Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[Alben Barkley]

Watched Fox for a second to get their exits:

Direction of the Country? 36% right direction / 64% wrong direction

Worried about Perdue/Loeffler insider stock trading? 56% yes / 44% no

Most important issue?
Coronavirus 43%
Economy/Jobs 27%
Healthcare 8%
Racism 8%

Perdue’s support of Trump? 44% too much, 9% too little, 47% right amount
Loeffler’s support of Trump? 47% too much, 9% too little, 44% right amount

Ossoff trust worthy & honest: 50/50
Perdue trust worthy & honest: 46/54

Warnock trust worthy & honest: 52/48
Loeffler trust worthy & honest: 44/56

Trump’s handling of 2020 election results: 44% approve / 56% disapprove
Raffensberger’s handling of 2020 election results: 59% approve / 41% disapprove

Confident votes were counted accurately in 2020 election? 62% yes / 38% no

It’s almost as if exit polls were particularly unreliable this year, the Fox and CNN exit polls once again paint completely different pictures, and we still don’t know enough to draw any real conclusions.

[wbrocks67]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

[wbrocks67]

Watched Fox for a second to get their exits:

Direction of the Country? 36% right direction / 64% wrong direction

Worried about Perdue/Loeffler insider stock trading? 56% yes / 44% no

Most important issue?
Coronavirus 43%
Economy/Jobs 27%
Healthcare 8%
Racism 8%

Perdue’s support of Trump? 44% too much, 9% too little, 47% right amount
Loeffler’s support of Trump? 47% too much, 9% too little, 44% right amount

Ossoff trust worthy & honest: 50/50
Perdue trust worthy & honest: 46/54

Warnock trust worthy & honest: 52/48
Loeffler trust worthy & honest: 44/56

Trump’s handling of 2020 election results: 44% approve / 56% disapprove
Raffensberger’s handling of 2020 election results: 59% approve / 41% disapprove

Confident votes were counted accurately in 2020 election? 62% yes / 38% no

It’s almost as if exit polls were particularly unreliable this year, the Fox and CNN exit polls once again paint completely different pictures, and we still don’t know enough to draw any real conclusions.

Yeah, the FOX/AP one looks better for Dems than the CNN one does, especially the Warnock/Loeffler race.

[musicblind]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?

[Catalunya]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Safe R > Safe D

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Regarding long lines as long as someone is in line (lol) by 7PM they are allowed to vote. I wouldn't classify that is extending hours though.

[KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸]

My final prediction before polls close is that Perdue wins by 1 point and Loeffler wins by less than a point. Gut says Lean R, but that might be indigestion.

[ProgressiveModerate]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Another thing is that these exit polls use full numbers. Going from 64.4 to 62.5 is much more meaningful than say a drop from 63.5 to 63.4, but I guess we'll never truly know.

[Adam Griffin]

Yep, the past 2 hours of this thread is right on Atlas schedule!

[MillennialModerate]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?

63% of the electorate is a group that’s decisively Republican (which is a reversal from traditional trends)

[wbrocks67]

This looks almost exactly like November:

NBC/CNN

White evangelicals 66% no, 34% yes

67% no, 33% yes in November

[AGA]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Don't Democrats do better with voters without a college degree in this state due to the race divide?

[musicblind]

Regarding long lines as long as someone is in line (lol) by 7PM they are allowed to vote. I wouldn't classify that is extending hours though.

Thank you for the correction.

[Skill and Chance]

Watched Fox for a second to get their exits:

Direction of the Country? 36% right direction / 64% wrong direction

Worried about Perdue/Loeffler insider stock trading? 56% yes / 44% no

Most important issue?
Coronavirus 43%
Economy/Jobs 27%
Healthcare 8%
Racism 8%

Perdue’s support of Trump? 44% too much, 9% too little, 47% right amount
Loeffler’s support of Trump? 47% too much, 9% too little, 44% right amount

Ossoff trust worthy & honest: 50/50
Perdue trust worthy & honest: 46/54

Warnock trust worthy & honest: 52/48
Loeffler trust worthy & honest: 44/56

Trump’s handling of 2020 election results: 44% approve / 56% disapprove
Raffensberger’s handling of 2020 election results: 59% approve / 41% disapprove

Confident votes were counted accurately in 2020 election? 62% yes / 38% no

Didn't know Fox/AP was doing exit polls for tonight. They are typically better than the Edison ones that CNN, NBC, et al. use.

If accurate, this suggests either Warnock/Perdue or Warnock/Recount.

[Gracile]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Don't Democrats do better with voters without a college degree in this state due to the race divide?

Yeah, there's a sizable number of minorities without college degrees here.

[wbrocks67]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?

63% of the electorate is a group that’s decisively Republican (which is a reversal from traditional trends)

Not true. Voters of color, no degree went for Biden 80-19 and made up 25% of the electorate in November. Again, STOP.

[wbrocks67]

Sure, ignore turnout in Dem counties and only mention R counties. Sure!

https://twitter.com/brianros1/status/1346604250584018944

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?

63% of the electorate is a group that’s decisively Republican (which is a reversal from traditional trends)

Non-college educated voters in Georgia were only Trump +9 in November.

[lfromnj]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Don't Democrats do better with voters without a college degree in this state due to the race divide?

They don't do better than voters with a degree although there is less of a gap.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Ok I'm just going to leave this thread till 7:00 at this point.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?

It's a "Don't analyze exit polls for a few more hours and wait until we get actual votes" sign

[bilaps]

If i'm a Dem i would be very careful with higher turnout on election day EVERYWHERE. I remember some of you hyping miami dade numbers on election day.

[wbrocks67]

CNN/NBC exits: less liberal, but more moderate electorate

November: 22% liberal, 38% moderate, 40% conservative
January: 18% liberal, 43% moderate, 39% conservative

[musicblind]

I just heard that CNN has a county named Gilmer. My uncle's name was Gilmer, and I've never seen that name anywhere else until now. Given how his death went down, hearing that name called out was... uncomfortable.

[ajc0918]

Fulton has EDay at 70k today versus 59k in November