2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Brother Jonathan]

So it seems like McCormick (like a lot of other more conventional R candidates) has done better with early votes than election day votes, though it's not as anywhere near as severe as for Dolan, to take one example. It looks okay for Oz too at this stage, but it's also possible he and Barnette split the election day vote in places like Delaware and Bucks enough for McCormick to pull it out.

[philly09]

Three PA counties have yet to report. Somerset, Potter, and Juniata.

[Nyvin]

Guys.....THE DIFFERENCE IN PERCENTAGE DOES NOT MATTER

Pay attention to raw vote margin

Mccormick is maintaining a consistent 7-9k lead as EDay votes come in. Of course, the percent margin will narrow, but raw vote isn't.

This reminds me of trump vs cruz louisiana primary 2016.

yes, cruz was massively outperforming his early vote performance, but trump's lead never changed

Well,  now it's back down to around 6k again like an hour ago, lol.

It looks like Barnette's last mile surge really did save McCormick.   Without it Oz would probably be walking away with this easily.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/laurenpeikoff/status/1526749900523855873?s=20&t=cBMtG8rJ...

Did not follow the precedent of his master.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Summer Lee is only trailing by like 100 votes wtf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Kenyatta is doing so poorly in western PA. He's at 3% in Allegheny, and 1% in Washington and Beaver counties. He's polling 1.17% and placing FOURTH in Westmoreland.

I get that Lamb and Fetterman both being from the west probably sapped up every vote in this region, but I don't really remember him spending anytime campaigning over here.

[Nyvin]

Summer Lee is only trailing by like 100 votes wtf

Holy crap, that's amazing

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

Kenyatta is doing so poorly in western PA. He's at 3% in Allegheny, and 1% in Washington and Beaver counties. He's polling 1.17% and placing FOURTH in Westmoreland.

I get that Lamb and Fetterman both being from the west probably sapped up every vote in this region, but I don't really remember him spending anytime campaigning over here.

He did get the endorsement of the current mayor of Braddock lol

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

McCormick's numbers in and around Philidelphia aren't good enough to hold his lead even if he held the exact same margin in the counties with only or overwhelmingly early votes reported so far. He's also generally losing in the northwestern counties that tend to count late like Erie so he'll lose the same way Trump did.

So I'll just call OZ VICTORY right now. Might be bold but I live on the edge

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

McCormick's numbers in and around Philidelphia aren't good enough to hold his lead even if he held the exact same margin in the counties with only or overwhelmingly early votes reported so far. He's also generally losing in the northwestern counties that tend to count late like Erie so he'll lose the same way Trump did.

So I'll just call OZ VICTORY right now. Might be bold but I live on the edge

Yeah I don't know what you're seeing, but this looks like advantage McCormick here unless something really unexpected happens with the Republican votes left in Bucks and Westmoreland counties.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Just hit the report button folks, no need to quote the post.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Kenyatta is doing so poorly in western PA. He's at 3% in Allegheny, and 1% in Washington and Beaver counties. He's polling 1.17% and placing FOURTH in Westmoreland.

I get that Lamb and Fetterman both being from the west probably sapped up every vote in this region, but I don't really remember him spending anytime campaigning over here.

He did get the endorsement of the current mayor of Braddock lol

That endorsement was literally the only effort he put into campaigning here lol.

[Unelectable Bystander]

Why is Oz some kind of titan in Philly and NE PA?

[Matty]

Mccormick at 80 on predictit

80!

[BigSerg]

Barnette gave McCormick a chance to win. If McCormick wins this, she should be kicked out of the Republican party. And of course there must be some way for Trump to overturn this election.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Summer Lee takes the lead!

Ahead by 47 votes.

[Nyvin]

McCormick's lead in Delaware dropped bigly with that latest dump

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Kenyatta is doing so poorly in western PA. He's at 3% in Allegheny, and 1% in Washington and Beaver counties. He's polling 1.17% and placing FOURTH in Westmoreland.

I get that Lamb and Fetterman both being from the west probably sapped up every vote in this region, but I don't really remember him spending anytime campaigning over here.

Well yeah, he was a stupid epic fail joke of a candidate. As was Lamb of course.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling NC-11 R for Edwards
Calling PA LT GOV R for DelRosso

Uncalled:

KY-3 R
KY-6 D
NC-1 R
NC-2 R
NC-6 R
NC-7 D
NC-12 R
NC-13 R
PA-6 R
PA-7 R
PA-10 D
PA-12 D
PA Sen R

[Mexican Wolf]

Why is Oz some kind of titan in Philly and NE PA?

Admittedly, I thought he'd been winning a couple of the Philly suburban counties too, but I feel like the Philly area is where a lot of fans of Oz's show are, so the ones who are still Republican are helping him carry Philadelphia County. This is more of a hunch than anything else. Not sure about NE PA, maybe it has something to do with Oz's Jersey residence?

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

SUMMER LEE TAKES THE LEAD BY 47 VOTES

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Barnette gave McCormick a chance to win. If McCormick wins this, she should be kicked out of the Republican party. And of course there must be some way for Trump to overturn this election.

He's literally the Republican with the best chance of holding the seat, you turnip.

[Sestak]

Guys.....THE DIFFERENCE IN PERCENTAGE DOES NOT MATTER

Pay attention to raw vote margin

Mccormick is maintaining a consistent 7-9k lead as EDay votes come in. Of course, the percent margin will narrow, but raw vote isn't.

This reminds me of trump vs cruz louisiana primary 2016.

yes, cruz was massively outperforming his early vote performance, but trump's lead never changed

If the lead were larger I'd agree with this but <10K is finicky. The fact that it's been constant is good for him but just giving it the eye test with what areas are reporting the most still makes it look like it could easily slip late.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Why is Oz some kind of titan in Philly and NE PA?

You mean West Jersey?

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

Summer Lee is only trailing by like 100 votes wtf

Holy crap, that's amazing

Typos are great

MAGGIE KOERTH
MAY. 17, 10:37 PM
Pennsylvania’s 12th is at 99 percent reporting and Lee is down by … 47 votes.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/pa-nc-primary-elections-2022/#334216

Summer Lee takes the lead!

Ahead by 47 votes.