Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

Yes, it's because they use a 3-day rolling average.  If they get an outlier in one day's sample, it will perturb their average for a few days and then return to "normal".

[Person Man]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

I think the LA Times poll during 2016 that basically had Trump leading the NPV all the time has a better methodology than this poll.

[wbrocks67]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

Yes, it's because they use a 3-day rolling average.  If they get an outlier in one day's sample, it will perturb their average for a few days and then return to "normal".

But you're acting as if their numbers are legit, which they are not.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's still a 303/235 map as I have said 45 is the new 50, Nate Silver says add 6 to a struggling incumbents, Trump netted seats in both Elections at 44 percent

I keep telling you guys this over and over and pbower2A whom is Cokie Damage said this too it's not 2010/14 anymore 90 vote Turnout with 10 percent unemployment it's 110/150 M vote Turnout VBM Wbrooks knows this he was using the VbM process in both VA, NJ and Cali recall formula

The 33/59 Approvals I'm NV weren't real they had Biden at 40/46 with Latinos that's a lie Biden is at 66/34 with LATINO and 90/9 with Blks because Newsom won that percent in the Cali recall 63/37 he won the recall

You can still post but it's a 303/235 map, and pbower2A knows it too that's why he is Cokie Damage or Solid or Brucejoel, everyone knows his identity now, that's why he has be silent since April Fool's when the last time Solid or Brucejoel posted

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen (4/14-18): 45/53 (-8)

POLITICO/Morning Consult (4/15-17): 45/52 (-7)
POLITICO/Morning Consult (4/15-17): 43/52 (-9)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clearly the QU poll was wrong again, they're trying to blame inflation and gas prices and rise of oil on Biden that's how they are getting 33 percent Approvals

QU is turning into a JOKE POLLSTER

They overdone it on Amy McGrath being down 4 to Mcconnell and Harrison tied with Graham they're doing it now on Biden Approvals, the reason why Ds didn't get the 413 map was due to unemployment was going down from 9 to 7.5 percent

It's 4 percent now when has an incumbent party done worse at polls with 4 percent unemployment never if Pandemic never came Trump could of won in Feb 2020 he was at 50 percent that's why he delayed the Pandemic announcement his polls were improving with 4 percent unemployment

[philly09]

Rasmussen (4/14-18): 45/53 (-8)

POLITICO/Morning Consult (4/15-17): 45/52 (-7)
POLITICO/Morning Consult (4/15-17): 43/52 (-9)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

Major improvement in both Morning Consult polls.

The 45/52 is RV with a sample of 2,005. It was previously 42/55, so a gain/loss of 3 in both directions.

The 43/52 is of Adults with a sample of 2,210. It was previously 40/53, so a gain of 3 in approval and a tick down of 1 in disapproval.

[philly09]

Ipsos
1,005 Adults. April 18-19

43% Approve(+2)

51% Disapprove(-2)

[American2020]

Guys,

Do you think Joe Biden could recover in his ratings ?

[philly09]

Guys,

Do you think Joe Biden could recover in his ratings ?

If he would come out in support of legalizing marijuana, he'd approve with young voters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Guys,

Do you think Joe Biden could recover in his ratings ?

Stop worrying about Daily Approvals the GCB is 43/42D it's not Eday yet we have plenty of time the QU poll had it 33% it's not 33%, Trump had 44% Approvals and netted H and S seats in both election

There is nothing Biden can do Biden was supposed to launch Nordstrom 2 in time for cheap gas prices but Putin launched a war in Ukraine purposefully in middle of an Election yr and gas prices went up

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

Yes, it's because they use a 3-day rolling average.  If they get an outlier in one day's sample, it will perturb their average for a few days and then return to "normal".

But you're acting as if their numbers are legit, which they are not.

I don't consider them to be anywhere near a good pollster, but I don't believe they're completely making it up.  I don't have a problem with tossing them in the average, especially a weighted average like 538's.

[philly09]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

Yes, it's because they use a 3-day rolling average.  If they get an outlier in one day's sample, it will perturb their average for a few days and then return to "normal".

But you're acting as if their numbers are legit, which they are not.

I don't consider them to be anywhere near a good pollster, but I don't believe they're completely making it up.  I don't have a problem with tossing them in the average, especially a weighted average like 538's.

Certainly much more believable than Quinniapac

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinion Research
1500 LV April 13-17


44% Approve(+3)

54% Disapprove (-4)

Mark my words, they do this on purpose to screw up the averages, and it will drop back down to like 40/58 today or tomorrow lol

Yes, it's because they use a 3-day rolling average.  If they get an outlier in one day's sample, it will perturb their average for a few days and then return to "normal".

But you're acting as if their numbers are legit, which they are not.

I don't consider them to be anywhere near a good pollster, but I don't believe they're completely making it up.  I don't have a problem with tossing them in the average, especially a weighted average like 538's.

