2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California  (Read 91497 times)
SevenEleven
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« Reply #350 on: June 03, 2020, 12:31:40 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #351 on: June 03, 2020, 12:35:55 AM »

People move to keep their jobs all the time, even outside of politics.
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #352 on: June 03, 2020, 12:37:22 AM »

It's still not guaranteed that CA loses a district. I really hope that doesn't happen. I updated my 53 district map.



Who takes the green Riverside district?

Perhaps Jose Medina.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #353 on: June 03, 2020, 12:40:23 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
That makes sense. Who takes Lowenthal's old district, maybe his son Josh (he's from Huntington Beach) or Diedre Nguyen? Who takes my CA-41 (San Bernardino and Inyo)? Who takes the Temecula-Escondido district on your map?
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #354 on: June 03, 2020, 12:41:54 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
That makes sense. Who takes Lowenthal's old district, maybe his son Josh (he's from Huntington Beach) or Diedre Nguyen? Who takes my CA-41 (San Bernardino and Inyo)? Who takes the Temecula-Escondido district on your map?

Ken Calvert.

Nanette Barragan probably takes the Long Beach district.

Olbernolte probably takes the SB district.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #355 on: June 03, 2020, 12:44:02 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
That makes sense. Who takes Lowenthal's old district, maybe his son Josh (he's from Huntington Beach) or Diedre Nguyen? Who takes my CA-41 (San Bernardino and Inyo)? Who takes the Temecula-Escondido district on your map?

Ken Calvert.

Nanette Barragan probably takes the Long Beach district.
Calvert doesn't live in your Escondido-Temecula district. Anyone else?
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #356 on: June 03, 2020, 12:44:40 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
That makes sense. Who takes Lowenthal's old district, maybe his son Josh (he's from Huntington Beach) or Diedre Nguyen? Who takes my CA-41 (San Bernardino and Inyo)? Who takes the Temecula-Escondido district on your map?

Ken Calvert.

Nanette Barragan probably takes the Long Beach district.
Calvert doesn't live in your Escondido-Temecula district. Anyone else? Who takes my San Bernardino-Inyo district?

Olbernolte.

Calvert will just move. Or Issa makes a comeback.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #357 on: June 03, 2020, 12:53:45 AM »

Is that the 53 district map? Who takes district 4 in yellow?

Yes. CA-5 is 50% Trump, so probably someone from the Redding area. I guess it depends on what kind of nominee the Dems produce in Mendocino/Humboldt.
Who might take CA-01 on my map? I imagine it would be a very liberal Democrat. Any ideas?

Kevin De Leon? 😂
No, even though he did pretty well there. Any ideas on somebody from any of the four counties in that area?

Mike Thompson until he retires, then possibly Mike McGuire.
Thompson doesn't live there (he's from Napa). Maybe Jim Wood?
He'll move.
Thompson will carpetbag? It makes more sense to have McGuire or Wood. Who takes my northern Sacramento-Yolo-Colusa-Yuba district?
Ami Bera
That makes sense. Who takes Lowenthal's old district, maybe his son Josh (he's from Huntington Beach) or Diedre Nguyen? Who takes my CA-41 (San Bernardino and Inyo)? Who takes the Temecula-Escondido district on your map?

Ken Calvert.

Nanette Barragan probably takes the Long Beach district.
Calvert doesn't live in your Escondido-Temecula district. Anyone else? Who takes my San Bernardino-Inyo district?

Olbernolte.

Calvert will just move. Or Issa makes a comeback.
Issa probably takes it (or Campa-Najjar if there's an upset). Olbernolte takes my CA-41? Who takes my CA-20 (replaces Devin Nunes with a Democratic district)? Who takes my CA-44, Diedre Nguyen or Josh Lowenthal? what about my East LA district when Roybal-Allard retires? Who takes my CA-49 (Levin from San Juan Capistrano was drawn out), Sara Jacobs or Doug Applegate?

