Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1445826481700184066?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1445759460400504834?s=20

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1445760511325343747?s=20

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1445759460400504834?s=20

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1445760511325343747?s=20

The Debt Ceiling hasn't been breached yet and D's are considering the offer by Rs, there will be no breach is Debt Ceiling due SSA, Military pay and Child tax credits, the pay will be made retroactive meaning they will have to give back pay for time missed just like if you get denied SSA and on Appeal they overturn if, you get back pay

It's also a Pandemic

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

S have agreed to Mcconnell offer no Default til Dec

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1445843435139657736

Did Quinnipiac change their methodology? I still don’t trust them but those numbers are shockingly bad.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://www.twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1445843435139657736
Did Quinnipiac change their methodology? I still don’t trust them but those numbers are shockingly bad.

It's possible that Qpac has overcorrected their methodology after some of their misses.  TBF, they also had some pretty good polls in 2020; they had Biden up by 5 just before the election, IIRC.  But they do seem to be among the most R-friendly pollsters this year, while they were closer to the other extreme before.

[Ferguson97]

If even THG is skeptical of the Quinnipiac poll, you know it's a genuinely trash poll.

[Matty]

It’s an indictment of the lack of accountability in the industry that qtrash is still hyped up.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If even THG is skeptical of the Quinnipiac poll, you know it's a genuinely trash poll.

Just remember whom gave Biden the Title Comeback kid, Prez Obama, along with Stacy Abrams they're gonna maximize the turnout by campaigning for D's in 2022(2026/2028 who do you think got Dems elected in GA Abrams and whom got Newsom reelected in Cali Prez Obama, they're not gonna sit ideally bye and let Rs and Trump take over

As I said over, over, over again, it's not a White male Electorate it's a Blk and Latino electorate urban poverty, single moms and Afro Americans and Latinos make up 90% of the homeless and prison population while Whites make up only 10%


Biden, Hillary, Obama, Gore all won the  NPVI and since 1988 the Rs have won Popular vote twice, they have dominated the House since them but not the Senate and Biden won 80M votes

[THG]

I 100% wouldn’t be shocked that Biden has a 38% approval rating. However, Quinnipiac was so D friendly last year that to see their recent evaluation either means that 1) They corrected their methodology or 2) Biden is in the pits in terms of popularity.

I wouldn’t be shocked if both were possible, however.

[THG]

https://www.twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1445843435139657736
Did Quinnipiac change their methodology? I still don’t trust them but those numbers are shockingly bad.

It's possible that Qpac has overcorrected their methodology after some of their misses.  TBF, they also had some pretty good polls in 2020; they had Biden up by 5 just before the election, IIRC.  But they do seem to be among the most R-friendly pollsters this year, while they were closer to the other extreme before.

I believe that Biden is in the 37-43% range in terms of approval, so that isn’t a surprise to me. However, Quinnipiac going from being the trope of a D favorable pollster to being far less bullish on them is what I find surprising.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Could it be? Is ripping on Quinnipiac polling something that everyone, regardless of their politics, can agree on?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

If it wasn't obvious by now that Q-Pac is running the other way after being too pro-Dem in 2020, then it clearly is now.

QTrash is turning into Rasmussen or Trafalgar.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304 blue map anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://news.yahoo.com/democratic-rep-tim-ryan-plan-120001263.html

Tim Ryan says he intends to be like Beshear KY win in Trump country, both Beshear and Tim Ryan look alike, both are Blue COLLAR

Both have nice wives and kids

Both Demings and Ryan are only 4 pts down, Rs forget that they underperform when Trump isn't on ballot Are GA Sen 2021 and Cali Gov 2021

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://news.yahoo.com/democratic-rep-tim-ryan-plan-120001263.html

Tim Ryan says he intends to be like Beshear KY win in Trump country, both Beshear and Tim Ryan look alike, both are Blue COLLAR

Both have nice wives and kids

Both Demings and Ryan are only 4 pts down, Rs forget that they underperform when Trump isn't on ballot Are GA Sen 2021 and Cali Gov 2021

Tim Ryan is not going to win. He may come close and possibly even get within 5 but Ohio hates Biden more than ever right now, and I doubt there is going to be major reversion by 2022.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://news.yahoo.com/democratic-rep-tim-ryan-plan-120001263.html

Tim Ryan says he intends to be like Beshear KY win in Trump country, both Beshear and Tim Ryan look alike, both are Blue COLLAR

Both have nice wives and kids

Both Demings and Ryan are only 4 pts down, Rs forget that they underperform when Trump isn't on ballot Are GA Sen 2021 and Cali Gov 2021

Tim Ryan is not going to win. He may come close and possibly even get within 5 but Ohio hates Biden more than ever right now, and I doubt there is going to be major reversion by 2022.