Certainly much more believable than Quinniapac

The 33/59% Approval that NV poll came out had Biden UNDERPOLLING MINORITIES Latino was 40(/46% that's the truck pollsters are using to get that 33% numbers it's the same QU that had McGrath 4prs behind McConnell and Biden 14 pts ahead of Trump and Harrison tied with Graham underpolled Minorities



Biden is 70/30 LATINX and 90)9 with blks

Steve Konraki says FL, OH and MO are battlefield states in the Senate and Crist as Gov

Not so much NC, TX and IA RYAN, Trudy Valentine and Crist can all win with our 303 map and Hold the House and the Senate even at Biden current Approval

Grietans, Vance and DeSajtis can lose the House Speaker Pelosi just Endorsement of our next Gov of FL Crist and Ryan is gonna beat Vance and Trudy Valentine is gonna beat Greitans

[Matty]

This reminds me of the Trump era where Trump being under above -10 in the ratings was considered a major surge/win. Lol

Biden being -7 on Election Day 2022 means a gop wave.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Has anyone noticed pbower2A has disappeared and not responding

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am all for politics but he hasn't responded since April fool's day it's been 2, weeks he doesn't even care about his own thread it's ridiculous that he has been missing

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 16-19, 1500 adults including 1260 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 38 (-1)

Last week's bounce for Biden appears to have been an outlier.

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 16-19, 1500 adults including 1260 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 38 (-1)

Last week's bounce for Biden appears to have been an outlier.

Nearly half of the Independent sample in this poll (47%) believes Biden didn't legitimately win the election, so kinda confirms to me my longstanding thought that the Independent sample for YouGov in these polls is considerably R-leaning.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

.
We have a do nothing Congress that haven't passed anything except for Aid to Ukraine and BINF and Stimulus checks that's why Biden Approvals are so low

RS think things are gonna change when they get empowered it's not were on R budgets because Trump tax cuts of 20% rate cut is still implemented that's why Rs keep objecting to enhanced chil tax credit

D's want to.raise to ,27% Debt Ceiling runs out 3/2023 as soon as Rs get RH we are gonna be on R budgets again for 2 more yrs

[philly09]

Rassmussen/Pulse Opinon Research Tracker

43/56

NewsNation
1,038 RV April 17-18

47% Approve (+3)

53% Disapprove(-3)

[philly09]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 16-19, 1500 adults including 1260 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 38 (-1)

Last week's bounce for Biden appears to have been an outlier.

Nearly half of the Independent sample in this poll (47%) believes Biden didn't legitimately win the election, so kinda confirms to me my longstanding thought that the Independent sample for YouGov in these polls is considerably R-leaning.

That's 41% not 47%.

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 16-19, 1500 adults including 1260 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 38 (-1)

Last week's bounce for Biden appears to have been an outlier.

Nearly half of the Independent sample in this poll (47%) believes Biden didn't legitimately win the election, so kinda confirms to me my longstanding thought that the Independent sample for YouGov in these polls is considerably R-leaning.

That's 41% not 47%.

No overall its 59-41%. But among the Independents sample, it's 47/53.

[Asta]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 16-19, 1500 adults including 1260 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+2)

Strongly approve 19 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 51 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 38 (-1)

Last week's bounce for Biden appears to have been an outlier.

Nearly half of the Independent sample in this poll (47%) believes Biden didn't legitimately win the election, so kinda confirms to me my longstanding thought that the Independent sample for YouGov in these polls is considerably R-leaning.

But if you see GCB, Democrats are leading by 5. I guess by your logic, Democrats would do even better than +5 this year, assuming undecideds break even? That seems to be extremely optimistic.

My experience of seeing polls is that some give reasonable results but their breakdown can be funky (i.e. Rasmussen saying Trump has 30% approval of blacks)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

40% Approvals are Typical in Midterms you rarely see both parties reach 50% on either side in Midterms, TURNOUT i in Prez elections it's 80% turnout you do see 50%, but we got 80M votes in 2020 too, it's still VBM. GCB IN Midterms are usually in the mid 40s, that's why you see Biden stick in the Mid 40s, but D's can certainly get to 50% on EDay just like they did in 2018,  and D's were well below 50%, during the yr in on 2018/and they had the best midterm ever and Trump broke the trend that at 44% Approvals the Incumbent Prez party loses H seats he actually gained H seats in 2020 not lost seats just a note to all the DOOMERS OUT THST BIDEN IS FINISHED

Obama and Bush W actually lost H seats at 44% and Trump gained it in 2020 Gallup final poll in 2020 Trump 43/54

Biden has done alot for everyone and Conservatives are ungrateful on Talk radio the Rush Limbaughs , he has paused all our Student Loan Discharge, gave 60.00 extra on SSA checks and next yr it's 88.00 and paused our Student loans

With a bigger majority we are gonna get more because the Debt Ceiling is due in 3/2023 and the Filibuster won't be a constraint of we get more seats

So, keep coming to this thread is redundant, oh Biden is at 40% it's typical for a GCB lead on either side to be stick in the 40s in MIDTERMS , it was 45/45 in 2010/2014/2018 too