Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 263788 times)
pantsaregood
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« Reply #2700 on: January 05, 2021, 05:24:55 PM »

This is going to suck. And by suck I mean really suck

Can we start a poorly aging quote train for you like the one Woodbury had? You really deserve it.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #2701 on: January 05, 2021, 05:25:16 PM »



Is Cherokee County rural? I was under the impression it was mostly suburban.

Houston isn't really rural, either. It's small-city.

Yeah I’m from there... we’re definitely not a rural county. We’re conservative, yeah, but Biden performed pretty well there.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2702 on: January 05, 2021, 05:25:34 PM »

The anecdotal turnout reports (for whatever they're worth) are all pretty good for the Rs now. Earlier this morning they were pretty mixed.

Dekalb County?

the highest turnout is in the Republican corner (Dunwoody) which follows what's happening statewide

Dunwoody was like Biden +20 this year.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2703 on: January 05, 2021, 05:26:36 PM »

The anecdotal turnout reports (for whatever they're worth) are all pretty good for the Rs now. Earlier this morning they were pretty mixed.

Dekalb County?

the highest turnout is in the Republican corner (Dunwoody) which follows what's happening statewide

Dunwoody was like Biden +20 this year.

So by the standards of DeKalb, it's pretty Republican. Which is to say it's like the warmest part of Alaska.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2704 on: January 05, 2021, 05:26:48 PM »



Is Cherokee County rural? I was under the impression it was mostly suburban.

Houston isn't really rural, either. It's small-city.

Yeah I’m from there... we’re definitely not a rural county. We’re conservative, yeah, but Biden performed pretty well there.

I remember the late updates from Houston being pretty brutal for Trump.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2705 on: January 05, 2021, 05:27:33 PM »

Under 30 share smaller than November in the early exits
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #2706 on: January 05, 2021, 05:27:37 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Those racial numbers look almost identical to the general election.

The concerning number is the age number for Democrats. The age gap among whites in the South is gigantic and younger white voters are critical for the math to work. Granted on the other hand, how many angry boomer suburbanites are voting their anger on Trump and vote Democrat as a result.
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musicblind
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« Reply #2707 on: January 05, 2021, 05:27:51 PM »

56%-41% think November was fair  - CNN Exit poll

95% of Dems thought it was fair
76% of Republicans think it wasn't.

Not to be a doomer, but those numbers aren't particularly GREAT for us (Dems).

That said, early exit polls leaned way right on election day before making a sharp correction.

I don’t see why this would be bad

Because while a majority think it was fair, that belief does not split evenly along party lines. I didn't see those results were a definite defeat for the Democratic Party tonight; I said they weren't great (in all caps) for the Democratic Party.

Great would have been something to indicate a solid, nearly guaranteed, win.

I also pointed out that early exit polls in November skewed way farther right than the actual results, and so these numbers should be taken with a grain of salt.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2708 on: January 05, 2021, 05:28:23 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Is that ELECTION day or combine with early vote?

If combine with early vote it’s over early.

If it’s Election Day isn’t that ...really good for Dems?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2709 on: January 05, 2021, 05:28:56 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Those racial numbers look almost identical to the general election.

The concerning number is the age number for Democrats. The age gap among whites in the South is gigantic and younger white voters are critical for the math to work. Granted on the other hand, how many angry boomer suburbanites are voting their anger on Trump and vote Democrat as a result.

The partisan breakdown is also GOP +1, DEM +2, Indy -3 compared to November. Agreed the age is concerning, but the other numbers look fine.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2710 on: January 05, 2021, 05:30:07 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Is that ELECTION day or combine with early vote?

If combine with early vote it’s over early.

If it’s Election Day isn’t that ...really good for Dems?

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musicblind
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« Reply #2711 on: January 05, 2021, 05:30:11 PM »

The anecdotal turnout reports (for whatever they're worth) are all pretty good for the Rs now. Earlier this morning they were pretty mixed.

Dekalb County?

the highest turnout is in the Republican corner (Dunwoody) which follows what's happening statewide

Dunwoody was like Biden +20 this year.

So by the standards of DeKalb, it's pretty Republican. Which is to say it's like the warmest part of Alaska.

Imma steal that idiom you just used.
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Buzz
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« Reply #2712 on: January 05, 2021, 05:30:39 PM »

The boomers came out today lmaooo
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2713 on: January 05, 2021, 05:31:10 PM »

Holy shìt. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fûcking fùck is Perdue losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fücking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Perdue to continue to be senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fúcking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Georgia?Huh This is so fûcked.
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« Reply #2714 on: January 05, 2021, 05:31:19 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Is that ELECTION day or combine with early vote?

If combine with early vote it’s over early.

If it’s Election Day isn’t that ...really good for Dems?



so that means the exit poll is just Election Day?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2715 on: January 05, 2021, 05:31:34 PM »

Wait, so are the exit polls for simply the ED vote, or for all of the vote? If it's the former, Perdue and Loeffler are toast.
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« Reply #2716 on: January 05, 2021, 05:31:54 PM »

Holy shìt. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fûcking fùck is Perdue losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fücking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Perdue to continue to be senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fúcking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Georgia?Huh This is so fûcked.

take a Xanax
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SLA8
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« Reply #2717 on: January 05, 2021, 05:31:59 PM »

confusion
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #2718 on: January 05, 2021, 05:32:18 PM »

This is going to suck. And by suck I mean really suck

Can we start a poorly aging quote train for you like the one Woodbury had? You really deserve it.

We get it. I was relentless about Georgia in November and was wrong by a hair.

This is much much much different ballgame.

Name a (reasonable) number... Venmo wager.

Tonight’s not happening. The cult will prevail, evil over decency wins tonight I’m afraid
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2719 on: January 05, 2021, 05:32:46 PM »

Holy shìt. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fûcking fùck is Perdue losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fücking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Perdue to continue to be senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fúcking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Georgia?Huh This is so fûcked.

take a Xanax

It's an old copypasta, variations have been posted here a bunch of times.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2720 on: January 05, 2021, 05:32:51 PM »


Similar gender breakdown on gender

62% White, 29% Black 5% Latino 2% Asian 2% Other.

13% 18-29
23% 30-44
38% 45-64
25% 65 +

39% GOP 36% Dem 25% Indy

Is that ELECTION day or combine with early vote?

If combine with early vote it’s over early.

If it’s Election Day isn’t that ...really good for Dems?



so that means the exit poll is just Election Day?

No it's everything, but that means that the Election Day vote only dropped the black % by 2 points.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #2721 on: January 05, 2021, 05:33:06 PM »

This is going to suck. And by suck I mean really suck

Can we start a poorly aging quote train for you like the one Woodbury had? You really deserve it.

We get it. I was relentless about Georgia in November and was wrong by a hair.

This is much much much different ballgame.

Name a (reasonable) number... Venmo wager.

Tonight’s not happening. The cult will prevail, evil over decency wins tonight I’m afraid

afraid based on what?
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roxas11
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« Reply #2722 on: January 05, 2021, 05:33:44 PM »

Wait, so are the exit polls for simply the ED vote, or for all of the vote? If it's the former, Perdue and Loeffler are toast.
 


they really need to clear this up
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musicblind
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« Reply #2723 on: January 05, 2021, 05:33:56 PM »

Holy shìt. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fûcking fùck is Perdue losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fücking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Perdue to continue to be senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fúcking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Georgia?Huh This is so fûcked.

This meme is tired. Tongue
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #2724 on: January 05, 2021, 05:33:59 PM »

Falling for the red mirage again are we?
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