CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/xenocryptsite/status/1327671899078471680

[2016]

My House Projection is 226 D / 209 R +/2 Seats

So it could be 226-209, it could also be 224-211!

[Torie]

The article that I reviewed that gave me more numbers than I had before to digest did not say that Oswego had finished its count, but its turnout vis a vis 2018 is already anomalously high as compared to other counties so I am going to assume its finished for the moment.  So far, instead of Brindisi being behind 0.49% (the tie figure), he is up 0.25% (well a tad less if Oswego is a slightly larger share of the pie in 2020 as compared to 2018). In what is left in Oneida, whatever it is (whether its turnout percentage increase is normal for the CD or substantially varies ala Oswego I have no idea), Tenney needs a better split than what has come over the transom so far in Oneida since it is the biggest slice of the CD pie. Advantage Brindisi, but not yet callable by any means. Tenney really cleaned up in Oswego, her best improvement over 2018 so far. Maybe the northern part of the CD will show her a lot more love than the southern part. Not all counties here are swinging the same.

I suspect this is what the back room gnomes are doing when they pontificate. I might as well join the club!

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327687760568864771

[bandg]

NY-22 is going to come down to the wire. After looking at the numbers, I may go against the grain a little bit and say that Tenney is still very slightly favored. A lot depends on if the currently reported Oneida absentee numbers include Utica or not, anyone happen to know?

[2016]

Cisneros has officially conceded to Young Kim

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1327444908920033281

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

[Xing]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

[VAR]

DMP actually outran Biden by about 2 in FL-26.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

NJ-07 is just getting ridiculous. Seems like even Wildstein doesn't have much of an idea as to how many ballots are left, where they're coming from or whether they're provisional or mail. Some people were pissed at Murphy for mandating an all-VBM election, and looks like it was with good reason.

[Torie]

NY-22 is going to come down to the wire. After looking at the numbers, I may go against the grain a little bit and say that Tenney is still very slightly favored. A lot depends on if the currently reported Oneida absentee numbers include Utica or not, anyone happen to know?

That is probably the single most important question.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

DMP actually outran Biden by about 2 in FL-26.

Just makes Shalala's loss even more annoying. That seat should not have been competitive.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/JRosenblattTV/status/1327718886477803520

Decent overall result in Oswego on absentees for Brindisi (2024-1053, Brindisi+31), possibly they'll add a few hundred more though.

edit: noticed about 100 more in Cortland that went 74-16 in Brindisi

Districtwide:

Tenney 148217 (51.8%)
Brindisi 138857 (48.5%)

9360 votes separate the two

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

which Tom?

[n1240]

Switching my opinion on NJ-07 again because it seems like provisional ballots in other counties in the state aren't breaking as strongly Republican as I would've imagined (Hunterdon is the only county in the district reporting provisionals and they have a 10 point R skew). Race seems like a tossup now, depends on whether or not the late late mail is more favorable for Malinowski or not, which there seems to have been signals of in the counts yesterday.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

which Tom?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

which Tom?

I'm keen on Malinowski winning, or at least hoping he does.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

which Tom?

I'm keen on Malinowski winning, or at least hoping he does.

I see what you did there, I think. But Kean is actually pronounced Cane.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1327708710752428033

As someone who lived abroad, I can attest that Americans overseas tend to be overwhelmingly liberal.

Overall, I definitely agree, though it depends to a certain extent what part of the world they're living in.

Either way, NJ-07 looks like it could be decided by less than 100 votes.

I’m confident Tom’s winning this.

which Tom?

I'm keen on Malinowski winning, or at least hoping he does.

I see what you did there. But Kean is actually pronounced Cane.

Great, so now we can bring up Kean and Abel. Thank you Joisey!

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1327772377262931970

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1327773704973996033

[wbrocks67]

Switching my opinion on NJ-07 again because it seems like provisional ballots in other counties in the state aren't breaking as strongly Republican as I would've imagined (Hunterdon is the only county in the district reporting provisionals and they have a 10 point R skew). Race seems like a tossup now, depends on whether or not the late late mail is more favorable for Malinowski or not, which there seems to have been signals of in the counts yesterday.

This is the same thing that happened in CO and i wonder if it will start happening in CA. Late Late ballots trended Dem

First ballots counted: strong Dem
Middle ballots counted: strong R
Late ballots counted: lean/strong Dem

[SPQR]

SC-1 ended up being very close.
Cunningham down by less than 1%, 50.4-49.6