2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Adam Griffin]

How come UOCAVA lean Biden; is it case of overseas citizens & officers cancelling out the assumed pro-Trump margin among enlisted troops?

Biden's going to net another thousand or so out of Clayton.

The only place left where Trump could possibly net with mail ballots is Floyd - and he'll net approximately 10 votes from there max.

Of the rest, there's about 5500 mail ballots in Cobb and Gwinnett (65-70% D) and 2500 in Laurens and Taylor (60% D). That'll net Biden another 2k.

Provisionals - if following historical patterns - will net Biden another 5k.

UOCAVA ballots should lean in Biden's direction (I'd bet on 60% D). So another 2-4k net for Biden there.

Biden's going to win Georgia by 10,000 votes or more when everything is said and done.

Yep. Military will likely be pro-Trump but not by as much as in other states (see: black voters), and will be a minority of the total UOCAVA vote in all likelihood.

Just as an example, we got a Forsyth County UOCAVA dump several hours ago and it was 67% Biden.

[Sir Mohamed]

Its happening.gif

Trump's collapse in the Atlanta suburbs/metro was pretty devastating.


Cobb: Clinton +2 => Biden +16 (14 point swing)
Gwinnett: Clinton +6 => Biden +18 (12 point swing)
Henry: Clinton +4 => Biden +20 (16 point swing)
Rockdale: Clinton +26 => Biden +41 (15 point swing)
Newton: Clinton +2 => Biden +11 (9 point swing)
Douglas: Clinton +10 = Biden +25  (15 point swing)
Fulton: Clinton +41 => Biden +47 (6 point swing)
Dekalb: Clinton +63 => Biden +67 (4 point swing)
Fayette: Trump +19 => Trump +7 (12 point swing)
Forsyth: Trump +47 => Trump +33 (14 point swing)
Cherokee: Trump +49 => Trump +39 (10 point swing)

Sad!

Very unfair!

Thank you, Georgia, very cool. WORKING HARD!

[Dr. Frankenstein]

Georgia is the future.

I’d say GA and NC. I’m still really disappointed that Biden couldn’t win NC as well.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Welcome to the SUNBELT STACK Georgia.

[DaleCooper]

Where can we see the estimates of whatever is left to be counted (or received) in Georgia?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Sorry Beto. I still love ya, but I think Stacy Abrams just won herself that Employee of the Month parking spot at the White House (or DNC headquarters)

[Alben Barkley]

Bill Clinton was totally right to ship Elian Gonzalez back to Cuba

Oh god, oh f--k, I just can't help myself, can I?

I should be happier than I have ever been due to blue Georgia, yet for whatever reason, all my pent up rage about red Florida is now coming out. Forgive me for I know not what I do.

[Tender Branson]

Time for PA to come out with the final dumps and the KISS of DEATH for Trump.

[Bootes Void]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

[Blair]

Sorry Beto. I still love ya, but I think Stacy Abrams just won herself that Employee of the Month parking spot at the White House (or DNC headquarters)

Funny I was just about to post how everyone on Atlas hated on Stacy Abrams (including myself!) while praising Beto for his Texas campaign... very glad that Biden's campaign ignored Beto's request for a visit & went to Georgia instead.

[Alben Barkley]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Virginia was the Confederate capital!

[Tender Branson]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Wasn't VA also a Confederate one ?

[Benjamin Frank]

How come UOCAVA lean Biden; is it case of overseas citizens & officers cancelling out the assumed pro-Trump margin among enlisted troops?

Biden's going to net another thousand or so out of Clayton.

The only place left where Trump could possibly net with mail ballots is Floyd - and he'll net approximately 10 votes from there max.

Of the rest, there's about 5500 mail ballots in Cobb and Gwinnett (65-70% D) and 2500 in Laurens and Taylor (60% D). That'll net Biden another 2k.

Provisionals - if following historical patterns - will net Biden another 5k.

UOCAVA ballots should lean in Biden's direction (I'd bet on 60% D). So another 2-4k net for Biden there.

Biden's going to win Georgia by 10,000 votes or more when everything is said and done.

