Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is the agent of change unless he looses the 2022/ be careful, with Biden above 50% which is much better than Trump was at 46.9% D's can keep the Trifecta

Remember, no one wanted to get vaccinated until he opened everything up in March to everyone, we are behind in this Covid due to only one man Trump, whom downplayed Covid due to his reelection, but the Election was closer than expected due to development of vaccine

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AK looks very shaky for Rs, Murkowski is only plus 6 for reelection, Blue dog or blue collar Gross can steal this race from Rs due to Kelly nt running against Murkowski

[pbrower2a]

Colorado, Global Strategy Group.

I'm sure that we remember when Colorado was a reasonably-reliable R state, when it could vote against Bill Clinton in 1996 despite Clinton winning nearly 380 electoral votes and being on the fringe of contestability in 2000.

Well, that's over.


Q11A. [SPLIT A] Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing
as U.S. President?
Strongly approve. 33%
Somewhat approve 23
Somewhat disapprove 11
Strongly disapprove 28
VOL: (Don't know/Refused) 4
APPROVE (NET) 56%
DISAPPROVE (NET) 40

Q11B. [SPLIT B] Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing
handling the coronavirus pandemic?
Strongly approve  39%
Somewhat approve 24
Somewhat disapprove  9
Strongly disapprove  25
VOL: (Don't know/Refused) 3
APPROVE (NET) 63%
DISAPPROVE (NET) 33

Trump favorability, 36-60

https://lede-admin.coloradosun.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/15/2021/07/CO-Mountaineer-Q2-Survey-Topline-F06.24.21.pdf
   

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

Rassy has Biden up 50/49% Approvals, mediocre Approvals for a 304 map not a 413 map, it's a 304 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before, we probably won't get out a 304 map until Gas prices go down and Covid is Eradicated, but 2024 is a different story, after D's lose the H, in 2022 in a Prez cycle, and hopefully Covid is over by then, we can have a wave map

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden's agenda has stalled. Where is the transformational President who we were hearing wanted to remembered like FDR for providing reforms and policy changes for regular Americans? He isn't using all the tools in his toolbox to get meaningful things passed.

You can blame Manchin and Sinema above all else, almost single-handedly, honestly. I don't know if most Americans will assign that blame where it belongs, but this is the reality of our current state.

Nobody should have expected Biden to get anything done other than the COVID relief bill.  The days of “transformational presidents” who get a lot done are over.

Agreed. Basically his agenda is done after the infrastructure bill, assuming that even passes in whatever form. I would have hoped that Americans would have grounded their expectations after Obama. But even saying that Biden is delivering on a bunch of things Trump promised for four years: an end to the war in Afghanistan, infrastructure, vaccine rollout, etc. So it's not like he isn't doing anything.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bidens problems are Manchin and Sinema and the overwhelming majority of Americans want another round of 1K stimulus checks as Americans still need help, and Congress isnt doing anything about it

When Biden was at 60% Approvals back in March the right track/wrong track numbers were 55/45 now, it's 39/49% Yang has called for another round, it would help our most Vulnerable H D's districts

Also Manchin is DOA IN 2024 AND SINEMA IS THE LONE HOLDOUT FOR VR, SAYING SHE IS COPYING McCain whom never wanted to get rid of Filibuster

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 7-8, 1004 adults

Approve 52 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Approval by party:

D: 91 (+2)
I: 44 (+10, but an obvious fluke last week; two weeks ago it was 45)
R: 13 (-5, lowest to date)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy has it 49 Approvals, 50 Disapprovals, it's clearly 50(48% but there aren't anymore 60% Approvals anymore

Things aren't getting passed, what happened to Buttigieg promoting the infrastructure, he is still promoting but he all but disappeared

[pbrower2a]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

Rassy has Biden up 50/49% Approvals, mediocre Approvals for a 304 map not a 413 map, it's a 304 map

Rasmussen almost always has the least-flattering view of Democratic prospects. If Biden were to end up at a 55-45 split of the popular vote against him, then Rasmussen would probably have him defeated as badly as Mondale in 1984, which would roughly be Maryland and the District of Columbia. Polarized as the American electorate is, even a Carter-scale loss in the popular vote would still give him California, New York, Delaware, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island...maybe Washington State.

50-49 for an incumbent going into the electoral season means that with a spirited and competent campaign, the incumbent is going to get somewhere between 54% and 58% of the popular vote. That flips Florida and North Carolina at the least to Biden from Trump at the least and puts Texas, Ohio, and Iowa at risk for the Republican.

54% is slightly better for Biden than Obama in 2008, which is the lower limit for what anyone now calls a landslide. In 2024 that means that the networks have called a state that the Republican nominee absolutely cannot afford to lose before the polls close on the West Coast at 11 PM ET. Basically, Michigan or Pennsylvania are about even as the remaining votes are coming in from Greater Detroit, Philadelphia, and Pittsburgh. Georgia is usually one of the most efficient states in counting its votes and went into a hiatus in counting votes from Greater Atlanta on Election Night, so that is the most likely state that the Republican absolutely, positively must win to have a chance... much like Ohio in 2008.

Remember -- the Incumbent President controls the agenda and that is usually enough to win. Donald Trump came close to winning re-election despite being the worst President in the memory of any living person. (Really he was... and the sooner that Republicans recognize that the sooner they will start winning again).

