2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[philly09]

Anyone know what the deal with AZ is too? How much is out and why are people questioning the call even though Fox and AP already did?

Mostly mail votes from Maricopa. Apache County is only at 62% and that's a heavily Dem county.

Fox and AP made the smart move.

[BlueSwan]

Anyone know what the deal with AZ is too? How much is out and why are people questioning the call even though Fox and AP already did?

People are only questioning it because so many ballots remain and Joes lead has been diminishing. If Foxnews thinks Uncle Joe has won Arizona, I do too.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

It seems in your anger you killed him

[Alben Barkley]

Please an update for PA !

Looking pretty good:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/upshot/biden-pennsylvania-election-ballots.html

[Podgy the Bear]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

And it's looking quite probable that there could be two Senate runoffs in January.  Perdue is at 50 and is likely to fall below it with the Atlanta vote out and a Libertarian candidate getting over 2% .

If Uncle Joe gets this we have to go ALL OUT for those runoff elections. I'm talking Mike Bloomberg dropping a billion on those races and a get out the vote effort to end all get out the vote efforts. We need to hit the republicans while they are still licking their wounds.

My 17 year old daughter (who turns 18 later this month--couldn't vote yesterday) is super excited about this possibility because she can vote in January.  It's quite conceivable that the Senate may actually be in play.  

[DaleCooper]

Anyone know what the deal with AZ is too? How much is out and why are people questioning the call even though Fox and AP already did?

People are skeptical of how much mail-in votes are left, I guess. Fox is insistent on it and AP called it too so I don't think Trump's going to come back there. I hope not, anyway.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

Shut up, you hack. The Senate is gone and you're still trying to run victory laps. Celebrate the tiny, narrow victory of Mr. Electable all you want, but this was not a successful night by any stretch of the imagination for the Democratic Party.

[Horus]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

And it's looking quite probable that there could be two Senate runoffs in January.  Perdue is at 50 and is likely to fall below it with the Atlanta vote out and a Libertarian candidate getting over 2% .

If Uncle Joe gets this we have to go ALL OUT for those runoff elections. I'm talking Mike Bloomberg dropping a billion on those races and a get out the vote effort to end all get out the vote efforts. We need to hit the republicans while they are still licking their wounds.

What wounds? They will keep the Senate comfortably. Bloomberg didn't help by blowing money on Florida and the Democrats already tried everything you mentioned. Republicans will almost certainly win both runoffs.

The Democratic Party once again proved itself one of the least competent opposition parties in history. One of the least popular incumbent presidents of all time and they lost just about every competitive Senate race.

Warnock has a chance against Loeffler. She is reviled.

Ossoff is likely done.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyone know what the deal with AZ is too? How much is out and why are people questioning the call even though Fox and AP already did?

People are skeptical of how much mail-in votes are left, I guess. Fox is insistent on it and AP called it too so I don't think Trump's going to come back there. I hope not, anyway.

Fox is aggressive in their calls, but AP generally isn't.  AP's standard is to call a race when their analysts see no possible path for the trailing candidate to win.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Never change atlas.... never change....

[Alben Barkley]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

Shut up, you hack. The Senate is gone and you're still trying to run victory laps. Celebrate the tiny, narrow victory of Mr. Electable all you want, but this was not a successful night by any stretch of the imagination for the Democratic Party.

Oh are you his alt? Not surprising.

The Senate was never as safe a bet as the presidency either BTW and for reasons already explained, was not as important. You can cry about the Senate if you want. I’m gonna be happy the worst president in history will be ejected, likely by ironically the same EV margin he won by in 2016. (Not that narrow, especially since Biden will actually win the popular vote by a decent margin). I’m also gonna make fun of people for calling me things like “hack” when they got all smug and insufferable earlier about their terrible predictions that are now falling apart.

[Crumpets]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

It seems in your anger you killed him

There are some posters that you cannot convince me are not just supernatural manifestations of our best/worst instincts as a community.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Jesus Scott

[Niemeyerite]

I've seen enough. MI, WI, AZ and NV are enough to carry him over the top.

I'm calling this race for Joseph Robinette Biden jr., 46th President of the United States.

You heard it here first.

 

[Statilius the Epicurean]

Lesser Nate seems to think it's enough https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323958121463795714?s=19

[BigSerg]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

Shut up, you hack. The Senate is gone and you're still trying to run victory laps. Celebrate the tiny, narrow victory of Mr. Electable all you want, but this was not a successful night by any stretch of the imagination for the Democratic Party.

X2

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Aw...I was really starting to like the early morning crew being so polite to each other....

[wbrocks67]

anybody know how much is out in VA? Feels like Biden could hit +10 by the end of it.

[Horsemask]

Jesus, what wasteland of Atlas did I wake up to?

By the way, huge props to whomever is responsible for keeping the site up.

[Crumpets]

Quick question since I'm just now getting back online - anyone know the story with the NYT needle saying Biden is favored in Georgia? Is that legit or is there some weird data oddity somewhere?

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Jesus Scott

Sorry, but we're in the Years of Lead now. The cultural and economic conflicts will not be resolved peacefully, no matter how much we'd like them to be.

I'm just sh!tposting though. It's rather cathartic.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

>mfw Trump voters are sent to re-education camps in January

The Senate Majority Leader won't allow it. Because GOP will probably hold Senate, no?

Send them Senators to re-education camps as well, no?

[SLA8]

seems like it's legit; most of the outstanding vote is mail-in vote from atl and suburbs

[Silent Hunter]

Quick question since I'm just now getting back online - anyone know the story with the NYT needle saying Biden is favored in Georgia? Is that legit or is there some weird data oddity somewhere?

Legit, based on the outstanding absentee ballots in Atlanta.