2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Politician]

NRCC internal: Malinowski TRAILS generic R, 44-42.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

But Atlas told me this district was Safe D because of muh sububran trends and muh "swung towards Menendez"!

[wesmoorenerd]

NRCC internal: Malinowski TRAILS generic R, 44-42.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

Lol sure.

Malinowski is probably the most vulnerable Clinton district Democrat, but he's still inherently pretty safe. Likely D.

[wesmoorenerd]

Oldish news, but two strong Democratic candidates that deserve a mention...

Babylon Councilwoman and retired Army lieutenant colonel Jackie Gordon is IN for NY-02. She's probably the strongest candidate Pete King has faced in quite a while, but she still faces an uphill battle against the entrenched incumbent. However, King is getting up there in years, and it's entirely possible he retires - not to mention his campaigning and fundraising has gotten sloppy as of late. I'd rate this one as Likely R for now, but this could definitely get more competitive.

Businessman Phil Arballo is IN for CA-22. He faces some primary opposition, but it's not looking particularly strong, and he got the endorsement of 2018 nominee Andrew Janz. Democrats would really love to knock off Devin Nunes, so I imagine he'll get substantial fundraising. Another Likely R race.

[wesmoorenerd]

Further Dem House recruitment news:

State Rep. Donald Valdez is IN for CO-03. He's a great candidate: reputation as a maverick and strong on local issues. He's going up against 2018 candidate Diane Mitsch Bush in the primary, although I think he has a better shot in the GE. Likely R, but Valdez is another stellar recruit.

This one's hot off the presses: it looks Nikki Foster just filed for OH-01. Air Force veteran and another strong recruit. She's going to face some primary opposition, but she'd be a stronger candidate than Pureval in the general. Lean R and a top ten target.

[ON Progressive]

NRCC internal: Malinowski TRAILS generic R, 44-42.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

But Atlas told me this district was Safe D because of muh sububran trends and muh "swung towards Menendez"!

Imagine believing that an NRCC internal is worth any value.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Further Dem House recruitment news:

State Rep. Donald Valdez is IN for CO-03. He's a great candidate: reputation as a maverick and strong on local issues. He's going up against 2018 candidate Diane Mitsch Bush in the primary, although I think he has a better shot in the GE. Likely R, but Valdez is another stellar recruit.

This one's hot off the presses: it looks Nikki Foster just filed for OH-01. Air Force veteran and another strong recruit. She's going to face some primary opposition, but she'd be a stronger candidate than Pureval in the general. Lean R and a top ten target.

Check out this kick@$$ map though

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1139739135453700096

[Frenchrepublican]

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

Malinowski is trailing Tom Kean 42/44 according this poll from the NRCC. This poll looks too good to be true so I would take it with a grain of salt, but it will be interesting to see if democrats release a counter poll

[Politician]

Further Dem House recruitment news:

State Rep. Donald Valdez is IN for CO-03. He's a great candidate: reputation as a maverick and strong on local issues. He's going up against 2018 candidate Diane Mitsch Bush in the primary, although I think he has a better shot in the GE. Likely R, but Valdez is another stellar recruit.

This one's hot off the presses: it looks Nikki Foster just filed for OH-01. Air Force veteran and another strong recruit. She's going to face some primary opposition, but she'd be a stronger candidate than Pureval in the general. Lean R and a top ten target.

Check out this kick@$$ map though

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1139739135453700096

Surprised it only swung 3% towards him.

[Senator Incitatus]

Will obviously be a competitive race. Nothing else to be said for now.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Step it up Tom, you are in trouble.

[Gracile]

VA-10: Jennifer Wexton raised over $500k in the second quarter

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1145685791353593858

[Gracile]

This is not a Senatorial poll.

[Frenchrepublican]

This is not a Senatorial poll.

What ? NRCC =/= NRSC

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

VA-10: Jennifer Wexton raised over $500k in the second quarter

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1145685791353593858

Jeez, that's crazy.

[Gracile]

NRCC internal: Malinowski TRAILS generic R, 44-42.

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nrcc-poll-malinowski-in-close-re-election-race-remains-largely-unknown/

But Atlas told me this district was Safe D because of muh sububran trends and muh "swung towards Menendez"!

Taking Republican internals at face value to own the straw man.

This poll is about as close as one might expect, though obviously it should be taken with a grain of salt.

[Gracile]

This is not a Senatorial poll.

What ? NRCC =/= NRSC

This board is explicitly for Senate polls. Atlas does not have a board dedicated to House polls, so this shouldn't be here.

[Frenchrepublican]

This is not a Senatorial poll.

What ? NRCC =/= NRSC

This board is explicitly for Senate polls. Atlas does not have a board dedicated to House polls, so this shouldn't be here.

Okay. I didn’t know that.

[Woody]

Lean R

[DrScholl]

It's from the NRCC. I doubt they even really took a poll. They probably just released a set of numbers some intern came up with.

[Gracile]

Some other Q2 fundraising numbers -

TX-24: Kim Olson (D) raised $300k from 3,900 donors

CO-SEN: Former Ambassador Dan Baer (D) raised $1.35M

[Pollster]

If the best the NRCC can do here is Kean +2 (he has been a political institution in this area for some time and has ran competitively statewide before), Malinowski is probably doing just fine.

[OneJ]

We have a few people here taking a poll from the NRCC as gospel over a year away from the election...I'm shocked I tell you, shocked.

[We Live in Black and White]

And the pants-pissing on the part of Atlas Democrats begins ahead of schedule!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems are likely to lose 5 or so seats, but the Dems remain clear favorites to retain House

[BuckeyeNut]

Congresswoman Joyce Beatty, who represents Columbus, has drawn a challenger in the primary, and from a rather unexpected place. Ex-Cordray adviser and Stanford-educated CFPB Morgan Harper announced her candidacy earlier today. Justice Democrats have long wanted to oust Beatty, and Harper, who is a young woman of color, could be the one to pull it off. That said, the Franklin County Democratic Party is one of the best-oiled machines in the country, and they always take challenges seriously from the onset; unlike, say, Queens.