close race.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1316 on: July 02, 2019, 02:49:43 PM »
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1317 on: July 02, 2019, 04:20:13 PM »
My lord!
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,061


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1318 on: July 02, 2019, 04:24:24 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 02, 2019, 04:20:13 PM
My lord!



I think Kelly is probably the favorite at this point.
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,412
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1319 on: July 02, 2019, 04:54:39 PM »
Quote from: gracile on July 02, 2019, 04:24:24 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 02, 2019, 04:20:13 PM
My lord!



I think Kelly is probably the favorite at this point.

I'd expect Trump and McSally to carry AZ in a close national environment, if it becomes significantly Democratic, like D+4-6 or more, then Kelly probably wins
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,049
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1320 on: July 02, 2019, 05:21:03 PM »
I have a feeling the Arizona senate race might not end up as close as everyone is expecting.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,061


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1321 on: July 02, 2019, 05:28:43 PM »
Quote from: Councilor Suburban New Jersey Conservative on July 02, 2019, 04:54:39 PM
Quote from: gracile on July 02, 2019, 04:24:24 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 02, 2019, 04:20:13 PM
My lord!



I think Kelly is probably the favorite at this point.

I'd expect Trump and McSally to carry AZ in a close national environment, if it becomes significantly Democratic, like D+4-6 or more, then Kelly probably wins

I think it would be lower than that given the way AZ is trending.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,574
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1322 on: July 02, 2019, 08:47:43 PM »
McSally only raised $1.8 million
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,049
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1323 on: July 02, 2019, 09:23:44 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 02, 2019, 08:47:43 PM
McSally only raised $1.8 million



Uh oh...
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,020
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1324 on: July 03, 2019, 02:32:17 AM »
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 48 49 50 51 52 [53] 54 55 56 57 58 ... 80  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.067 seconds with 11 queries.