Yep. Military will likely be pro-Trump but not by as much as in other states (see: black voters), and will be a minority of the total UOCAVA vote in all likelihood.

Just as an example, we got a Forsyth County UOCAVA dump several hours ago and it was 67% Biden.

If the provisional votes are all from election day in person voters, they'd likely heavily favor Trump though.  Still, the mail in votes that need to be 'cured' might even that out somewhat.

[MillennialModerate]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Virginia

[Inmate Trump]

Now we just need AZ and PA to definitely come through so we can get that 306-232 map.  That would be such sweet poetic justice to a man who has caused an American nightmare from the man who will wake us up from it.

[jamestroll]

Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think Trump would have won the state by a narrow margin (15k votes or so) if he had done as well as Kemp in rural/small-town GA (especially in the North and Southeast), right? There were clearly some Kemp/Biden voters.

Yes lol. I do believe Georgia will be trending Democratic going forward

[Bootes Void]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Virginia

Oh ok got it

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Biden up 1096 in GA now.

[Sir Mohamed]

I dunno whether it's more joyful to watch the walls closing in on Mr. Trump bit by bit rather than just having him blown away on election night. This may be more joyful in retrospect. A death by a thousand cuts is definitely something. The Trump collapse is happening right before our eyes, and the orange fascist shows true colors what a horrible human being he is.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Wasn't VA also a Confederate one ?

VA was long considered THE headquarters of the Confederacy.  Its location allowed it to sit pretty much right at the crossroads of the Confederate and Union states.  

[Alben Barkley]

Is Georgia the only Confederate state to go Biden?

Virginia

LOL, my man, you're still here.

I have to admire the balls it takes to show your face around here after all you've said. It takes some modicum of courage at least.

[Adam Griffin]

How come UOCAVA lean Biden; is it case of overseas citizens & officers cancelling out the assumed pro-Trump margin among enlisted troops?

Biden's going to net another thousand or so out of Clayton.

The only place left where Trump could possibly net with mail ballots is Floyd - and he'll net approximately 10 votes from there max.

Of the rest, there's about 5500 mail ballots in Cobb and Gwinnett (65-70% D) and 2500 in Laurens and Taylor (60% D). That'll net Biden another 2k.

Provisionals - if following historical patterns - will net Biden another 5k.

UOCAVA ballots should lean in Biden's direction (I'd bet on 60% D). So another 2-4k net for Biden there.

Biden's going to win Georgia by 10,000 votes or more when everything is said and done.

Yep. Military will likely be pro-Trump but not by as much as in other states (see: black voters), and will be a minority of the total UOCAVA vote in all likelihood.

Just as an example, we got a Forsyth County UOCAVA dump several hours ago and it was 67% Biden.

If the provisional votes are all from election day in person voters, they'd likely heavily favor Trump though.  Still, the mail in votes that need to be 'cured' might even that out somewhat.

Provisional votes in GA are always 65-75% D, because they're very heavily concentrated in urban areas.

[Rand]

Biden up 1096 in GA now.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Sorry Beto. I still love ya, but I think Stacy Abrams just won herself that Employee of the Month parking spot at the White House (or DNC headquarters)

Funny I was just about to post how everyone on Atlas hated on Stacy Abrams (including myself!) while praising Beto for his Texas campaign... very glad that Biden's campaign ignored Beto's request for a visit & went to Georgia instead.

I gotta admit that I didn't know much about her GA outreach as I did Betos outreach in TX. I would've easily said he was doing a superior job as soon as 5 PM PST on Tuesday. I'm just ecstatic at what she helped flourish after the heartbreaking Dem performance every which way in Texas.

Also, I found a lot of the negativity towards her during the VP search very unfair. I'm glad she's completely turned that around in the last 72 hours.

[Benjamin Frank]

I dunno whether it's more joyful to watch the walls closing in on Mr. Trump bit by bit rather than just having him blown away on election night. This may be more joyful in retrospect. A death by a thousand cuts is definitely something. The Trump collapse is happening right before our eyes, and the orange fascist shows true colors what a horrible human being he is.

Never forget though that Trump has 70 million+ voters who love him all the more every time he shows his true fascist colors.

For instance, fuzzy.