Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We still have 500 days til the Election, Rs are still the targets of the insurrection, the blue wave can still develop but I won't do are to candidates in FL due to how popular DeSantis is

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What's gonna dictate these Elections is 2021, if we lose Cali or VA, there is a possibility of a red wave, we will see Sept 14 the and Nov 2021

Whitmer and Hassan are endangered too

I know Sir Mohommad thinks Newsom is out of woods but on the ballot it says recall or not, it doesn't specify Newsom as a D, he can be recalled

Newsom is another DLC Gov like Biden is whom is upsetting his base by not prosecuting Trump on Obstructing Justice of Trump because it's tied to Ukraine Hunter, just remember if Rs take J, IT WILL COMEBACK ON BIDEN

[DabbingSanta]

Nothing has changed he has the exact same Approvals as he had on Election night

Approval average is down 3%, disapproval is up 6%.  Looking at the state level, he is underwater in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which he won by slim margins.  Definitely not a position to be comfortable in for the Biden camp.

Well, Trump had a much larger deficit in these states which he won narrowly and still came very close in 2020. This doesn't mean anything for 2024.

I agree with you.  There's a large degree of uncertainty here.  Sometimes it's hard extrapolating possible results from approval polls as a lot of people might not approve of a politician, but they'll still vote for them over the alternative.  Let's say Trump ran again in 2024, there's a lot of people who don't like Biden on the left who certainly won't vote Trump.  It's just interesting to see how he's not doing great with approvals in the Rust Belt, which he barely won in the first place.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nothing has changed he has the exact same Approvals as he had on Election night

Approval average is down 3%, disapproval is up 6%.  Looking at the state level, he is underwater in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which he won by slim margins.  Definitely not a position to be comfortable in for the Biden camp.

Well, Trump had a much larger deficit in these states which he won narrowly and still came very close in 2020. This doesn't mean anything for 2024.

I agree with you.  There's a large degree of uncertainty here.  Sometimes it's hard extrapolating possible results from approval polls as a lot of people might not approve of a politician, but they'll still vote for them over the alternative.  Let's say Trump ran again in 2024, there's a lot of people who don't like Biden on the left who certainly won't vote Trump.  It's just interesting to see how he's not doing great with approvals in the Rust Belt, which he barely won in the first place.

Trump improved dramatically with Muslims, Females and Latinos before the Insurrectionists and Covid cases were going down, after Jan 6th things changed and Afro Americans now are leading the charge against TRUMPIANS, AFRO AMERICAN WERE NEVER IN THE TRUMP CAMP BECAUSE WHAT HE DID TO OBAMA BIRTHISM AND HILLARY SEXISM

But states outside of FL and TX like OH, IA, AK, MO, KS are competetive because DeSantis and Greg Abbott are popular and DeSantis and Rubio have 60% approvals

That's why you see these discrepancy in polls

Also D's are passing infrastructure and Climate change and 388 family bucks but leaving VR, Prosecuting Trump on Obstructing Justice on Ukraine, 1K stimulus  for Regular people on the back burner

That's why you can get wide range of possibilities in 2022 and RH, DS or a Trifecta of D's, which means Statehood or an R Congress

But, again you get these 52/48 Approvals which matches a 304 map that we had today, no polling in OH, NC, IA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before what's the difference between a 55 D Senate and a DH and an RH and 51/48/1 Senate is gas prices,,⛽⛽⛽ and inflation and record Bankruptcies, as long as Covid isn't Eradicated people are gonna work part time and take time off from work or be on retirement because, people don't want them catch Covid, unless you are in office job, you are subjecting yourself to Covid

They said a noose of Covid and inflation is gonna be a detriment to Biden

As he is at 52/48 the same exact Approvals he was on Election night 304 map which may or may not be good enough to keep H due to TX, FL Voter Suppression Laws

But, we don't have the Redistricting maps, we can narrowly win the H even at 52 but we have no margin of error, the Senate we can lose GA

[Devils30]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-pandemic-approval-covid-19-opinion-poll/

Biden at 58/42 per CBS.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol, don't get excited Rassy tracking has Biden steady at 50/48% it's a 304 map

Rassy PREZ TRACKING JUST LIKE OTHERS 52/48 49 APPROVE, 49 DISAPPROVE

DONT GET EXCITED

Friday July 16th

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_july16

BIDEN APPROVALS REMAIN STEADY LIKE A BABY AS HE WAS ON ELECTION NIGHT

Just like IPSOS HAD IT 60%, RV NOT LV YEAH RIGHT

I told you what's the difference between 218D and 52/48 Sen and a 55/45 D S and a 230 D house is INFLATION AND GAS PRICES⛽⛽⛽ AND NOT ANOTHER STIMULUS CHECK THAT YANG HAS CALLED FOR , NOT JUST CHILD TAX CREDIT

D's can keep the H and Sen in this Environment they're gonna lose TX 2H seats and FL 1 H seat due to Abbott and Desantis reelection and no McCounghey isn't winning with Voter Suppression

And lose KS and probably IA that gives them four the rest are based on INCUMBENTs loosing in Cali, NY, TX and FL and D's will have Mandela Barnes and Fetterman in the Sen while GA goes to a runoff

House control willl dictate if we can get DC Statehood with a 52/48 Sen and Breyer should help things out by retiring in 2022

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-pandemic-approval-covid-19-opinion-poll/

Biden at 58/42 per CBS.

