2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85724 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #675 on: May 17, 2022, 09:08:28 PM »
PA-SEN (R) is going to come down to those Lancaster County ballots, isn't it.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #676 on: May 17, 2022, 09:09:00 PM »
Honestly, I find McCormick the least objectionable of the bunch. I want Oz to win because I think he'd be a weaker candidate, but I wouldn't be completely embarrassed to have him as a senator like I would with Barnette or Oz.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #677 on: May 17, 2022, 09:09:53 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on May 17, 2022, 09:08:12 PM
Quote from: emailking on May 17, 2022, 09:05:47 PM
McCormick isn't losing much ground as the votes come in.

Yeah it looks like more of the remaining vote is in McCormick (or Barnette) areas and not Oz areas, which are close to fully reporting. But I think Oz will still narrowly overtake him.

It's going to be close, and it's going to be a very weird map.
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Gracile
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« Reply #678 on: May 17, 2022, 09:10:32 PM »
Oz is slowly thinning the statewide margin from McCormick and even flipped a few counties that he had at the beginning of the night as more votes come in (Erie, Northampton). I still think Oz will win, but it looks like it will be close.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #679 on: May 17, 2022, 09:10:36 PM »
McCormick now only 1.2% up with 65% reporting. Most of his PGH/western sinks are nearly all in, so looks like Oz/Barnette have more out here, especially with more E-day out
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #680 on: May 17, 2022, 09:10:43 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 17, 2022, 09:08:28 PM
PA-SEN (R) is going to come down to those Lancaster County ballots, isn't it.

It only seems appropriate given how bizarre this primary's been.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #681 on: May 17, 2022, 09:11:10 PM »
I hope McCormick wins, he seems much more conventional then the other two.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #682 on: May 17, 2022, 09:11:36 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 17, 2022, 09:09:00 PM
Honestly, I find McCormick the least objectionable of the bunch. I want Oz to win because I think he'd be a weaker candidate, but I wouldn't be completely embarrassed to have him as a senator like I would with Barnette or Oz.
Bob Casey will be there for atleast next two years, don’t lose hope.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #683 on: May 17, 2022, 09:11:50 PM »
Quote from: Reluctant hardcore partisan Darthpi on May 17, 2022, 09:09:53 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on May 17, 2022, 09:08:12 PM
Quote from: emailking on May 17, 2022, 09:05:47 PM
McCormick isn't losing much ground as the votes come in.

Yeah it looks like more of the remaining vote is in McCormick (or Barnette) areas and not Oz areas, which are close to fully reporting. But I think Oz will still narrowly overtake him.

It's going to be close, and it's going to be a very weird map.

It's interesting that, unlike the governor's primary, there aren't really strong regional divisions here. But not surprising, since two of the candidates are carpetbaggers and the third is a pure creation of the media.
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Pheurton Skeurto
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« Reply #684 on: May 17, 2022, 09:12:02 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 17, 2022, 09:08:28 PM
PA-SEN (R) is going to come down to those Lancaster County ballots, isn't it.

Pennsylvania Republicans are doing to the rest of you what they do to me every day.

Headaches.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #685 on: May 17, 2022, 09:12:23 PM »
Hopefully we get like six recounts or something. That would be interesting.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #686 on: May 17, 2022, 09:12:58 PM »

Wasserman is calling it for NOT Barnette
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #687 on: May 17, 2022, 09:13:04 PM »
Did the power go out at Mastriano’s speech? Lol
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #688 on: May 17, 2022, 09:13:28 PM »
Philly only has 38% divisions reporting now, and oddly Oz doing well in Philly compared to McC/Barnette
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #689 on: May 17, 2022, 09:13:42 PM »
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Gracile
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« Reply #690 on: May 17, 2022, 09:14:50 PM »
Lee is now only 3K behind Irwin and close to taking the lead in Allegheny.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #691 on: May 17, 2022, 09:15:52 PM »
Quote from: Utah Neolib on May 17, 2022, 09:13:04 PM
Did the power go out at Mastriano’s speech? Lol

Hopefully the universe is doing some foreshadowing here.
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Sestak
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« Reply #692 on: May 17, 2022, 09:16:29 PM »
May have counted out McCormick a bit too soon; I didn't realize how much was out in Delaware/Bucks. Ofc the vote may narrow a lot there once more of EDay starts coming in as it has elsewhere, but that's no guarantee.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #693 on: May 17, 2022, 09:18:05 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on May 17, 2022, 09:16:29 PM
May have counted out McCormick a bit too soon; I didn't realize how much was out in Delaware/Bucks. Ofc the vote may narrow a lot there once more of EDay starts coming in as it has elsewhere, but that's no guarantee.

There's a lot still out in Westmoreland too, and I have no idea what to expect from those.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #694 on: May 17, 2022, 09:18:06 PM »
Down to a 1% lead for McCormick
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #695 on: May 17, 2022, 09:19:45 PM »
Fetterman just narrowly took the lead in Philly.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #696 on: May 17, 2022, 09:20:10 PM »
McCormick now only 0.9% up, this is really gonna come down to one of them winning by like 1-3%
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Not Me, Us
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« Reply #697 on: May 17, 2022, 09:20:50 PM »
Quote from: Mexican Wolf on May 17, 2022, 09:19:45 PM
Fetterman just narrowly took the lead in Philly.

A 67 county sweep would be absolutely beautiful.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #698 on: May 17, 2022, 09:21:41 PM »
Quote from: Not Me, Us on May 17, 2022, 09:20:50 PM
Quote from: Mexican Wolf on May 17, 2022, 09:19:45 PM
Fetterman just narrowly took the lead in Philly.

A 67 county sweep would be absolutely beautiful.

As a Fetterman supporter, I agree, but as a map nerd, I dissent lol.
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Matty
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« Reply #699 on: May 17, 2022, 09:22:21 PM »
Guys.....THE DIFFERENCE IN PERCENTAGE DOES NOT MATTER

Pay attention to raw vote margin

Mccormick is maintaining a consistent 7-9k lead as EDay votes come in. Of course, the percent margin will narrow, but raw vote isn't.

This reminds me of trump vs cruz louisiana primary 2016.

yes, cruz was massively outperforming his early vote performance, but trump's lead never changed
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