[Person Man]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 7-8, 1004 adults

Approve 52 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Approval by party:

D: 91 (+2)
I: 44 (+10, but an obvious fluke last week; two weeks ago it was 45)
R: 13 (-5, lowest to date)

Polarization is setting in

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy Prez Tracking has it 49/50%, we know that already Biden was at 55/45% right track wrong track when 1400 stimulus was passed at the end of March and the right track wrong track number is 39/49% in You Gov/Economist

The Prez touts these Child Credits but what about debt that just take care of the kids, that's why Student Loans aren't being paid off and Biden who voted for Bankruptcy Reform in 2005 wont forgive 50k in Student loans

Biden will never be at 60% again unless another stimulus check is passed

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 7-8, 1004 adults

Approve 52 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Approval by party:

D: 91 (+2)
I: 44 (+10, but an obvious fluke last week; two weeks ago it was 45)
R: 13 (-5, lowest to date)

Polarization is setting in

Yet him having 13% approval by Republicans is still pretty massive in the face of this polarization. Compare that to Trump who was lucky to be in the high single digits among Democrats' approval.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 7-8, 1004 adults

Approve 52 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Approval by party:

D: 91 (+2)
I: 44 (+10, but an obvious fluke last week; two weeks ago it was 45)
R: 13 (-5, lowest to date)

Polarization is setting in

Yet him having 13% approval by Republicans is still pretty massive in the face of this polarization. Compare that to Trump who was lucky to be in the high single digits among Democrats' approval.

This polarization isn't gonna stay like this the whole Election, especially in 500 days, we all know this

[Devils30]

I'm not sure anything since around March 15th in polling is more than statistical noise. Biden moves from like +7 to +14.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304 map but OH, IA, NC, AK, MO and FL are at risk for Split voting wave potential as Ryan will win in OH, he hasn't lost a single race

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Ryan will win in OH, he hasn't lost a single race

Imagine thinking one D-majority district in Ohio is indicative of unbeatable titanism.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ryan will win in OH, he hasn't lost a single race

Imagine thinking one D-majority district in Ohio is indicative of unbeatable titanism.

What we won OH in 2008/2012/ and Brown has won every race and Gore would have won OH in 2000, Nadar took 3% from him in 2000,0 news flash Carter, Clinton, Obama, Strickland and Brown won OH


2000

Bush W 50
Nadar 3%
Gore 47%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All the Senate polls that have put out Rs haven't lead in not one except NH and that poll is 4 mnths old already

CO, AZ, PA, the Rs are loosing by 9 and WI, they're loosing by 4 pts where is this R midterm and assumption their gonna win the H granted it's the 304 blue wall but the Election is in 500 days

[President Johnson]

I'm not sure anything since around March 15th in polling is more than statistical noise. Biden moves from like +7 to +14.

Yeah, it's also unlikely he has lost much support since the first months were objectively going pretty well. Especially if the two infrastructure bills finally get passed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm not sure anything since around March 15th in polling is more than statistical noise. Biden moves from like +7 to +14.

Yeah, it's also unlikely he has lost much support since the first months were objectively going pretty well. Especially if the two infrastructure bills finally get passed.

Biden has lost ground he was at 60% Approvals when the Stimulus checks were passed 1400K, the right track wrong track numbers were 55/45, now they are very Trumpians 39/49% because we still need a 4th check that Yang has called for and with the Filibuster he isn't getting VR or Infrastructure done, but he is at the exact same Approvals he was on Election night 52 which is a 304 Senate map, but a gerrymandering Districts will give Rs control of the H

A wave can develop but he's losing time especially on VR before Gerrymandering comes into full force, next yr

[MR DARK BRANDON]

It’s a shame that we won’t get these approvals for much longer with trump being reinstated on august 13

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It’s a shame that we won’t get these approvals for much longer with trump being reinstated on august 13

He's at 52/48 in the regular polls and 50/48% on Rassy tracking polls we don't need them, Biden was never at 60% those were RV not LV

Even if he was they were short lived Yang has called on a 4th stimulus and Biden right track wrong track was 55/45% right after 1400 now they are now very Trumpians 39/49% because voters are calling for a 1K stimulus check

D's want a daily dose of 60% Approval that's they won't get

[Progressive Pessimist]

It’s a shame that we won’t get these approvals for much longer with trump being reinstated on august 13

That's the day before my birthday. That's one hell of a way to trigger this lib!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just note it's very hard to net seats in a Midterm by the same party and as long as Covid isn't Eradicated the burden falls on Biden just like it did on Trump

Remember, Biden said he hoped to get everyone vaccinsted by7/4/21 and Eradicate Covid, now we are once again going into Round 2 with this Delta Variet, Biden didn't get rid of Covid that he promised when became Prez

D's should win AZ, MA, MD, NH Govs and WI and PA Senate races but picking up 5/6/7 seats FL, OH, IA, NC, was never meant to be in the Midterm and it's needed to retain the H, short of a wave, D's are gonna lose the H

It would of been probable if we were in a Trump Midterm which he would be a 45% Prez

As long as the Justice Dept isn't going after Trump on Obstructing Justice on Ukraine because it's tied to Hunter, Trump is gonna lobby his troops behind OH, NC, IA and FL states