Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen shows Biden at NEAR RECORD LOW!!!!
39-60 approval.

-21!

How is that BIDEN BUMP going for you hacks?

Is this a real post? How are you a real person?

[It’s so Joever]

Rasmussen shows Biden at NEAR RECORD LOW!!!!
39-60 approval.

-21!

How is that BIDEN BUMP going for you hacks?

Is this a real post? How are you a real person?

Well at least you admit I’m a person, that’s a start!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

Biden's approvals have been steadily declining since August. There was a bump in early December and there's a bump now, but the trend downhill hasn't stopped and if things keep heading on this path, Biden may be near Bush-level by November.
The Ukraine crisis is on everyone's minds right now and people are distracted from domestic issues so they don't hate Biden as much, but once that fades from the news then people will look at the extremely high gas prices and inflation and he will be even more unpopular. "It's the economy, stupid!".

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

Biden's approvals have been steadily declining since August. There was a bump in early December and there's a bump now, but the trend downhill hasn't stopped and if things keep heading on this path, Biden may be near Bush-level by November.
The Ukraine crisis is on everyone's minds right now and people are distracted from domestic issues so they don't hate Biden as much, but once that fades from the news then people will look at the extremely high gas prices and inflation and he will be even more unpopular. "It's the economy, stupid!".

But you could, and people did, make a similar argument about Trump's numbers, which kept steadily declining -- until they didn't.  Assuming that polling trends will continue indefinitely is an idea that usually isn't borne out by subsequent polling data.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

Biden's approvals have been steadily declining since August. There was a bump in early December and there's a bump now, but the trend downhill hasn't stopped and if things keep heading on this path, Biden may be near Bush-level by November.
The Ukraine crisis is on everyone's minds right now and people are distracted from domestic issues so they don't hate Biden as much, but once that fades from the news then people will look at the extremely high gas prices and inflation and he will be even more unpopular. "It's the economy, stupid!".

But you could, and people did, make a similar argument about Trump's numbers, which kept steadily declining -- until they didn't.  Assuming that polling trends will continue indefinitely is an idea that usually isn't borne out by subsequent polling data.

Trump's approvals steadily declined for like 2 months then they bounced around the same percentage for most of his term. Biden has been on a steady decline for a waayy longer time.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

Biden's approvals have been steadily declining since August. There was a bump in early December and there's a bump now, but the trend downhill hasn't stopped and if things keep heading on this path, Biden may be near Bush-level by November.
The Ukraine crisis is on everyone's minds right now and people are distracted from domestic issues so they don't hate Biden as much, but once that fades from the news then people will look at the extremely high gas prices and inflation and he will be even more unpopular. "It's the economy, stupid!".

But you could, and people did, make a similar argument about Trump's numbers, which kept steadily declining -- until they didn't.  Assuming that polling trends will continue indefinitely is an idea that usually isn't borne out by subsequent polling data.

Trump's approvals steadily declined for like 2 months then they bounced around the same percentage for most of his term. Biden has been on a steady decline for a waayy longer time.

No, Trump's approvals steadily declined (with variations around the trendline) through most of his first year in office; see https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/.  I was particularly thinking of late 2017 as a time when people were saying Trump's approvals would keep on going down because they had done so through his entire term up to that point.  That was an unreasonable extrapolation for Trump then, and it's an unreasonable extraploation for Biden now.  Trump's approvals then bounced back somewhat and stayed in a fairly narrow range for the rest of his term, except for a drop and recovery in 2020 and then a huge drop during his lame duck period. 

I'm not saying Biden's approval ratings won't drop any further; they very well might.  They might also stay around where they are now, or they might bounce back like Trump's did.  What I'm saying is that your assumption that they WILL continue to drop is unwarranted.  If you turn out to be right, it will be due to chance.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Any chance Biden can be at Bush-2008 approval by end of year

It’s more likely each day. I give it a 50% chance.

You guys have been talking about Biden hitting Bush-level approval ratings since last May. Please give it a rest.

Biden's approvals have been steadily declining since August. There was a bump in early December and there's a bump now, but the trend downhill hasn't stopped and if things keep heading on this path, Biden may be near Bush-level by November.
The Ukraine crisis is on everyone's minds right now and people are distracted from domestic issues so they don't hate Biden as much, but once that fades from the news then people will look at the extremely high gas prices and inflation and he will be even more unpopular. "It's the economy, stupid!".

But you could, and people did, make a similar argument about Trump's numbers, which kept steadily declining -- until they didn't.  Assuming that polling trends will continue indefinitely is an idea that usually isn't borne out by subsequent polling data.

Trump's approvals steadily declined for like 2 months then they bounced around the same percentage for most of his term. Biden has been on a steady decline for a waayy longer time.

Do you know where Trump Approvaks were on EDay Nov 2018 it was 40/57 percent in 5 percent unemployment he held onto the Senate and Trump was being impeached

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another 80/75 M or even a 65)60 M won't duplicate another R gains in the H or another 303 map, we haven't had two duplicate maps in two election cycles, the constituencies are different that's why you can get a D landslide in a Biden Midterm we won 45)33 M in Senate and 46/43 M in Gov races in 2018 nowhere near 80/75 M we got a landslide, Rs will lose more ground I'm a Biden Midterm because Trump isn't on the ballot

It's good to look at election results not just Approvals too and Trump kept the Senate at 40/57 Approvals in 2018 because of Full 5 percent unemployment

That's why Tim Ryan has a chance and OH isn't IND

[wbrocks67]