Interestingly, this is exactly the same as the prior CBS News poll, April 21-24.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not 58/42 it's a RV poll if Biden is at 58 why is DeSantis and Rubio up 20 in FL, shouldn't they be behind or tied, polls

FL was only won by 3 pts by Biden

FL is DONE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It was 51/46% on Election night, and it's 51(49% now, it's a 304a map scenario according to the polls not by the National popular vote, but D's are good to win the Senate and can't afford a margin of error in the H for a 218/217 H and 52/48 S

So, it's possible D's can win the PVI by 5 but still only have 51% of the vote which will give them a 3.5 victory, just like on Election night, unless Covid is Eradicated, Biden isn't gonna win 60%, not with DeSantis leading by 20

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's pretty much set in stone with Senate and Govs 51/148 and 291 D Govs, You tube is already projecting 2022/not predicting with pretend states like OH, FL, IA, AK, MO, PROJECTING, DeSantis and Rubio up 20 not tied, let's be real here

But, the H, can Ds keep the H, yes they can, they must do it with KS and IA and they have no room for error but KS has a 2(3rds R Legislature and h leans R at moment but D's can have 218/217 seats but it may need a helping hand from Lynn Cheney whom said she won't vote for McCarthy Speaker

217/217 tie and 1 for Lynne Cheney to make it for Speaker Jeffries

[wbrocks67]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-pandemic-approval-covid-19-opinion-poll/

Biden at 58/42 per CBS.

Both youGov - but this one Biden +10 with Indies while the Economist tracker always has him down double digits with Indies.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-pandemic-approval-covid-19-opinion-poll/

Biden at 58/42 per CBS.

Both youGov - but this one Biden +10 with Indies while the Economist tracker always has him down double digits with Indies.

Did you know Rassy tracking has it 50/48

[CascadianIndy]

UNH has Biden approval/disapproval at 50/49. I'd include a link here but unfortunately I'm under 20 posts.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not hunk it's similar to Rassy tracking 50/49

[GeorgiaModerate]

UNH has Biden approval/disapproval at 50/49. I'd include a link here but unfortunately I'm under 20 posts.

Nationally or in NH?  That's pretty close to the last Granite State poll I saw from UNH (51/47, IIRC).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But, but, but Biden was supposed to have a 59% approval rating and we are supposed to have a NUT MAP IN 2022, LOL IT CHANGES EVERYDAY, WE CAN HAVE 59% Approvals and a nut map like over the weekend but then it can be a 304 Election map, stick with Rassy Tracking polls its stabalizing Biden at 49 and Trump at 45%

[CascadianIndy]

UNH has Biden approval/disapproval at 50/49. I'd include a link here but unfortunately I'm under 20 posts.

Nationally or in NH?  That's pretty close to the last Granite State poll I saw from UNH (51/47, IIRC).

In the state, not nationally. Apologies for the confusion.

[pbrower2a]

UNH has Biden approval/disapproval at 50/49. I'd include a link here but unfortunately I'm under 20 posts.

Nationally or in NH?  That's pretty close to the last Granite State poll I saw from UNH (51/47, IIRC).

It is statewide. In the last few years I have seen New Hampshire tantalize Republicans only to disappoint them in the relevant election. I'm not saying that that will definitively happen again.

Most significantly... newbies are highly unlikely to introduce manipulative polling. For now I take his (or her) word on this one. 

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hassan is in a competitive rave with Sununu, don't underestimate Sununu he was up by six in the last poll but no other polls

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), July 17-20, 1100 adults including 991 RV

Adults:

Approve 53 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (nc)

RV:

Approve 54 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Very similar to his Election night approvals 51/46%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's would be lucky to have a 51/49 Senate and pull to a tie with Rs in the H with losing IA, KS, 3 H seats from TX and FL and loosing NC right out the gate, Cooper is term limited and Rs are prone to pick up NC in 2024, I doubt D's pick up the Sen, it's fool's gold


That's 6 before we get to INCUMBENTs

It's nice to think Biden is net positive in FL, but REALLY, DESANTIS AND RUBIO ARE UP 60/40%, they got a bump from the Surfside, we didn't even see Demings, Grayson or Crist, but we saw Debbie Wasserman, Rubio and DeSantis

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 17-20, 1500 adults including 1272 RV


Adults:

Approve 48 (+1)
Disapprove 40 (-3)

Strongly approve 24 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-1)


RV:

Approve 50 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (-2)

Strongly approve 28 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 36 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Seems like Biden is starting to blow it. Looked unbeatable a few weeks ago. Too bad for the republicans that they lack talent for the most part.

Biden is tracking very closely to his Approvals on Election night 51/46%, we knew that if Covid was eradicated, it wasn't gonna be a landslide Election polarization has already set in, but the Senate is still plausible with a 52/48 map and a tie in the H, 218/217 but everything must go right for D's without a tsunami to retain the H in a Neutral Environment

Hold TX and FL to 3 losses due to the Extra seats they got in Redistricting, they can't afford to lose anymore seats