Yeah we shouldn't run Wave insurance candidates and give up, Biden isn't gonna be at 45% on Election night, how majy times do I have to say this, if Biden is at 45% Ryan will lose, especially to blue avatars


In 2008/12 we won OH, NC, FL we thought they were permanently D states with Biden on ballot why don't you ask pbower2A he believes on blue waves, he will back me up, IA is a red state it has 3% Blk

OH isbt gonna vote 8 pts to right Forever with 12% Blk it didn't before 2016/ and Brown won in 2018

[BG-NY]

Tim Ryan, a dime store DLC dem, has none of the appeal of Sherrod Brown. He's going to lose by 10.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tim Ryan, a dime store DLC dem, has none of the appeal of Sherrod Brown. He's going to lose by 10.

News flash he is tied with Josh Mandel in the last poll, he won't lose by 10 keep dreaming, Josh Mandel isn't well liked by Afro Americans like Kasich he lost badly to Sherrod Brown in 2012, I'd you remember

[BG-NY]

News flash he is tied with Josh Mandel in the last poll, he won't lose by 10 keep dreaming, Josh Mandel isn't well liked by Afro Americans like Kasich he lost badly to Sherrod Brown in 2012, I'd you remember

Mandel isn't going to be the nominee, Vance will be. Also, Kasich is probably one of the only republicans who could lose now.

IA and OH are safe R, AZ and GA are safe D. Trends are real.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

News flash he is tied with Josh Mandel in the last poll, he won't lose by 10 keep dreaming, Josh Mandel isn't well liked by Afro Americans like Kasich he lost badly to Sherrod Brown in 2012, I'd you remember

Mandel isn't going to be the nominee, Vance will be. Also, Kasich is probably one of the only republicans who could lose now.

IA and OH are safe R, AZ and GA are safe D. Trends are real.

Didn't Trump and Portman win in 2016 by 10 and 20 points and Sherrod Brown won bye 6% over Renacci, 2018 and Renacci was a better candidate than Vance or MANDEL

It's wave insurance but if we want Brown to win in 2024/ then we better win OH, We lost Mahoning County to Trump that's why we lost OH in 2020/ where are Brown and Ryan from, Youngstown and Akron bingo right near Cleveland and Mahoning County and Columbus and Cincy and Dayton are our base. We lost Cincy suburbs

Prez Obama is our secret weapon he is gonna campaign for us, he helped us win GA Sen in 2021/ and GA Sen was Safe R before 2021, Obama will campaign I'm states that Biden isn't that popular and OH, PA, MI, WIbObama saved Gavin Newsom

But, it's wave insurance, if we want to expand our H majority near 230 we must win OH, NC and FL we are gonna keep the Senate with the 304 nap

IA and TX are Safe R, Reynolds is way too popular and Beto isn't beating Abbott, and Demings can win but DeSantis is 12 pts ahead while Rubio is only 4pts ahead

Split voting

[BG-NY]

Didn't Trump and Irtman win in 2016 by 10 and 20 points and Sherrod Brown won bye 6% over Renacci, and Renacci was a better candidate than Vance or MANDEL

It's wave insurance but if we want Brown to win in 2024/ then we better win OH, We lost Mahoning County to Trump that's why we lost OY in 2020/ where are Brown and Ryan from Youngstown and Akron bingo

Prez Obama is our secret weapon he is gonna campaign for us, he helped us win GA Sen in 2021/ and GA Sen was Safe R before 2021, Obama will campaign I'm states that Biden isn't that popular and OH, PA, MI, WO Obama saved Gavin Newsom

But, it's wave insurance, if we want to expand our H majority near 230 we must win OH, NC and FL we are gonna keep the Senate with the 304 nap

Brown only won by 6% because (1) Mandel pulled out a week before the filing deadline so the state party was screwed (2) it was a very dem-friendly environment. With the realignment of more educated voters to the Dems, it's possible they can hold water in midterms, but likely it will be a blowout.

GA Sen was always going to be lean D because the Senate R's didn't pass the 2k checks. Also, Newsom didn't need any saving - Elder is a moron who opposes the minimum wage.

The only chance of Dems holding the House is if Covid disappears.

[BG-NY]

GA want safe D R Pollster like Sir Woodbury had Loeffler and Collins winning and so did Trafalgar

Trafalgar is only accurate in the Midwest. It's awful in the South.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Oct. 6-7, 1005 adults

Approve 48 (+2)
Disapprove 47 (-3)

Before today, Biden was last above water in this poll four weeks ago, when he was at 47/46.

[BG-NY]

Quinnipiac and Ipsos are both outliers. Take the average.