2020 Poll Hype Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 20, 2024, 06:05:18 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Poll Hype Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 ... 99
Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191683 times)
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,697


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1425 on: October 06, 2020, 09:37:22 AM »

If Biden leads by 5+ in OH, it'll be fair to say he's probably leading nationally by double-digits.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1426 on: October 06, 2020, 09:37:29 AM »

I personally am predicting

Ohio: TIED
Nevada: Biden +9
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,926
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1427 on: October 06, 2020, 09:38:09 AM »

Ohio - Tied
Nevada - Trump +1
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,284
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1428 on: October 06, 2020, 09:47:40 AM »

It wouldn’t make sense for them to have Nevada polling to the right of Arizona, but we’ll see.

Yes it would; it's Nevada polling.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,059


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1429 on: October 06, 2020, 09:56:08 AM »

Watch their NV poll be like Biden +3 or something and Atlas spins into their predictable concern trolling (Trump can win Nevada/The race is tightening/Biden is collapsing with Hispanics/etc.), while once again ignoring how challenging it is to poll this state.
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1430 on: October 06, 2020, 09:56:33 AM »

Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1431 on: October 06, 2020, 09:57:28 AM »



No
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,014
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1432 on: October 06, 2020, 10:10:41 AM »



Go away.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,697


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1433 on: October 06, 2020, 10:13:31 AM »



I'm going to laugh out loud if they poll VA, NM, and OR or something.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,031
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1434 on: October 06, 2020, 12:03:02 PM »

We're getting a Maine poll from Digital Research in a little.
Logged
Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,628


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1435 on: October 06, 2020, 12:18:03 PM »

CNBC has Biden only +4 in PA

Yet there are polls showing PA I double digits.

I’m going to say it again: the wild swings and discrepancies shows no one actually knows. Makes zero sense.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,697


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1436 on: October 06, 2020, 12:18:52 PM »

CNBC has Biden only +4 in PA

Yet there are polls showing PA I double digits.

I’m going to say it again: the wild swings and discrepancies shows no one actually knows. Makes zero sense.

No, it means Biden is leading but the margin isn't completely set in stone.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1437 on: October 06, 2020, 12:26:20 PM »

CNBC has Biden only +4 in PA

Yet there are polls showing PA I double digits.

I’m going to say it again: the wild swings and discrepancies shows no one actually knows. Makes zero sense.

And this is why polling averages are better than individual polls. You would think someone on an elections forum would know that kind of thing.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,519


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1438 on: October 06, 2020, 12:27:11 PM »

CNBC has Biden only +4 in PA

Yet there are polls showing PA I double digits.

I’m going to say it again: the wild swings and discrepancies shows no one actually knows. Makes zero sense.

With the context of course that Monmouth, ABC/Wapo, NYT/siena, and YouGov are all better reputable pollsters than Change.
Logged
Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,628


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1439 on: October 06, 2020, 04:32:53 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,570


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1440 on: October 06, 2020, 04:35:41 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

My man is already 74 and not in good health. (Even before catching COVID.)
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,098
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1441 on: October 06, 2020, 04:36:57 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

I’m fine with the Republican Party staying associated with him as it’s leader for four more years
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1442 on: October 06, 2020, 06:57:33 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

Can he run from prison?  I don't doubt he'd win a Republican primary from prison.
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,926
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1443 on: October 06, 2020, 07:20:58 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

I’m fine with the Republican Party staying associated with him as it’s leader for four more years

I don't think he was referring to Donald.
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,098
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1444 on: October 06, 2020, 07:33:24 PM »

TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

I’m fine with the Republican Party staying associated with him as it’s leader for four more years

I don't think he was referring to Donald.

Even better.
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,925
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1445 on: October 06, 2020, 09:04:08 PM »

New Reuters poll showing Biden +12, seems clear that his double digit lead isn't an outlier result.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1446 on: October 06, 2020, 10:44:10 PM »

New Reuters poll showing Biden +12, seems clear that his double digit lead isn't an outlier result.

Yet we're still gonna get folks predicting a below-300 EV Biden win
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1447 on: October 07, 2020, 09:01:17 AM »

Pretty confident Marquette is going to have Biden up double digits in Wisconsin later today.
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,419
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1448 on: October 07, 2020, 09:43:25 AM »

Pretty confident Marquette is going to have Biden up double digits in Wisconsin later today.

Where's my NYT/Siena NV and OH polls, Buzz?!
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,923


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1449 on: October 07, 2020, 09:46:02 AM »

Pretty confident Marquette is going to have Biden up double digits in Wisconsin later today.

Where's my NYT/Siena NV and OH polls, Buzz?!

Nate said they'll probably be released early this afternoon.  He also said:

Logged
Pages: 1 ... 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 ... 99  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 10 queries.