Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 267895 times)
Pericles
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« Reply #3200 on: January 05, 2021, 08:12:37 PM »

It would be pretty sweet to win the Senate and the presidency so narrowly, such good luck for Dems. I don’t want to jinx it though.
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American2020
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« Reply #3201 on: January 05, 2021, 08:12:43 PM »

KALEIGH ROGERS
JAN. 5, 7:59 PM
True. Plus, while Loeffler has leaned hard into the fact that she’s aligned with Trump, Trump himself has continued to ridicule the GOP establishment, which might hurt enthusiasm for this election among his base.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3202 on: January 05, 2021, 08:12:49 PM »

Washington County: 100% in

Ossoff +2.4

it was Perdue +2 in November
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Motorcity
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« Reply #3203 on: January 05, 2021, 08:12:52 PM »

At this point if Loeffler and Perdue lose it's 100% because of bad turnout in rural areas.

The margins are tracking very closely with the general election but there is evidence of bad turnout in some big rural counties.  If they lose it's 100% on Trump.  Maybe losing the Senate would wake the GOP to the toxicity of Trump.
If Democrats win this, Biden should give the Presidential Medal of Freedom to Lin Wood for tricking GOP rubes into not voting
If I was Biden, I’d give Stacy Abrams any cabinet post she wanted. Secretary of State? She got it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3204 on: January 05, 2021, 08:12:57 PM »

GA is lost for the Rs, ha Senate Majority Leader Schumer
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Rand
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« Reply #3205 on: January 05, 2021, 08:13:14 PM »

If Ossoff loses I’m gonna have to roll up my sleeves and undo my belt and give him a real good spanking.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #3206 on: January 05, 2021, 08:13:40 PM »

Black voters!!!! Ossoff and Warnock winning Washington County.
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AGA
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« Reply #3207 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:10 PM »

When are we going to get a lot of election day votes?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3208 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:14 PM »

Washington County: 100% in

Ossoff +2.4

it was Perdue +2 in November

Kornacki also says this county was 90% of November and was one of the lowest dropoffs from November so far
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #3209 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:45 PM »

AA vote is coming out big time.  This may be the difference. 
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #3210 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:51 PM »

Black voters!!!! Ossoff and Warnock winning Washington County.

This is interesting. It's probably a sign we should expect some D swings in the rural black belt counties, most of which look like they haven't reported much yet.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3211 on: January 05, 2021, 08:14:55 PM »

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GoTfan
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« Reply #3212 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:30 PM »

So correct me if I'm wrong, but Warnock vs Loeffler is a special election and whoever wins is up again in two years, and Ossoff vs Perdue is for a full term?

Sorry, i've just not been following the race.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3213 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:33 PM »

PLEASE, GOD. I will go to church again.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3214 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:37 PM »

Fulton county just dumped a bunch more of early + possible E-day
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Thunder98
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« Reply #3215 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:40 PM »

Its looking good for Ossoff and Warnock so far.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #3216 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM »


I am still predicting a split outcome as well.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3217 on: January 05, 2021, 08:15:59 PM »

It appears we may be getting closer to red mirage territory.

Also Cobb mail-in/early vote is 67-33, does anyone know what it was for Biden?

Biden +30
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3218 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:04 PM »

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Stuart98
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« Reply #3219 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:18 PM »

So correct me if I'm wrong, but Warnock vs Loeffler is a special election and whoever wins is up again in two years, and Ossoff vs Perdue is for a full term?

Sorry, i've just not been following the race.
Correct
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #3220 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:31 PM »

So correct me if I'm wrong, but Warnock vs Loeffler is a special election and whoever wins is up again in two years, and Ossoff vs Perdue is for a full term?

Sorry, i've just not been following the race.

You are exactly right. Either Warnock or Loeffler will be up for a full term in 2022.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3221 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:42 PM »

So correct me if I'm wrong, but Warnock vs Loeffler is a special election and whoever wins is up again in two years, and Ossoff vs Perdue is for a full term?

Sorry, i've just not been following the race.

Correct.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #3222 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:45 PM »

That Fulton dump makes me feel much better, even though the needle didn't move a bit. I thought we were going to have to hold back a red shift for another 60% of the vote. This is a nice buffer.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #3223 on: January 05, 2021, 08:16:54 PM »

NATE SILVER
JAN. 5, 8:05 PM
Micah, I guess I’d say that’s a good reflection of how we’ll interpret the data if Republicans win. But there are other interpretations, like that their turnout is in fact depressed. And if blue counties are having big Election Day turnout, too, like we’re seeing in DeKalb County, Republicans might get the Election Day turnout they want but not win by the margins they want.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #3224 on: January 05, 2021, 08:17:11 PM »

NYT tightened Dems are doomed







Smiley
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