The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Sbane]

Oh snap, so Obama would be reelected if the election were tomorrow?

[CJK]

Obama approval rating October 2010 (Gallup)

45% Approve

48% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 49/36 (October 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (October 1982)

Bush I: 57/33 (October 1990)

Clinton: 44/50 (October 1994)

Bush II: 65/29 (October 2002)

[Clamdick McClaw]

Obama approval rating October 2010 (Gallup)

45% Approve

48% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 49/36 (October 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (October 1982)

Bush I: 57/33 (October 1990)

Clinton: 44/50 (October 1994)

Bush II: 65/29 (October 2002)

If Obama's doomed I guess Reagan must've gotten WRECKED.  ; )

[Penelope]

Reagan: 42/48 (October 1982)

So guys, what did you think about the Mondale Administration?

[King]

Reagan: 42/48 (October 1982)

So guys, what did you think about the Mondale Administration?

That was more the Democrats fault for losing by nominating a bad candidate tied too much to Carter; it would be like the GOP nominating Dick Cheneya.  Mondale actually had a lead in the January Gallup polls.  Gary Hart might have beaten Reagan, extramarital affair aside (or at least made it a close race).

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1.

Disapprove 51%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +3.

There is still a bad sample in there; it should be totally out by tomorrow.

[riceowl]

a bad bad sample or a bad good sample?

[Clamdick McClaw]

a bad bad sample or a bad good sample?

A bad good sample is what he means.  I'm not too sure that 49-51 is wrong.  I would bet more on 46-47 in reality, but Obama's been campaigning and typically that is a good thing for him. 

[J. J.]

a bad bad sample or a bad good sample?

Bad pro Obama sample.

[pbrower2a]

Response to the terrorist threat?

The adults are in charge.

[J. J.]

Response to the terrorist threat?

The adults are in charge.

It would have just done that for one day?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Reagan: 42/48 (October 1982)

So guys, what did you think about the Mondale Administration?

That was more the Democrats fault for losing by nominating a bad candidate tied too much to Carter; it would be like the GOP nominating Dick Cheneya.  Mondale actually had a lead in the January Gallup polls.  Gary Hart might have beaten Reagan, extramarital affair aside (or at least made it a close race).

Nobody could have beaten Reagan in 1984. The country had rebounded strongly from a recession and he had strong approval ratings.  

[Umengus]

Considering the cnn exit polls and assuming the fact the republican candidate is a good one (not sarah palin...), obama would have losen if presidential election was yesterday.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -2.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.

[Bull Moose Base]

Midterm results are in!!

Rasmussen in month before election consistently showed Republicans 3-4 points stronger than they ended up.

...as per 538.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

[Penelope]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

To be expected, I suspect the President's approval numbers will not approach 50% until after the State of the Union address.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

To be expected, I suspect the President's approval numbers will not approach 50% until after the State of the Union address.

There is some variability, as seen in the past week, so I thing a 50% mark may be hit again.  He won't hold it beyond a three day period.

The last time that Obama had numbers at or above 50% over a more than three day period was September 27, 2009.  Even the last State of the Union did not produce it.

[The Trump Virus]

Midterm results are in!!

Rasmussen in month before election consistently showed Republicans 3-4 points stronger than they ended up.

...as per 538.

Nearly every single pollster had the Republicans up by 3-4 points.  It wasn't just Rasmussen.  What's your point?

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, u.

Disapprove 54%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Less extreme feelings?

[Oakvale]

Midterm results are in!!

Rasmussen in month before election consistently showed Republicans 3-4 points stronger than they ended up.

...as per 538.

Nearly every single pollster had the Republicans up by 3-4 points.  It wasn't just Rasmussen.  What's your point?

He's referring to the fact that Rasmussen polls overestimated the Republicans by 3-4 points. Consistently.

[Penelope]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

To be expected, I suspect the President's approval numbers will not approach 50% until after the State of the Union address.

There is some variability, as seen in the past week, so I thing a 50% mark may be hit again.  He won't hold it beyond a three day period.

The last time that Obama had numbers at or above 50% over a more than three day period was September 27, 2009.  Even the last State of the Union did not produce it.

No, I believe a 50 mark will be hit again - certainly. His work with the now much more Republican congress will improve his numbers, so I would expect to see modest improvement above his current numbers after the first "major" legislative achievement of this new congress. Next spring perhaps. The state of the union this year could potentially improve his numbers I believe, if he shows some humility, responsibility, and confidence to fix the unemployment numbers. If his state of the union is reminiscent of the 2008 Barack Obama, and not the 2010 Barack Obama, I believe it could help him out a lot.

[J. J.]

No, I believe a 50 mark will be hit again - certainly. His work with the now much more Republican congress will improve his numbers, so I would expect to see modest improvement above his current numbers after the first "major" legislative achievement of this new congress. Next spring perhaps. The state of the union this year could potentially improve his numbers I believe, if he shows some humility, responsibility, and confidence to fix the unemployment numbers. If his state of the union is reminiscent of the 2008 Barack Obama, and not the 2010 Barack Obama, I believe it could help him out a lot.

His major achievement might be repealing Obamacare.

[Penelope]

No, I believe a 50 mark will be hit again - certainly. His work with the now much more Republican congress will improve his numbers, so I would expect to see modest improvement above his current numbers after the first "major" legislative achievement of this new congress. Next spring perhaps. The state of the union this year could potentially improve his numbers I believe, if he shows some humility, responsibility, and confidence to fix the unemployment numbers. If his state of the union is reminiscent of the 2008 Barack Obama, and not the 2010 Barack Obama, I believe it could help him out a lot.

His major achievement might be repealing Obamacare.

The American people did not elect either Barack Obama or John Boehner to repeal heathcare reform.  Only around 10-15% of the electorate thought that healthcare was a major issue this year. The American people elected John Boehner and the Republicans because the economy hasn't recovered yet - not because they are angry with a healthcare law that won't go into effect until the next midterm elections.

If John Boehner puts his effort into repealing "Obamacare" I would expect a swing back to the Democrats in 2012. 

[Poundingtherock]

Nate Silver has SurveyUSA at #1.

So even if you want to slam Rasmussen, SurveyUSA's numbers were worse for Obama because they polled his favorable rating.  Of course, some of the Republican hacks here don't like SurveyUSA.