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SevenEleven
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« Reply #358 on: June 03, 2020, 12:55:59 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20, defeating Nunes. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #359 on: June 03, 2020, 12:58:13 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford. My 40 is Long Beach-San Pedro. Barragan takes 40. My 44 is actually Lowenthal's old district. Maybe Diedre Nguyen or Josh Lowenthal takes my plurality-Asian 44?

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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #360 on: June 03, 2020, 01:01:13 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
My 40 is Long Beach-San Pedro. Barragan takes 40. My 44 is actually Lowenthal's old district. Maybe Diedre Nguyen or Josh Lowenthal takes my plurality-Asian 44?


Probably Diedre Nguyen.
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #361 on: June 03, 2020, 01:02:29 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #362 on: June 03, 2020, 01:06:15 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #363 on: June 03, 2020, 01:15:39 AM »


bonus: here is as Asian a district you'll get while staying out of Arcadia and those Asian suburbs, and other hotspots for the Asian population in SoCal.
I like how painfully gerrymandered it is.
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #364 on: June 03, 2020, 01:16:58 AM »


bonus: here is as Asian a district you'll get while staying out of Arcadia and those Asian suburbs, and other hotspots for the Asian population in SoCal.
I like how painfully gerrymandered it is.
This district gave me cancer.
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #365 on: June 03, 2020, 01:17:39 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #366 on: June 03, 2020, 01:22:02 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #367 on: June 03, 2020, 01:23:01 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #368 on: June 03, 2020, 01:24:22 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #369 on: June 03, 2020, 01:25:05 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?

It depends on what data set you're using. But if it's that Republican, Nunes probably carpetbags. I only look at 2016 because state elections are volatile and PVI is a useless metric.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #370 on: June 03, 2020, 01:27:11 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?

It depends on what data set you're using. But if it's that Republican, Nunes probably carpetbags.
It's 54.6% GOP. It's close. Maybe Nunes? Does Cisneros take my 38 (Hacienda Heights) or 45 (Yorba Linda)?
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #371 on: June 03, 2020, 01:30:29 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?

It depends on what data set you're using. But if it's that Republican, Nunes probably carpetbags.
It's 54.6% GOP. It's close. Maybe Nunes?

The brown one? Definitely Nunes.

Quote
Does Cisneros take my 38 (Hacienda Heights)?

Norma Torres
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ERM64man
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« Reply #372 on: June 03, 2020, 01:33:00 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?

It depends on what data set you're using. But if it's that Republican, Nunes probably carpetbags.
It's 54.6% GOP. It's close. Maybe Nunes?

The brown one? Definitely Nunes.

Quote
Does Cisneros take my 38 (Hacienda Heights)?

Norma Torres
Pomona is in CA-35. Is it Cisneros then? Does Porter take my 45, even though UC Irvine isn't there?

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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #373 on: June 03, 2020, 01:34:13 AM »

Barragan will take 44, Levin will take 49, Costa will take 20. Roybal-Allard's district will be a free for all.
Costa is Fresno, not Bakersfield-Hanford.

TJ Cox takes that district. Or god forbid, Rudy Salas.
Cox is Fresno too (my 18). I guess Rudy Salas? McGuire or Wood takes my CA-01? What about my 14 (center of San Jose)?

Most of Cox's territory is in Hanford and Kern. With his scandals, he should run in familiar territory.
Who takes my 18 (Fresno), Nunes? Are McGuire and Wood the most likely possibilities for my CA-01? What about my CA-14 (San Jose)?

Nunes, I don't think so. What's the Clinton %?
My DRA statistics say 56.62 GOP. Is that the Clinton %?

It depends on what data set you're using. But if it's that Republican, Nunes probably carpetbags.
It's 54.6% GOP. It's close. Maybe Nunes?

The brown one? Definitely Nunes.

Quote
Does Cisneros take my 38 (Hacienda Heights)?

Norma Torres
Pomona is in CA-35. Is it Cisneros then? Does Porter take my 45, even though UC Irvine isn't there?

Probably. Territory represented matters a lot more than home location. See: Grace Napolitano.

The red district probably goes to a Republican.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #374 on: June 03, 2020, 09:51:19 AM »

Should I redraw my NorCal map?
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