2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 86502 times)
Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #625 on: May 17, 2022, 08:38:08 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on May 17, 2022, 08:33:16 PM
Would peg the odds at 80% for Oz, 18% for Barnette, and like 2% for McCormick.

Yeah I'm officially calling this for NOT MCCORMICK

Probably Oz, but there's still an outside chance Barnette pulls ahead with the late votes from the Philly metro area
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20RP12
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« Reply #626 on: May 17, 2022, 08:38:48 PM »
Down goes Cawthorn!
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #627 on: May 17, 2022, 08:39:22 PM »
The thought of weird celebrity doctor guy against down-to-earth John is concerning and sounds like a recipe for crap margins in rural PA. What’s even more concerning is if he teaches democrats how to not antagonize working class voters
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #628 on: May 17, 2022, 08:39:45 PM »
Cawthorn crashed.

And burned too.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #629 on: May 17, 2022, 08:40:11 PM »
McCormick is holding on to that stubborn 6k vote lead forever, lol
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #630 on: May 17, 2022, 08:40:15 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 17, 2022, 08:38:03 PM
I posted it in another thread, but Cook just announced on Twitter that they're moving PA-GOV to Lean D.

I gotchu, fam.  
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New England Fire Squad
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« Reply #631 on: May 17, 2022, 08:40:43 PM »
Is it just me or is it incredibly odd that a supposed election handicapper seems to have no idea who Josh Shapiro is on 538?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/pa-nc-primary-elections-2022/
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #632 on: May 17, 2022, 08:41:21 PM »
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #633 on: May 17, 2022, 08:41:36 PM »
Calling PA-8 R for Bognet
Calling PA 17 R for Shaffer
Calling PA Gov R for Mastriano
Calling KY 2 D for Linderman
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #634 on: May 17, 2022, 08:42:38 PM »
Quote from: New England Fire Squad on May 17, 2022, 08:40:43 PM
Is it just me or is it incredibly odd that a supposed election handicapper seems to have no idea who Josh Shapiro is on 538?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/pa-nc-primary-elections-2022/

Those were leading questions to give the other bloggers a chance to expound for the audience.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #635 on: May 17, 2022, 08:43:23 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on May 17, 2022, 08:40:15 PM
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 17, 2022, 08:38:03 PM
I posted it in another thread, but Cook just announced on Twitter that they're moving PA-GOV to Lean D.

I gotchu, fam.  



Do you plan on voting for Shapiro in November?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #636 on: May 17, 2022, 08:43:51 PM »
So is Masterano some kind of wacky QAnon guy?  Because "normie" Republicans seem to be sweating profusely.  
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #637 on: May 17, 2022, 08:44:11 PM »
If Cawthorn loses, which is looking increasingly likely, it's also a loss for Trump, who endorsed him.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #638 on: May 17, 2022, 08:44:29 PM »
David McCormick is the real Wizard of Oz.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #639 on: May 17, 2022, 08:44:31 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 10:26:44 PM by MT Treasurer »
If it’s Oz vs. Fetterman, I think - esp. after Fetterman's impressive showing tonight - that AZ and NV will go R before PA. Maybe even GA, although that might be stretching it.

Really think the GOP did itself no favors here with Mastriano and Oz. Getting reverse FL 2018 vibes in that PA Dems might (narrowly) get lucky in both high-profile races even on a bad night.

Meanwhile, NC-SEN can basically be moved to Safe R.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #640 on: May 17, 2022, 08:45:37 PM »
Also, I must be getting crappy numbers on ABC's website, because as of this post McCormick leads with 32% to Oz's 30%. Barnette certainly turned out to be overrated in the end, but the MAGA team spent all of last week destroying her and that obviously worked very well for them.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #641 on: May 17, 2022, 08:46:04 PM »
Finally some votes in from Chester! McSwain, McCormick, and Fetterman all lead with 14% in on Politico.
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jd7171
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« Reply #642 on: May 17, 2022, 08:46:17 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 17, 2022, 08:43:23 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on May 17, 2022, 08:40:15 PM
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on May 17, 2022, 08:38:03 PM
I posted it in another thread, but Cook just announced on Twitter that they're moving PA-GOV to Lean D.

I gotchu, fam.  



Do you plan on voting for Shapiro in November?
I am
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #643 on: May 17, 2022, 08:46:46 PM »


Say the line, Dave!
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #644 on: May 17, 2022, 08:47:55 PM »
Quote from: Starbucks Union Thug on May 17, 2022, 08:43:51 PM
So is Masterano some kind of wacky QAnon guy?  Because "normie" Republicans seem to be sweating profusely.  

He's a Big Lie supporter.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #645 on: May 17, 2022, 08:47:59 PM »
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Sestak
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« Reply #646 on: May 17, 2022, 08:48:13 PM »
Quote from: Vice President Scott 🇺🇦 on May 17, 2022, 08:45:37 PM
Also, I must be getting crappy numbers on ABC's website, because as of this post McCormick leads with 32% to Oz's 30%. Barnette certainly turned out to be overrated in the end, but the MAGA team spent all of last week destroying her and that obviously worked very well for them.

It's still only like a third of the vote reporting and Oz has consistently been making massive gains. 32-30 is accurate but Oz will be heavily favored in the remainder.

Barnette also could be even stronger than Oz in the remainder, but likelier than not it's not enough.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #647 on: May 17, 2022, 08:49:47 PM »
Any chance McCormick can win?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #648 on: May 17, 2022, 08:49:55 PM »
PA-12 update 👀

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Pericles
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« Reply #649 on: May 17, 2022, 08:50:29 PM »
Is McCormick winning? He's ahead now which looks good but counting bias is a common problem.
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