Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Biden needs to own the narrative, he’s had accomplishments! Brag about them!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He needs this war to end, to end high gas prices it's not just with gas prices it's airline tickets, but Putin has been coddled by past Prez and he was allowed to take Crimes and it's an Election yr Putin praises Fox News he can inflict as much damage to keep this war ongoing for D's with high Gas prices, especially in the H, the D's are still starting over Sinema not voting to end the Filibuster that's why she has many come out of hiding since her speech about the Filibuster

What D other than Sinema wants to hurt their own party just to hold onto the rule, a Jim Crow relic rule , they have talked about this at length on View because all the seats lost aren't in blue states they're in OH, TX and FL

Ryan is gonna lose badly and so is Demings, Crist and Beto and all of them except Rich Crist are still begging for donations and Biden has a 34% in red states especially OH, iA, FL and TX not so much in NC Beasley may win


Who's gonna donate to Demings in FL and she is running against the DeSantis machine just like Rs run against Daley machine in IL still after Daley retirement

It's called machine politics just like Beto is running against the Rick Perry machine in TX he too is begging for donations and he is gonna lose badly 55745..
That's why pbower2A EVERYDAY isn't here because Biden is at 44%, and. No nut maps it's still a 303 map but it's no Nut mao and he likes Nut map

He predicted with landslide Lyndon, 2020 AK, MT, KS and TX going D, we lost Landslide Lyndon

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1509875178574172170

[ElectionsGuy]

That Emerson poll has biden at 67% disapproval among indies yet only -3 overall?


Wtf

D+9 sample. I understand how you could get that looking at registration statistics but that is nowhere near the reality of the electorate that typically turns out in Pennsylvania now. Pennsylvania has so many old Democrats on the books who are either inactive/dead or have turned into Republican voters without changing registration, so yeah, -3 in PA is hot garbage.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1509875178574172170

Nice.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

He needs this war to end, to end high gas prices it's not just with gas prices it's airline tickets, but Putin has been coddled by past Prez and he was allowed to take Crimes and it's an Election yr Putin praises Fox News he can inflict as much damage to keep this war ongoing for D's with high Gas prices, especially in the H, the D's are still starting over Sinema not voting to end the Filibuster that's why she has many come out of hiding since her speech about the Filibuster

What D other than Sinema wants to hurt their own party just to hold onto the rule, a Jim Crow relic rule , they have talked about this at length on View because all the seats lost aren't in blue states they're in OH, TX and FL

Ryan is gonna lose badly and so is Demings, Crist and Beto and all of them except Rich Crist are still begging for donations and Biden has a 34% in red states especially OH, iA, FL and TX not so much in NC Beasley may win


Who's gonna donate to Demings in FL and she is running against the DeSantis machine just like Rs run against Daley machine in IL still after Daley retirement

It's called machine politics just like Beto is running against the Rick Perry machine in TX he too is begging for donations and he is gonna lose badly 55745..
That's why pbower2A EVERYDAY isn't here because Biden is at 44%, and. No nut maps it's still a 303 map but it's no Nut mao and he likes Nut map

He predicted with landslide Lyndon, 2020 AK, MT, KS and TX going D, we lost Landslide Lyndon

Evers Is also gonna lose sadly

[Sir Mohamed]

He needs this war to end, to end high gas prices it's not just with gas prices it's airline tickets, but Putin has been coddled by past Prez and he was allowed to take Crimes and it's an Election yr Putin praises Fox News he can inflict as much damage to keep this war ongoing for D's with high Gas prices, especially in the H, the D's are still starting over Sinema not voting to end the Filibuster that's why she has many come out of hiding since her speech about the Filibuster

What D other than Sinema wants to hurt their own party just to hold onto the rule, a Jim Crow relic rule , they have talked about this at length on View because all the seats lost aren't in blue states they're in OH, TX and FL

Ryan is gonna lose badly and so is Demings, Crist and Beto and all of them except Rich Crist are still begging for donations and Biden has a 34% in red states especially OH, iA, FL and TX not so much in NC Beasley may win


Who's gonna donate to Demings in FL and she is running against the DeSantis machine just like Rs run against Daley machine in IL still after Daley retirement

It's called machine politics just like Beto is running against the Rick Perry machine in TX he too is begging for donations and he is gonna lose badly 55745..
That's why pbower2A EVERYDAY isn't here because Biden is at 44%, and. No nut maps it's still a 303 map but it's no Nut mao and he likes Nut map

He predicted with landslide Lyndon, 2020 AK, MT, KS and TX going D, we lost Landslide Lyndon

Evers Is also gonna lose sadly

* Every

[MR DARK BRANDON]

He needs this war to end, to end high gas prices it's not just with gas prices it's airline tickets, but Putin has been coddled by past Prez and he was allowed to take Crimes and it's an Election yr Putin praises Fox News he can inflict as much damage to keep this war ongoing for D's with high Gas prices, especially in the H, the D's are still starting over Sinema not voting to end the Filibuster that's why she has many come out of hiding since her speech about the Filibuster

