2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191633 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1750 on: October 16, 2020, 11:32:14 AM »

A national and Georgia poll coming from Siena next week.



I think I see a US poll peeking out, too!
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #1751 on: October 16, 2020, 11:45:18 AM »

A national and Georgia poll coming from Siena next week.



I think I see a US poll peeking out, too!
National poll will be Biden 50-40
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1752 on: October 16, 2020, 11:55:35 AM »

Any minute now...

I’m going to be very happy if the undecideds are below 12%, especially in the senate race
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1753 on: October 16, 2020, 02:18:20 PM »

Feels like we're overdue for an A-rated poll out of Texas. Last one was in September.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1754 on: October 16, 2020, 04:05:44 PM »

Feels like we're overdue for an A-rated poll out of Texas. Last one was in September.

I agree.

But between high early voting, high registration numbers & an electorate that seems to change demographically every day, I don't think pollsters have a clue what Texas is gonna look like this November
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1755 on: October 17, 2020, 09:20:23 PM »

Feels like we're overdue for an A-rated poll out of Texas. Last one was in September.

I agree.

But between high early voting, high registration numbers & an electorate that seems to change demographically every day, I don't think pollsters have a clue what Texas is gonna look like this November

Texas is a new rapidly changing swing state that has a huge population and many different cities and communities throughout the state. I really don't really pollsters really know how to poll TX yet.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1756 on: October 18, 2020, 02:58:10 AM »

New AR coming soon:

https://talkbusiness.net/2020/10/poll-hutchinson-job-approval-remains-high-at-69/

Previous poll was just Trump+2.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1757 on: October 18, 2020, 06:51:00 AM »

No polls? On a Sunday?
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1758 on: October 18, 2020, 07:01:43 AM »

We should be getting some CBS/YouGov polls today, at the least. They release every Sunday
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1759 on: October 18, 2020, 08:58:28 AM »


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Thomas D
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« Reply #1760 on: October 18, 2020, 01:24:49 PM »

Not polling hype, but I didn't know where else this would fit.


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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1761 on: October 18, 2020, 01:32:16 PM »

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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1762 on: October 18, 2020, 03:04:49 PM »

It's never Texas  Unamused
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redjohn
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« Reply #1763 on: October 18, 2020, 09:13:20 PM »




Going to be interesting to get HQ polling of battleground states this week. I doubt the state of the race has shifted much, but any shifts from now until election day are going to become increasingly meaningful with each passing day.
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VAR
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« Reply #1764 on: October 19, 2020, 08:42:29 AM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1765 on: October 19, 2020, 08:48:38 AM »



Don't pollsters identify themselves when they call you? I.e., "this is Quinnipiac, will you take a survey?"
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1766 on: October 19, 2020, 09:22:38 AM »

What is with the lack of polls the last few days!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1767 on: October 19, 2020, 09:27:35 AM »

What is with the lack of polls the last few days!

I assume we should be getting a plethora this week before the debate?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1768 on: October 19, 2020, 09:41:54 AM »



Don't pollsters identify themselves when they call you? I.e., "this is Quinnipiac, will you take a survey?"

IME (having been polled many times) the callers usually identify their organization, but not always.  Sometimes the introduction is like "My name is John and I'm conducting a survey on the upcoming election.  Would you be willing to answer a few questions?"
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Pollster
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« Reply #1769 on: October 19, 2020, 10:19:28 AM »



Don't pollsters identify themselves when they call you? I.e., "this is Quinnipiac, will you take a survey?"

IME (having been polled many times) the callers usually identify their organization, but not always.  Sometimes the introduction is like "My name is John and I'm conducting a survey on the upcoming election.  Would you be willing to answer a few questions?"

It depends on state law, in some states polls are considered campaign activity and the funder must be identified at some point (usually at the very end, we'll through something on like "paid for by XX for Congress." The actual polling company doesn't usually identify themselves unless it's a public/educational organization like Gallup or Quinnipiac.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #1770 on: October 19, 2020, 12:50:15 PM »

Kansas poll
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1771 on: October 19, 2020, 12:50:50 PM »


Gonna need a little more, SD.
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redjohn
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« Reply #1772 on: October 19, 2020, 12:56:35 PM »


There's people on twitter saying we're getting NYT polls of Kansas and Iowa this week, but who knows.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1773 on: October 19, 2020, 01:00:09 PM »


There's people on twitter saying we're getting NYT polls of Kansas and Iowa this week, but who knows.

Nate Cohn wrote this in his write up last night

Early this week: NYT/Siena in Georgia and the U.S. We’ll have more to say about timing soon, but probably not on Monday.

Then! Iowa, Kansas and hopefully another, all before the final debate.


IDK if he means that we wouldn't get the actual polls today, or that we wouldn't even get the timing today. But ii they are planning to do IA/KS before the debate, then I would assume US/GA has to be coming tomorrow
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1774 on: October 19, 2020, 03:11:36 PM »

The ARkansas poll will come today.
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