2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 650798 times)
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RandomInternetUser
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« Reply #12250 on: November 05, 2020, 09:08:14 PM »
Night night doomers Cool
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #12251 on: November 05, 2020, 09:08:37 PM »

I assume 48,000.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #12252 on: November 05, 2020, 09:08:47 PM »
why are some people saying Trump hit 59% in that Maricopa batch but others say 56%...
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #12253 on: November 05, 2020, 09:08:58 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 05, 2020, 09:07:38 PM


Didn’t he only get 57%
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n1240
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« Reply #12254 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:02 PM »


Assuming Arizona is counting chronologically, we're down to the 200k latest ballots received in Maricopa. The remaining vote is just not going to be as friendly as the last three batches in the county for Trump.
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politics_king
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« Reply #12255 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:17 PM »



ME AS WELL!!! TAKE IT!!
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Nyvin
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« Reply #12256 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:35 PM »

48k
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MikeIrvine
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« Reply #12257 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:43 PM »
Also super cool that this would be the first time the EC results from the outcome (minus faithless) would be identical in back to back elections
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #12258 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:48 PM »
Updates from GA, AZ and PA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,257 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.2%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 2,497 (99% counted)

Of the remaining ~30,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 16,249 of them - (54.2%)

PA - Biden down by 48,854 (94.5% counted)

Of the remaining ~350,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~199,500 of them - (57.0%)

The ratios of late votes coming in are roughly:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  55.0%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  57.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  75.0%)

The last clump from GA was 9:1 in Biden's favour.

In AZ, Biden is slowly losing ground, but should hang on unless Trump gets some large numbers in his favour.

The required rate of only 57% in PA makes Biden an almost certainty if he keeps getting 75% of the incoming ballots.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #12259 on: November 05, 2020, 09:09:52 PM »
Quote from: EJ24 on November 05, 2020, 09:07:28 PM
Biden has more than enough to win GA right now in my opinion. Clayton breaking about 88-12 for Joe right now.

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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #12260 on: November 05, 2020, 09:10:18 PM »

I’ve always said I want to be proven wrong.  Nothing would please me more.
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Rand
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« Reply #12261 on: November 05, 2020, 09:10:47 PM »
*dips two fingers into the lotion, rotates fingers in a circular motion teasing the lotion*
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EJ24
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« Reply #12262 on: November 05, 2020, 09:11:19 PM »
MillenialModerate in shambles.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #12263 on: November 05, 2020, 09:11:47 PM »
Has anyone called GA-Sen as runoff?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #12264 on: November 05, 2020, 09:11:54 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 05, 2020, 09:09:52 PM
Quote from: EJ24 on November 05, 2020, 09:07:28 PM
Biden has more than enough to win GA right now in my opinion. Clayton breaking about 88-12 for Joe right now.


Jonesboro Joe!
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #12265 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:01 PM »
The new AZ totals seem consistent with the batch being 57-43 to me.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #12266 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:12 PM »

NBC did, I think.
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #12267 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:17 PM »

Like Everybody
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #12268 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:19 PM »

I think nbc did.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #12269 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:21 PM »

I think NBC or MSNBC might’ve
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #12270 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:25 PM »
Chances of Biden being projected the winner of the presidency tonight?
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EJ24
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« Reply #12271 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:36 PM »
Quote from: Trends are MORE than real on November 05, 2020, 09:12:01 PM
The new AZ totals seem consistent with the batch being 57-43 to me.

Yeah Kornacki can't math.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #12272 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:54 PM »

MSNBC.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #12273 on: November 05, 2020, 09:12:59 PM »
Quote from: Trends are MORE than real on November 05, 2020, 09:12:01 PM
The new AZ totals seem consistent with the batch being 57-43 to me.
The later batches aren't going to be as Trump friendly as a poster mentioned above. Lot more indies
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #12274 on: November 05, 2020, 09:13:11 PM »
In AZ, how many ballots are left in each county?
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