What D other than Sinema wants to hurt their own party just to hold onto the rule, a Jim Crow relic rule , they have talked about this at length on View because all the seats lost aren't in blue states they're in OH, TX and FL

Ryan is gonna lose badly and so is Demings, Crist and Beto and all of them except Rich Crist are still begging for donations and Biden has a 34% in red states especially OH, iA, FL and TX not so much in NC Beasley may win


Who's gonna donate to Demings in FL and she is running against the DeSantis machine just like Rs run against Daley machine in IL still after Daley retirement

It's called machine politics just like Beto is running against the Rick Perry machine in TX he too is begging for donations and he is gonna lose badly 55745..
That's why pbower2A EVERYDAY isn't here because Biden is at 44%, and. No nut maps it's still a 303 map but it's no Nut mao and he likes Nut map

He predicted with landslide Lyndon, 2020 AK, MT, KS and TX going D, we lost Landslide Lyndon

Evers Is also gonna lose sadly

* Every

This whole thing is mainly due to the media controlling the narrative only to be countered by the awful dem messaging. Biden himself needs to be out there more and control the narrative like he did in the SOTU, he has had some great successes as president (IE Infrastructure and Jobs numbers) and his campaign skills are very underrated

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It won't matter the gas prices are controlling the agenda with the war when if he does get out and there are still Labor Shortages because BINF created Manuel Labor Amazon jobs not white color jobs because many people are working from home that have White collar jobs

The BINF that was passed has the same effect as the Obama stimulus it created more unskilled Labor jobs

The Congress passed BINF without BBB that's why there is only Manuel Labor and unless you are an immigrant they make you work fast pace and give you a 30 Hr work week instead of 40 so they don't have to pay for sick time off

There are many bus driver position out there but it's a Manuel Labor job

Don't forget the last stimulus that was passed and Biden touted it back in 2008 and it was supposed to create Green jobs it didn't


Biden is the last of the old guard if he loses hopefully he doesn't run in 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is a silver lining to this is D's do poorly only turnout can help them not polls, and there is talk in Cali that D's may sit out the noncompetitive races like Cali Gov, IL Gov and NY Gov, Biden defeat will surely help Bernie in 24 there is no way Biden can come out of a bad Election loss in 22 unscathed along with Garland and Sinema


Obama came out of it unscathed we still had 53 Sen seats we might come out with a net loss in S seats

[wbrocks67]

That Emerson poll has biden at 67% disapproval among indies yet only -3 overall?


Wtf

D+9 sample. I understand how you could get that looking at registration statistics but that is nowhere near the reality of the electorate that typically turns out in Pennsylvania now. Pennsylvania has so many old Democrats on the books who are either inactive/dead or have turned into Republican voters without changing registration, so yeah, -3 in PA is hot garbage.

You'd have to ask for a 2020 sample (or what they "identify" as) to make it closer to reality, but the Party ID is mostly correct for PA (maybe a few % higher since PA is like D+6-7 right now in reg)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users go by Approval too much Trump gained seats twice 2018/S and 2020/H at 44% Approvals why because we had an 80/75M vote turning in 2020 we had an 82M vote turning in 2010/14 when Obama had  44% Approvals and in 2010/we lost the H but we still had a 53/47 Senate our candidates are better than 2010/2014 Anyways

We're all gonna be early voting very soon in October and resolve this issue about Biden bad Approvals, Approvals are JUNK

KBJ Nominated SCOTUS is gonna be a biggy when she finally takes the Crt in October, that's what Kamala Harris says


We don't know how many VBM ballots there are but it won't be 2010/14 90M same day voting number it's gonna be way over that

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto is down 42/40 to Abbott that's not an R nut Prediction an R nut Prediction is Abbott 55/45


I wonder what DeSantis is really at he clearly isn't up like some polls suggest

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where's pbower Everyday

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Come out wherever you are

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Beto is down 42/40 to Abbott that's not an R nut Prediction an R nut Prediction is Abbott 55/45


I wonder what DeSantis is really at he clearly isn't up like some polls suggest

Desantis is quite Up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map anyways because if you have read all my post Biden can be at 44)50 Job Approvals but 50/44 Job Performance just like Obama was the news media kept saying Obama was a 44/50 Job Approvals but 50)44 Job Performance and  with minority Turnout can keep the S but not the H just like Trump did in 2018

But these Latino states like AZ, NV are gonna flirt with RS, FL and TX are gonna flirt with D's just like they do every election cycle but will once again vote partisan politics


D's are gonna win AZ and NV Laxalt is a retread from 2018 and lost

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden polls are very similar to Trump abd Obama was in 2010 we kept a 53/47 Senate after losing 54 seats and in 2012 we won a 303 map with 65/60M and at 44 percent Approvals in 2018 Trump net gained Senate seats IN, ND, FL and MO but lost NV and AZ and lost 41 H seats


