GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires
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Author Topic: GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires  (Read 145286 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2750 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:11 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on December 06, 2022, 08:37:36 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on December 06, 2022, 08:36:20 PM
Does anyone know what dropped that caused the needle to swing towards Walker?

Maybe a reaction to Gordon County?

Gordon County had a pretty notable dropoff though
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Thunder98
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« Reply #2751 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:19 PM »
Very close now
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GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #2752 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:33 PM »
Walker is ahead now
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Person Man
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« Reply #2753 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:49 PM »
Quote from: Zache on December 06, 2022, 08:37:44 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on December 06, 2022, 08:36:20 PM
Does anyone know what dropped that caused the needle to swing towards Walker?
This maybe?


How big is that county?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2754 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:53 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on December 06, 2022, 08:37:55 PM
Walker overperformances in Northern Georgia are scary.

Considering like three hicks live in Northern Georgia, the literal setting of Deliverance, it doesn't scare me that much. I mean actually BEING there would be scary but how they vote is unsurprising.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2755 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:59 PM »
Rockdale is 95% in and Warnock is leading 75.5-24.5, up from 73.3-25.1 in November. If he's overperforming like that in the rest of metro Atlanta, this race is over.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #2756 on: December 06, 2022, 08:38:59 PM »
The needle is not great in Georgia. Feels like it always underestimates the GOP in rural areas and then gets excited and always underestimates Democrats in metro Atlanta. There are bonus votes out of Fulton that boost the Democrats continuously in the needle at the end.
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John Dule
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« Reply #2757 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:14 PM »

Say it with me, folks:

S E N A T O R   W E R E W O L F
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2758 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:20 PM »
Bruh did they rlly just shut down the needle
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Horus
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« Reply #2759 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:25 PM »
Needle now offline.
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GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #2760 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:38 PM »
LOL
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2761 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:41 PM »
Looks like a huge bunch of southern rurals just dumped a bunch all at once in the last 5-10 minutes.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2762 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:50 PM »
Damn, even with Walker "taking the lead," PredictIt is hardly budging. Moneymaking opportunities just aren't there tonight. They've learned from 2020!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2763 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:54 PM »
Needle off with this message: We have temporarily paused updates to our estimates while we investigate a data issue.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #2764 on: December 06, 2022, 08:39:55 PM »
Lame
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Gracile
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« Reply #2765 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:02 PM »
Warnock will take the lead again when more of metro Atlanta comes in.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #2766 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:06 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on December 06, 2022, 08:35:39 PM
Quote from: Interlocutor on December 06, 2022, 08:34:53 PM
Felt like only 5-6 pages and 30 minutes ago that folks were all glum about this not being a 5+ point blowout for Warnock

It wouldn't be Atlas if we didn't drastically overreact to every slight little change.
True
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2767 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:18 PM »

I can't believe I pay $52 a year for this nonsense.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #2768 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:29 PM »
Another Southern state breaks the Needle - an election night tradition.
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Atlas Force
mlee117379
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« Reply #2769 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:40 PM »
Quote from: Person Man on December 06, 2022, 08:38:49 PM
Quote from: Zache on December 06, 2022, 08:37:44 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on December 06, 2022, 08:36:20 PM
Does anyone know what dropped that caused the needle to swing towards Walker?
This maybe?


How big is that county?


57,685 people live there as of 2018 according to Wikipedia
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #2770 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:46 PM »
The NY Times entire page froze, and "the Needle" is broken.
It says ...

We have temporarily paused updates to our estimates while we investigate a data issue.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #2771 on: December 06, 2022, 08:40:52 PM »
Not even 5 minutes since the needle broke and folks are already having the shakes
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #2772 on: December 06, 2022, 08:41:01 PM »
The needle is being detained by the military. Patriots in control.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2773 on: December 06, 2022, 08:41:18 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on December 06, 2022, 08:39:20 PM
Bruh did they rlly just shut down the needle
They did their job in manipulating predictit into a false Walker pump
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2774 on: December 06, 2022, 08:41:47 PM »
Literally 5% of DeKalb in so far LMAO.

This is what will happen when the other 95% comes in:
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