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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1059139 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: January 22, 2009, 01:55:36 PM »
« edited: February 11, 2009, 01:55:02 PM by Tender Branson »
3 states already released (600 adults, polls conducted Jan. 20/21):

Alabama:

60% Approve
24% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=61adfc41-d836-464f-8186-f5a8bcb76249

California:

77% Approve
15% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=030afd67-3556-4a63-8e9a-442cb1e2b7f0

Iowa:

68% Approve
22% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ecb45028-93b8-4bc9-8e18-ef45914bd040

Rasmussen shows the following result today (nationally of course, 3-day tracker):

64% Approve
29% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2009, 02:02:09 PM »

States that were likely polled as well and will be released soon:

Kansas
Kentucky
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2009, 02:03:12 PM »
Update:

Kansas

62% Approve
24% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d87c6dde-e886-458a-a13e-0fbe918d548f
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2009, 02:08:49 PM »
Not pushing those leaners are we
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2009, 02:16:31 PM »

Gallup notes today that many people who took sides during the Transition have moved into "Undecided"-mode in past cycles. Maybe we witness the same here.

Rasmussen's national tracking for example showed 98% of those polled having an opinion about Obama until a few days ago. Today it's just 93% ...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2009, 02:16:50 PM »

The real Alabama numbers are probably something like 62%/38%. Heh.
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2009, 02:40:55 PM »
No Indiana numbers? I am sad.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2009, 02:46:58 PM »

The 15 states above are polled almost every month for Presidential, Senatorial and Gubernatorial Approval Ratings, but some states like Indiana, Pennsylvania etc. were only polled for the General Election ...
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bgwah
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« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2009, 02:53:51 PM »
7% disapproval among Hispanics in California

Interesting.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2009, 03:11:09 PM »
There's probably a pretty significant Bradley Effect going on in Alabama. Tongue
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Holmes
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« Reply #10 on: January 22, 2009, 03:23:14 PM »
« Edited: January 22, 2009, 03:27:04 PM by Hobbes »
Kentucky(Smiley) is out.

Approve: 62%
Disapprove: 25%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9c74442f-6013-401f-a949-7801bbecca36

Obama only received 69% of the Democrat vote in Kentucky, I wonder what it would've looked like with 83% instead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2009, 04:58:09 PM »
So after two days on the job...
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Rob
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« Reply #12 on: January 22, 2009, 05:11:48 PM »

After two days on the job, 25 percent of Kentuckians already disapprove. Honeymoon over?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: January 22, 2009, 05:17:03 PM »
Quote from: Rob on January 22, 2009, 05:11:48 PM

After two days on the job, 25 percent of Kentuckians already disapprove. Honeymoon over?

No, I'd say the honeymoon is over because the press is already giving him a hard time over something silly (not letting enough reporters/cameras in on that second swearing in).  Tongue
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Holmes
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« Reply #14 on: January 22, 2009, 05:50:33 PM »
Massachusetts

Approve: 78%
Disapprove: 11%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=48501a4c-9bd7-480a-b19f-9102044921ed

Minnesota

Approve: 64%
Disapprove: 21%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2c18d27f-7462-448c-88bf-939da8b31076

Uhh, about Minnesota, I'm not saying the actual results look out of place, but the numbers Obama got from the 18 - 34 age group kinda do...
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #15 on: January 22, 2009, 07:11:50 PM »
SUSA has a ridiculously gigantic Republican bias in Minnesota for some reason.

I'm glad to hear that even states like Kentucky and Alabama support our President (and thus do not hate America or wish ill on our soldiers fighting overseas).
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2009, 07:39:19 PM »
Interesting numbers.
I didn't know he has accomplished that much in less than a week. People should wait a bit before automatically loving him. If I had to guess, because he won't be able to make all of his promises, in one year, he will be around 55-60%.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2009, 09:23:52 PM »

Rasmussen has released polls for Texas and Tennessee:

Texas

62% approve (41% strongly) / 35% disapprove (19% strongly)

Tennessee

60% approve (39% strongly) / 35% disapprove (21% strongly)

Link

Dave
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Smid
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« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2009, 09:47:14 PM »
What was the question they were asking? Perhaps "Do you approve of Obama swearing the oath?" I don't think that's about the only thing on which to judge him one way or the other at the moment...
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2009, 10:30:11 PM »
Quote from: Smid on January 22, 2009, 09:47:14 PM
What was the question they were asking? Perhaps "Do you approve of Obama swearing the oath?" I don't think that's about the only thing on which to judge him one way or the other at the moment...

Well, cabinet appointments and actions over the first two days, however few of them are.

Cabinet appointments is 90% what I'm going on, currently.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2009, 11:25:32 PM »
Of the two days Obama has been president so far, I really could not approve more. I was very worried that he'd start triangulating and backtracking right out of the gate; so far, it seems like he's sticking to his promises, and then some.
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Dodger Blue
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« Reply #21 on: January 23, 2009, 12:27:24 AM »
So far so good.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #22 on: January 23, 2009, 01:01:48 AM »
Quote from: Democratic Hawk on January 22, 2009, 09:23:52 PM

Rasmussen has released polls for Texas and Tennessee:

Texas

62% approve (41% strongly) / 35% disapprove (19% strongly)

Tennessee

60% approve (39% strongly) / 35% disapprove (21% strongly)

Link

Dave

It should be noted that the TX and TN polls were taken Jan. 14, when Obama had a 65-33 rating nationally ...

Quote from: Senator Lief on January 22, 2009, 07:11:50 PM
SUSA has a ridiculously gigantic Republican bias in Minnesota for some reason.

Very True ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #23 on: January 23, 2009, 01:07:17 AM »
The rest of the states that were released by SUSA:

Missouri: 65% Approve, 21% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=72913ec2-fb62-4950-ae14-9245ddae368b

New Mexico: 65% Approve, 22% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a6bfa544-a441-421d-966c-6e0e45ef34d0

New York: 78% Approve, 11% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3522e847-a0a9-4b4c-b115-8e8679b68b2e

Oregon: 68% Approve, 18% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=66a5dc08-d9a2-4b34-b49a-12418ff87e3c

Virginia: 62% Approve, 23% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4ab3b8db-1579-46ff-93f5-48290a120ea1

Washington: 69% Approve, 17% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=90c0da33-6856-4e0a-946f-438fe35bf976

Wisconsin: 70% Approve, 18% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=37e8eafa-5bd0-42c8-aee2-3802b511b4ef
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emotional hardcore
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« Reply #24 on: January 23, 2009, 01:16:04 AM »
The Minnesota numbers look fine to me (the subsamples don't but they're always way off due to the extreme MoE.) Obama's at about the max approval ANYONE can have in Minnesota due to polarization. Minnesota has so many hardcore left-wingers and hardcore right-wingers that the ceiling for approval for anyone is relatively low.
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