Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/LoganR2WH/status/1499851826014871556?s=20&t=R5NDqBpXsuAl...

They never were in the bag for the GOP. They were frustrated when Democrats failed to defend themselves.

[pbrower2a]

Preparing to start anew.

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult/Politico, March 4-6

(changes from Feb 25-27)

Biden job approval:
45% approve (+4)
51% disapprove (-5)

Biden approval on Ukraine/Russia:
46% approve (+4)
42% disapprove (-3)

https://morningconsult.com/2022/03/08/biden-approval-improves-state-of-the-union-ukraine/

[BG-NY]

Preparing to start anew.

lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Preparing to start anew.

lol

It's a 303 map Anyways did Biden win 60/40 no he didn't he won 50/45 some users think that Biden supposed to stay at 57 and we all know why his Approvals eroded Afghanistan, No more stimulus checks and Ukraine War, the Ukraine War isn't eroding Biden Approvaks it's making his Approvals remain the status Quo because Amercans dislike Russia

But Kelly and Crist many win, KS reelected Sebelius when KS was more R during Bush W yrs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We can all out to rest that QU polls that showed Biden at 38, the Rs were giddy again because QU shows Biden once again at 39 ITS A UNIVERSITY POLL JUST LIKE UNIVERSITY OF fL showing DeSajtis up 60/40 again like last yr after Surfside and he wasn't if D's lose FL it's a 303 map it's 3 and TX 6 it won't be ridiculous amounts

[ElectionsGuy]

-14 to -11. Biden's surging! The all-mighty Marist poll is definitely one I'd take to the bank.

[It’s so Joever]

-14 to -11. Biden's surging! The all-mighty Marist poll is definitely one I'd take to the bank.

Meh, it very likely is a small bump, again it doesn’t change the overall picture. A foreign enemy is likely to win in a demoralizing blow against America which will be played for weeks on the media, gas prices are still increasing, supply chain issues that would have been resolving are now going to potentially get worse due to this war, and Biden’s administration is still widely perceived as ineffective.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

-14 to -11. Biden's surging! The all-mighty Marist poll is definitely one I'd take to the bank.

Meh, it very likely is a small bump, again it doesn’t change the overall picture. A foreign enemy is likely to win in a demoralizing blow against America which will be played for weeks on the media, gas prices are still increasing, supply chain issues that would have been resolving are now going to potentially get worse due to this war, and Biden’s administration is still widely perceived as ineffective.

Is the Election tomorrow you pollsters are alll the same weren't you a red avatar, the Election is in November


I distinctly remember you being a CO avatar and sporting a Bennet signature now you change to a blue avatar lol the R party isn't going to crack the 303 blue wall it's a 303 map 46 is close to 50 and Biden didn't win 60/40 he won 50/45 and 45 is close to 50 that's all Biden needs to clinch WI and PA and MI Trump can't win in 24 with D Govs in those states

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ElectsWorld/status/1501326097987907585

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Forumluker is trying to trick us and he had a CO red avatar and Bennet signature and now he has a blue avatar, I remember because I debated him in this thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

That's the weekly Ipsos Core Political Data tracker.  It's funny; for years, that poll was published on Friday morning like clockwork (VERY occasionally on Thursday night), but in the last few months the release time has been random throughout the week.

[It’s so Joever]

Forumluker is trying to trick us and he had a CO red avatar and Bennet signature and now he has a blue avatar, I remember because I debated him in this thread

Outsmarted by OC again…sad life.

[Mehmentum]

Just wanted to get a sense of things, so I took a look at the polls released in March, and looked at the change from pre to post SOTU.

Marist +13
Leger +12
Morning Consult +9
Ipsos +7
Quinnipiac +2
TIPP +2
Rasmussen +2

All showed at least some increase, but there are two clear groupings with high quality polls in both camps.  Safe to say Biden got at least something of a bump, we'll see how it pans out.

[pbrower2a]

There usually are statewide polls released on Wednesdays.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There usually are statewide polls released on Wednesdays.

