Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread (user search)
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  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 263316 times)
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« on: November 21, 2020, 01:11:26 AM »
Regular is Likely R; Special is Lean R. Biden only won Georgia because of Trump's collapse in the suburbs; these people are not giving Democrats a trifecta even though the filibuster is here to stay. Only hope for Democrats is if Republicans think the election will be rigged and don't show up.
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2020, 03:18:34 AM »
Quote from: Peak Harry on November 24, 2020, 10:32:35 PM
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 10:19:36 PM
Quote from: Peak Harry on November 24, 2020, 09:11:09 PM
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 09:06:13 PM
It may not matter. Republicans are supercharged now and contrary to what every liberal is saying here African American Turnout will not be deciding factor in my view.

Are they? It seems like they're pretty deflated and irreparably split on whether or not the whole 2020 election was fake.
No, they ain't. They know what's at stake!
And conversely, what about all the Republican who are mortified by Trump's refusal to concede and by Lqeffler/Perdue's enabling of it?

Ha
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2020, 08:26:41 PM »
Why is no one polling these races?
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2020, 08:40:01 PM »

Georgia polls were pretty good.
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2020, 03:11:06 PM »
Looks like 538 is back to adjusting polls again.
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #5 on: December 14, 2020, 01:46:07 AM »
I'll just leave this here.
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2021, 06:13:53 PM »

Put some money on them too. At least I'll be compensated if I don't get my desired outcome.
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #7 on: January 05, 2021, 06:34:53 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on January 05, 2021, 06:34:38 PM
If ANYONE knows where you can wager on these races let me know.

I saw the Dems as FAVORITES today and I nearly had a seizure

https://www.predictit.org/
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #8 on: January 05, 2021, 06:41:12 PM »
This isn't a tossup. Republicans are clearly favored due to turnout.
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2021, 06:53:19 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on January 05, 2021, 06:49:00 PM
NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Don't Democrats do better with voters without a college degree in this state due to the race divide?
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #10 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:10 PM »
When are we going to get a lot of election day votes?
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #11 on: January 05, 2021, 08:23:01 PM »
My PredictIt account right now:
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #12 on: January 05, 2021, 09:54:43 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on January 05, 2021, 09:50:00 PM
Does anyone have Woodbury's post pledging to leave the forum for a year saved if Ossoff OR Warnock won? Because now that's already happened, doesn't even matter in the unlikely event Ossoff loses.

https://web.archive.org/save/https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411438.msg7869477
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #13 on: January 05, 2021, 10:35:26 PM »
94% Warnock on the Needle...yeah, pretty much over. Just watching Ossoff right now.
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #14 on: January 06, 2021, 12:37:30 AM »
You guys think SirWoodbury is going to honor his deal?
Logged
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #15 on: January 06, 2021, 12:44:01 AM »
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on January 06, 2021, 12:33:50 AM
Quote from: randomusername on January 06, 2021, 12:31:57 AM
I know Garland is considered a favorite for AG, though I'm skeptical. Wonder if he finally gets his SCOTUS seat if Breyer retires.
No, Biden has pledged to pick a Black woman and Garland was a compromise pick that Obama made. If Biden doesn't pick a Black woman, most Black voters and probably most Democratic voters will be outraged.

He did? Source?
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #16 on: January 06, 2021, 12:45:54 AM »
Quote from: FalterinArc on January 06, 2021, 12:45:15 AM
Quote from: AGA on January 06, 2021, 12:44:01 AM
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on January 06, 2021, 12:33:50 AM
Quote from: randomusername on January 06, 2021, 12:31:57 AM
I know Garland is considered a favorite for AG, though I'm skeptical. Wonder if he finally gets his SCOTUS seat if Breyer retires.
No, Biden has pledged to pick a Black woman and Garland was a compromise pick that Obama made. If Biden doesn't pick a Black woman, most Black voters and probably most Democratic voters will be outraged.

He did? Source?
He did it on stage at one of the debates.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/problem-biden-s-pledge-black-woman-justice-n1200826

My apologies, I was thinking of Attorney General for some reason. I remember that moment.
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2021, 01:25:48 PM »
When will they be sworn in?
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