It's a 65)60 M election in 2912/2016/2020 not an 82 M vote in 2010/14 that's why it's Voter Suppression VBM


It's probably 10RH seats in a 53/47 D Senate but it's easier for Ds to win red Districts than to win red Senate and Gov races our Delegation in H , S and Govs represent 303/235 anyways

We can win ruby red Districts in TX, FL and OH and NC at the same time losing red statewide election look at 2018 we won TX seats while losing big time to Cruz and Abbott


The reason why Biden is not well above 50 is because COVID isn't resolved, but if you haven't figured out by now how to get rid of COVID I don't know what to tell you, it's been over 2 yrs and some people like overmedicating themselves, flus arent fatal but pneumonia is and COVID can develop into pneumonia and be deadly if you don't treat it before it gets worse

[pbrower2a]

Beto is down 42/40 to Abbott that's not an R nut Prediction an R nut Prediction is Abbott 55/45


I wonder what DeSantis is really at he clearly isn't up like some polls suggest

Abbott needs to be at 44 to have an over-50% chance of winning re-election.  The typical incumbent gains about 6.5% to get a vote share. In that one can ignore the early support for an opponent who has much more leeway to change his approach and to organize an opposition. Texas is drifting D, and Abbott is vulnerable on much.

Incumbents have the choice of running from their records (which is a sure loss) or running on their records, which can be a sure win. Abbott can't successfully run from the fire-eaters on abortion, whose position could be Big Trouble. Texas has also handled COVID-19 badly, and Abbott can't blame Democrats for that.

Just check what Nate Silver had to say about this about a decade ago:

  https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/myth-of-incumbent-50-rule/

Abbott is vulnerable, at least statistically.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Reuters/Ispos;

https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-BIDEN/POLL/nmopagnqapa/index.html

Approve; 45% (+3)
Disapprove; 50% (-2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 2-5, 1500 adults including 1287 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 21 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 42 (+1), R 38 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult Global Leader Approval Ratings, March 30-April 5, ~45,000 U.S. adults

I don't usually post MC polls, but this one is interesting for the comparison with 20 other world leaders (each leader's approval is measured in their own country) and for the extremely large U.S. sample size.

Joe Biden: Approve 44, Disapprove 48

A few other notable ones:

Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil): 40/52

Boris Johnson (UK): 33/61 (lowest among those surveyed)

Emmanuel Macron (France): 39/56

Narendra Modi (India): 77/18 (highest among those surveyed)

Olaf Scholz (Germany): 44/48

Justin Trudeau (Canada): 41/53

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult Global Leader Approval Ratings, March 30-April 5, ~45,000 U.S. adults

I don't usually post MC polls, but this one is interesting for the comparison with 20 other world leaders (each leader's approval is measured in their own country) and for the extremely large U.S. sample size.

Joe Biden: Approve 44, Disapprove 48

A few other notable ones:

Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil): 40/52

Boris Johnson (UK): 33/61 (lowest among those surveyed)

Emmanuel Macron (France): 39/56

Narendra Modi (India): 77/18 (highest among those surveyed)

Olaf Scholz (Germany): 44/48

Justin Trudeau (Canada): 41/53

This is Biden's best score in this in a while. He's been at like ~42/50 for a while IIRC.

[philly09]

CBS/YouGov

42% Approve

58% Disapprove.

On Ukraine: 45% Approve/55% Disapprove

41% Want him to take more of a leadership role(80% want him to send weapons/supplies)

34% Says his action are about right(87% say he should keep the sanctions)

25% Say he's not doing enough(46% want him to send weapons/supplies)

On Economy

56% say the local job market is good, 29% say it's bad

31% say the national economy is good, 63% say it's bad

86% say the economy is bad due to inflation

82% say it's bad due to high gas prices

69% say it's bad due to a shortage of products and services

50% say it's because they don't trust the Biden administration

Crime and Immigration are the big issues for Republicans.

[Sir Mohamed]

CBS/YouGov

42% Approve

58% Disapprove.

On Ukraine: 45% Approve/55% Disapprove

41% Want him to take more of a leadership role(80% want him to send weapons/supplies)

34% Says his action are about right(87% say he should keep the sanctions)

25% Say he's not doing enough(46% want him to send weapons/supplies)

On Economy

56% say the local job market is good, 29% say it's bad

31% say the national economy is good, 63% say it's bad

86% say the economy is bad due to inflation

82% say it's bad due to high gas prices

69% say it's bad due to a shortage of products and services

50% say it's because they don't trust the Biden administration

Crime and Immigration are the big issues for Republicans.

Even though this may make me look like a partisan hack, my thoughts on the Ukraine numbers: Actually unfair. Biden has pulled off what few other American presidents or Western leaders could have done: Hold the Western alliances together with forceful action against Russia, without risking WWIII. Even if you think Biden hasn't done enough to take on inflation etc., it's hardly not to give him credit without being biased.