It's a 303 Map anyways that's why Chuck Todd stopped doing But D maps because it's a 65)60 M based of California Recall turnoutt and it was 80/75 M last time and turnout always go down to 55 percent from 70 in Midterms just like in 2016 it went from 65)62 M down to 46)43 M, California Recall shows we are favs in Senate and Gov races because it follows the blue wall and H follows the red wall with TX and FL R gains but Crist is leading in FL

Newsom got the same percent as he got in 2018 and Biden 2020 that's why QU is off if Biden is at 39 percent that's a 46)43 M election and since it's VBM voting isn't going from 80)75 M to 46)43 M but it will go down to 65)60 M

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My map of course assumes it's a 80/75 M and in Midterms we have
historically  won landslides with less share of the vote than Prez Election for some reason we won a landslide in 2006 with 36/33 M and in 2008 we won a landslide Obama had to win 69/59 M and in 2018 we won a landslide with 41 H seats and it was 46/43 M and 2026 it was a 303 map with 65/62M

If it's close to a Prez turnout rather than a midterm D's can win a landslide, Crist is already leading in FL and Dejear isn't 20 pts down in on IAshe is only 8 pts down, so something good is happening with D's even in this Endemic, but if all fails it's a 3o3 map and Trump has to have R Govs in place for 24 in MI, PA and WI which he won't get to win

Elvi Gray-Jackson can unseat Murkowski because Murkowski filibustered Voting Rights, the GOP field is weak on OH Sen, Gibbons c'mon he is no Rob Portman Ryan will beat him

[Calthrina950]

-14 to -11. Biden's surging! The all-mighty Marist poll is definitely one I'd take to the bank.

Meh, it very likely is a small bump, again it doesn’t change the overall picture. A foreign enemy is likely to win in a demoralizing blow against America which will be played for weeks on the media, gas prices are still increasing, supply chain issues that would have been resolving are now going to potentially get worse due to this war, and Biden’s administration is still widely perceived as ineffective.

ElectionsGuy was being sarcastic. But yes, I expect for this to only be a temporary bump and for Biden's approvals to slide again as these problems coalesce in full force.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah slide again and it's 4% unemployment users don't understand why we lost in 2010/14 Obamacare was when unpopular when Hillary ran from 2010/2016 and we had 11% percent unemployment bin 2010 and Bill Clinton lost in 1994 because Hillarycare failed on R Filibuster and Bill Clinton could of passed it under Reconciliation that Obama did since he had 55/45 Senate that was a waste of D seats 1994 when we lost in 1994

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Just wanted to get a sense of things, so I took a look at the polls released in March, and looked at the change from pre to post SOTU.

Marist +13
Leger +12
Morning Consult +9
Ipsos +7
Quinnipiac +2
TIPP +2
Rasmussen +2

All showed at least some increase, but there are two clear groupings with high quality polls in both camps.  Safe to say Biden got at least something of a bump, we'll see how it pans out.

I’d say that some of it is also due to Biden’s handling of the Russia Ukraine situation

[wbrocks67]

Just wanted to get a sense of things, so I took a look at the polls released in March, and looked at the change from pre to post SOTU.

Marist +13
Leger +12
Morning Consult +9
Ipsos +7
Quinnipiac +2
TIPP +2
Rasmussen +2

All showed at least some increase, but there are two clear groupings with high quality polls in both camps.  Safe to say Biden got at least something of a bump, we'll see how it pans out.

I’d say that some of it is also due to Biden’s handling of the Russia Ukraine situation

Yep, despite what some avis in here think, Biden's handling has actually been effective and I think it's showing.

[pbrower2a]

It seems that he doesn't communicate his case at any but appropriate times. The SOTU speech is as apt a time as any.

People who didn't watch it have found out from other sources. It is telling that the one thing that he did not discuss was the Capitol Putsch, which is now handled in the appropriate venue: federal criminal courts where the President has no role..

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It seems that he doesn't communicate his case at any but appropriate times. The SOTU speech is as apt a time as any.

People who didn't watch it have found out from other sources. It is telling that the one thing that he did not discuss was the Capitol Putsch, which is now handled in the appropriate venue: federal criminal courts where the President has no role..

LoL, Chick Todd says it's a 303/235 map because since Newsom got the same vote 63/37 as Biden got in 2020 it's a 65)60 M Electorate the RS goal and Trump is to put in place like in 2016 RS to not certify the Election as Govs and Whitmer, Evers and Shapiro are in RS way


That's why I scold D's for making R Nut maps on the compiled map because thats helping RS to believe they can steal the Election

But the QU poll came out with Fake News that Biden is at 39 not 45 percent and more R Nut maps results

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 5-8, 1500 adults including 1227 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 48 (+1)

Strongly approve 18 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 35 (-1)

RV:

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 49 (nc)

Strongly approve 21 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 44 (+2), R 39 (+1)

[wbrocks67]

SOTU seems to have definitely helped - Biden's favorability is now back in positive territory with a 49/48 in RVs in YouGov/Economist.

Job approval is now positive again for COVID-19 (49/44) and Russia/Ukraine (47/43), while ratings on Jobs and the Economy (45/49), National Security (44/46), Climate Change and the Environment (43/45) and Foreign Policy (43/50) are definitely the best they've been in a while.