2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 187220 times)
Horus
Sheliak5
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« on: September 01, 2020, 09:26:39 PM »
« edited: September 01, 2020, 09:29:50 PM by Horus »
I'm guessing 48-43 Biden for the Selzer poll. Outside the MoE, a point better than their last release, but close enough for us all to panic.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2020, 12:01:22 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on September 21, 2020, 11:36:00 AM


I'm thinking Trump +2
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2020, 10:40:44 AM »
I'll guess Trump +4
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2020, 10:18:10 AM »
Trump by 8, tie for the Senate
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2020, 11:46:28 AM »
Biden +2
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2020, 03:39:55 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on October 05, 2020, 03:38:27 PM
Apparently the math based on the crosstabs is Biden 55 Trump 40.

If that's the result I'll be ready to shift Wisconsin to Biden and predict a win for him for the very first time this cycle.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2020, 09:38:09 AM »
Ohio - Tied
Nevada - Trump +1
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2020, 07:20:58 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 06, 2020, 04:36:57 PM
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 06, 2020, 04:32:53 PM
TRUMP 2024.

It’s going to happen one way or another.

I’m fine with the Republican Party staying associated with him as it’s leader for four more years

I don't think he was referring to Donald.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2020, 02:05:45 PM »
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 10:10:58 AM »
GA - Trump +3
OH - Trump +4
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 12:05:18 AM »
Nat - Biden +4
Georgia - Trump +3
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 02:25:12 PM »
GA - tied
FL - Trump +4
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2020, 07:40:43 PM »
WI - Biden +3
AZ - Tied
FL - Trump +3
PA - Biden +1
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2020, 10:14:06 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on October 31, 2020, 10:10:33 PM


The last five or so days of 2016 actually saw improvement for Hillary in national polls. Her worst day in the model was November 3rd. So unless the movement towards Trump is massive I wouldn't be worried much about national numbers. Now if Pennsylvania is within the MoE...
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?
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