Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 267898 times)
MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2825 on: January 05, 2021, 06:29:47 PM »

Atlas has a doomer issue. I know it's obvious but we seem to forget it every time we get an exit poll or a red mirage. Give me a break and don't bemoan how we're screwed until we get some raw votes, okay?

Just the opposite - this site is way way way too optimistic for Dems and if you contradict that you’re ostracized to an insane degree. Sometimes people on this site ignore reality even if it slaps them in the face. “doomers” were a lot closer to being correct then incorrect in November. Everyone on here was talking about a Biden landslide “cOuLd hE wIn TeXaS?!” and “how disappointing will it be if we only get 52 Senate seats?!?!?

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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2826 on: January 05, 2021, 06:30:37 PM »

My prediction is the physical electorate will be that you would expect in a good year for Democrats but they will vote as if it’s a good year for the GOP, largely cancelling out.

If you look at where voters are coming from, Democratic areas have the strongest turnout, but exit polls suggests that the GOP leads (again, lots of salt)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2827 on: January 05, 2021, 06:30:52 PM »




God help us if these are true. My god.
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
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« Reply #2828 on: January 05, 2021, 06:31:18 PM »

Not looking at this thread no more
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2829 on: January 05, 2021, 06:31:34 PM »

Does anyone have anything relevant to say?
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SLA8
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« Reply #2830 on: January 05, 2021, 06:31:41 PM »

I think if polled right now most ppl on this site would think the republicans are slightly favored. I think the issue is people grandstanding and parading that this is a blowout and they know the results now when the data we're getting is at best mixed (and obviously kind of cryptic).
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #2831 on: January 05, 2021, 06:31:50 PM »




God help us if these are true. My god.
Do these count mail in voters or no?
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2832 on: January 05, 2021, 06:32:04 PM »



God help us if these are true. My god.

LOL.

I'm done with this forum for the night. XD
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rhg2052
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« Reply #2833 on: January 05, 2021, 06:32:11 PM »

Does anyone have anything relevant to say?

nope
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2834 on: January 05, 2021, 06:32:14 PM »

Atlas has a doomer issue. I know it's obvious but we seem to forget it every time we get an exit poll or a red mirage. Give me a break and don't bemoan how we're screwed until we get some raw votes, okay?

Just the opposite - this site is way way way too optimistic for Dems and if you contradict that you’re ostracized to an insane degree. Sometimes people on this site ignore reality even if it slaps them in the face. “doomers” were a lot closer to being correct then incorrect in November. Everyone on here was talking about a Biden landslide “cOuLd hE wIn TeXaS?!” and “how disappointing will it be if we only get 52 Senate seats?!?!?



You literally cannot speak on this issue as you doomed GA forever in Nov.
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SLA8
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« Reply #2835 on: January 05, 2021, 06:32:23 PM »

Does anyone have anything relevant to say?

no but there will be things said anyway and that's part of the fun/trouble
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #2836 on: January 05, 2021, 06:32:31 PM »

Yall getting worried over exit polls
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #2837 on: January 05, 2021, 06:33:09 PM »

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redjohn
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« Reply #2838 on: January 05, 2021, 06:33:16 PM »

I think if polled right now most ppl on this site would think the republicans are slightly favored. I think the issue is people grandstanding and parading that this is a blowout and they know the results now when the data we're getting is at best mixed (and obviously kind of cryptic).

Most of this is ridiculous doomer-ing from Dems who are trying to set expectations low for themselves. Not sure why they continuously choose the megathread to act like this, but oh well. I don't have major expectations either way, probably Tilt R but not because of these exit polls. Who knows what'll happen.
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bilaps
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« Reply #2839 on: January 05, 2021, 06:33:23 PM »

Atlas has a doomer issue. I know it's obvious but we seem to forget it every time we get an exit poll or a red mirage. Give me a break and don't bemoan how we're screwed until we get some raw votes, okay?

Just the opposite - this site is way way way too optimistic for Dems and if you contradict that you’re ostracized to an insane degree. Sometimes people on this site ignore reality even if it slaps them in the face. “doomers” were a lot closer to being correct then incorrect in November. Everyone on here was talking about a Biden landslide “cOuLd hE wIn TeXaS?!” and “how disappointing will it be if we only get 52 Senate seats?!?!?



Also there are like few people that really does overreact to exit polls and such, but there are dozens of those who uses their posts to inaccurately show how this site is all doom and gloom for Dems when it's basically a Dem campaign office.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2840 on: January 05, 2021, 06:34:38 PM »

If ANYONE knows where you can wager on these races let me know.

I saw the Dems as FAVORITES today and I nearly had a seizure
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AGA
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« Reply #2841 on: January 05, 2021, 06:34:53 PM »

If ANYONE knows where you can wager on these races let me know.

I saw the Dems as FAVORITES today and I nearly had a seizure

https://www.predictit.org/
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2842 on: January 05, 2021, 06:34:55 PM »



im not sure what to make of this, it just seems that Georgia republicans are just crazier but not necessarily more numerous
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #2843 on: January 05, 2021, 06:35:11 PM »

Just took a look through the exit polls and they do look better for the Rs than the Ds. Once the votes start coming in, we'll see if the margins are matching the exits, but I would rather be the Rs if the numbers are true.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2844 on: January 05, 2021, 06:35:32 PM »


It's also unhelpful that no one is taking any notes on the AP/VoteCast ones, which were a bit more accurate in November. But it's quite possible all of these get updated in a different direction
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musicblind
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« Reply #2845 on: January 05, 2021, 06:35:55 PM »




God help us if these are true. My god.
Do these count mail in voters or no?

Someone earlier in the thread said CNN was counting mail-in and early voters. They put up a paragraph from CNN's website explaining their methodology.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #2846 on: January 05, 2021, 06:36:06 PM »



God help us if these are true. My god.
LOL.

I'm done with this forum for the night. XD
Same. It's too much. See y'all on the other side!
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Rand
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« Reply #2847 on: January 05, 2021, 06:36:11 PM »

If Warnock and Ossoff are elected will their bond be strong enough to rejuvenate Jimmy Carter as Rey and Ben’s did for the Emperor in Rise of Skywalker?
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2848 on: January 05, 2021, 06:36:13 PM »

Bet on the republicans. If they win you win the bet. But if they lose you get $2k checks so it’s a win either way
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Gracile
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« Reply #2849 on: January 05, 2021, 06:36:16 PM »

I don't really have much to add (not really importing much in these exit polls); I'm just waiting here for the results to trickle in.
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