Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1455596111046057985

[Senator Incitatus]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455592521078300675

Breaking News: College students don't wake up before 9 AM and are free all day.

[Gass3268]

Mark Warner is feeling good. Take it for what its worth.

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1455597074054062081?s=20

[PSOL]

https://mobile.twitter.com/PrinBlandingVA/status/1455550816648155144

[Non Swing Voter]

Mark Warner is feeling good. Take it for what its worth.

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1455597074054062081?s=20

Sad that even Mark Warner now outed as a doomer.

[Xing]

Wasn't it expected that turnout would be at least decent? Not sure why we're suddenly much more bullish on McAuliffe because of turnout rep-... wait, never mind, forgot that this is Atlas.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1455597962365702144

Inside the beltway slightly outperforming outside the beltway.  Both high.  Wish we had PWC.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

https://twitter.com/mschlapp/status/1455532199541985290?s=20

I was told at my polling station I couldn’t vote without pants. Knowing what nudists think about pants, isn’t this just an illegal barrier to voting? But I can count on one thing our judges will do nothing.

[Non Swing Voter]

Wasn't it expected that turnout would be at least decent? Not sure why we're suddenly much more bullish on McAuliffe because of turnout rep-... wait, never mind, forgot that this is Atlas.

All I've been hearing for weeks was "LACK OF DEM ENTHUSIASM"

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455598744032907271?s=20

Newport News turnout in 2017 was 40.5%.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455598744032907271?s=20

So they need another 12,000 or so to surpass 2017 numbers.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, not true, but to early to confirm.

[Non Swing Voter]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

[StateBoiler]

Idle comment: I feel knowing exact turnout numbers beyond anecdotal observation before or during Election Day should not be allowed and is kind of cheating. We don't report the results of all votes cast before Election Day or as the day goes on, why should you allow political campaigns to attempt to extrapolate exact turnout numbers into how they're doing?

[BG-NY]

I’ve seen enough. TMac has won.

Will be a day for reckoning for the GOP establishment if this isn’t close. Youngkin ran away from Trump and still is on pace to lose by 3-4. Especially if rural turnout or margins drop, or if margins with minorities worsen, it will look bad for them. We saw the same thing with the GA runoffs.

GOP needs to course correct by 2022. With Trump on the ballot they can certainly lose, but without him on the ballot it seems they can’t win even in the most favorable of environments.

[Senator Incitatus]

https://twitter.com/mschlapp/status/1455532199541985290?s=20

I was told at my polling station I couldn’t vote without pants. Knowing what nudists think about pants, isn’t this just an illegal barrier to voting? But I can count on one thing our judges will do nothing.

This absolutely could constitute an illegal barrier if there was insufficient notice such that a person would show up without a mask and be turned away, effectively preventing them from voting entirely if it is prohibitively difficult for them to get their hands on a mask and return before polls close.

I know your post was a joke, but there is a much more reasonable inference of implied notice of a requirement of pants. Pants are required pretty much everywhere. At the other extreme, you'd have something like a poll worker requiring you to show them a printed picture of Elvis (with absolutely no explicit notice). This falls somewhere in the middle, probably closer to pants, but not close enough that I don't think it could be challenged if someone was really prevented from voting.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

I edited my post with

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, not true, but to early to confirm.

[kwabbit]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

That’s always be the case however. Anyone that thought that Buchanan would have a higher turnout than Falls Church is deluded. The question is if Youngkin can hit 36% in Fairfax or 45% in Loudoun, something that we don’t know of now. The Fairfax drop at 7pm is gonna be almost enough to call the election on its own.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/mschlapp/status/1455532199541985290?s=20

I was told at my polling station I couldn’t vote without pants. Knowing what nudists think about pants, isn’t this just an illegal barrier to voting? But I can count on one thing our judges will do nothing.

This absolutely could constitute an illegal barrier if there was insufficient notice such that a person would show up without a mask and be turned away, effectively preventing them from voting entirely if it is prohibitively difficult for them to get their hands on a mask and return before polls close.

I know your post was a joke, but there is a much more reasonable inference of implied notice of a requirement of pants. Pants are required pretty much everywhere. At the other extreme, you'd have something like a poll worker requiring you to show them a printed picture of Elvis (with absolutely no explicit notice). This falls somewhere in the middle, probably closer to pants, but not close enough that I don't think it could be challenged if someone was really prevented from voting.

^^ GOP voting rights champions!

[StateBoiler]

I’ve seen enough. TMac has won.

There you have it. LOW INFO VOTER has seen enough.

[roxas11]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

even if he does get some of them that still may not be enough

[PSOL]

I’ve seen enough. TMac has won.

There you have it. LOW INFO VOTER has seen enough.

Tmac was always going to win this.

[Non Swing Voter]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

I edited my post with

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, Actuallynot true, but to early to already confirmed.

FTFY

[Big Abraham]

Every time I refresh this thread it grows by two or three pages and polls haven't even closed yet.

[Senator Incitatus]

https://twitter.com/mschlapp/status/1455532199541985290?s=20

I was told at my polling station I couldn’t vote without pants. Knowing what nudists think about pants, isn’t this just an illegal barrier to voting? But I can count on one thing our judges will do nothing.

This absolutely could constitute an illegal barrier if there was insufficient notice such that a person would show up without a mask and be turned away, effectively preventing them from voting entirely if it is prohibitively difficult for them to get their hands on a mask and return before polls close.

I know your post was a joke, but there is a much more reasonable inference of implied notice of a requirement of pants. Pants are required pretty much everywhere. At the other extreme, you'd have something like a poll worker requiring you to show them a printed picture of Elvis (with absolutely no explicit notice). This falls somewhere in the middle, probably closer to pants, but not close enough that I don't think it could be challenged if someone was really prevented from voting.

^^ GOP voting rights champions!

I am entirely opposed to voting, electoral democracy, and the Republican Party.