Navigator Research (March 3-7)
45% approve (+2)
53% disapprove (-2)
[compared to Feb 17-22)

https://twitter.com/NavigatorSurvey/status/1502268107435483136/photo/1

[wbrocks67]

WSJ/Fabrizio Lee/Impact Research
March 2-7

Biden job approval: 42/57
Dealing with Russia approval: 50/44
Handling the crisis in Ukraine: 47/46

Not sure if they've polled recently but isn't Fabrizio Lee Trump's pollster? Kind of suspicious that they asked Trump's job approval as president and it was very high - 48/51, as well as the GOP having a much better fav (-7) than the Dems (-15)

https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJPOLL032022.pdf

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Trashlolger has Biden at 42%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are we so worried about daily polls 45 is very close to 50 and with D Turnout it's a 303 Map Anyways there are many Ds reregistering to vote I won't change my map unless I see 8/9 pt leads for Rs in OH NC and FL, when 2010/14 happened D's were down 8/9 pts in IL Sen/GOV, PA Toomey was up 9 pts on Sestak in 2010 and Cassidy was up nine pts on Mary Landrieu there are no state by state polls showing such deficits it's fake polls Biden is at 47 Approvals and with Turnout it can be 50 percent Gas prices are gonna gradually go down anyways

The polls are showing discontent with Gas Prices that's All

[Minnesota Mike]

Trafalgar has Biden -10. That is a 9 point improvement for Biden since their last poll mid February.

https://amgreatness.com/2022/03/11/joe-bidens-approval-rating-in-new-trafalgar-poll-only-42-percent/

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1502349209714171907

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1502349209714171907

It will be interesting to see how long this lasts. Why is is that Biden's approvals have gone back up again? Is it because of Ukraine? Or perhaps because the pandemic is finally winding down? If Biden's approvals were to continue on this trajectory, it might reduce the extent of the electoral losses Democrats suffer.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I’m not sure why Biden’s approval rating is beginning to climb now of all times, what with energy prices continuing to March upwards and his failure to handle the Ukraine crisis. My best guess is that the pundit class and his rivals/alternatives have been regularly embarrassing themselves with “solutions” to the crisis that seem even worse to the general public, and he looks good by comparison.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1502349209714171907

It will be interesting to see how long this lasts. Why is is that Biden's approvals have gone back up again? Is it because of Ukraine? Or perhaps because the pandemic is finally winding down? If Biden's approvals were to continue on this trajectory, it might reduce the extent of the electoral losses Democrats suffer.

Ukraine and his very strong State of the Union Address.

However, I think it will go down again at some point, especially if energy prices and inflation in general keeps going up.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1502349209714171907

It will be interesting to see how long this lasts. Why is is that Biden's approvals have gone back up again? Is it because of Ukraine? Or perhaps because the pandemic is finally winding down? If Biden's approvals were to continue on this trajectory, it might reduce the extent of the electoral losses Democrats suffer.

I’d say it’s his Handling of the Ukraine situation

[Lief 🗽]

I’m not sure why Biden’s approval rating is beginning to climb now of all times, what with energy prices continuing to March upwards and his failure to handle the Ukraine crisis. My best guess is that the pundit class and his rivals/alternatives have been regularly embarrassing themselves with “solutions” to the crisis that seem even worse to the general public, and he looks good by comparison.

Biden is seizing the political center between the pro-Putin and the pro-nuclear war sides of the political spectrum.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before Congratulations Pbower to leave again once Biden Approvals FLATLINE

Didn't you say you were starting over

[pbrower2a]

Sure. I expected to see some statewide polls that simply did not materialize. I expected something that did not happen.

[wbrocks67]

I’m not sure why Biden’s approval rating is beginning to climb now of all times, what with energy prices continuing to March upwards and his failure to handle the Ukraine crisis. My best guess is that the pundit class and his rivals/alternatives have been regularly embarrassing themselves with “solutions” to the crisis that seem even worse to the general public, and he looks good by comparison.

You seem to lack self-awareness. Just because *you* don't approve of his handling of Ukraine doesn't mean the rest of the country may not.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sure. I expected to see some statewide polls that simply did not materialize. I expected something that did not happen.
[/quote
They aren't polling because it's a 303/235 map anyways D's will keep WI, PA and MI, NV and CO, Trump will fail at decertify Biden with R Govs like he  did Hillary and Johnson will lose and D's will win AZ NV, NH, PA Sen races and GA is definitely going to a runoff and LA is a Runoff state

That gives you 52/53 D Seats and 27/23 DGovs and who knows a 223/216 DH 30 D retirements we're not n Safe D Districts anyways😎😎😎

🐴DONKEY DAY 303/235 NATE SOLVER MAO, I FULLY EXPECT D's to abandon OH, NC and FL Senate races but FL Gov Crist is leading and Net AZ, GA, MD and M

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sure. I expected to see some statewide polls that simply did not materialize. I expected something that did not happen.

It's a Nate Silver 🐴 DONKEY 303/235 map ANTWAYS OUR House, Senate and GOVS DELEGATES REFLECT THAT, THE ONLY REASON WHY RS MAKE MI, PA, AND WI ARE SO CLOSE THE STATE LEGISLATURE IS DOMINATED BY RS, THATS WHY


RACHEL MADDOW SAID IN 2012 IN A 65/60 M ELECTORATE IRS A 303/235 MAP INSTEAD OF OH BEING THE TIPPING PT GA AND AZ ARE SINCE MCCAIN DIED AND A DOWNGRADE FROM Prez 80/75 M is 65/60 M

The PA state SCOTUS scuttled PA GOP Redistricting map