2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 624917 times)
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
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« Reply #5525 on: November 04, 2020, 06:24:12 AM »

It will be immensely frustrating if Biden clinches in WI and MI only to lose in NV.

Well doesn't AZ pad us in that scenario?
No, Trump can win without MI or WI if he carries NV, GA and PA.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #5526 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:07 AM »

That's a rather big if.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #5527 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:11 AM »

Morning y’all. Based on what I’ve gathered these past 5 minutes on Twitter and here it seems while it will take a while all the remaining states NV/MI/WIS/PENN/GE should be going for Biden just based on what’s left outstanding?
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Jens
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« Reply #5528 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:15 AM »

People, please: you're all grown boys/girls and I'm not going to tell you what to do.  But if you're feeling sleep-deprived or physically ill, I implore you to take a break and get some rest.  

I know it's stressful beyond belief, but please please consider your health first.  
You are right. I am in Denmark and haven't slept all night, only rested for a couple of hours where I couldn't fall asleep. It's midday on wednesday here now and thursday and friday are going to be BRUTAL days on work (partially because I took today off). Yet I cannot sleep right now. It's in the middle of the day and I REALLY need to get some work done from home or it'll bite me hard in the a$$.

I'll hit the bed really f***ing early tonight though. I'm thinking 8 pm. Need to get up at 5:30 am both thursday and friday.
Få noget søvn 😉 Get some sleep. The Americans are slow at counting 😜
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5529 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:18 AM »

It's pretty crazy to see the white swing. Biden made major inroads in CO, AZ, MN, ME, NJ, etc compared to 2020.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #5530 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:22 AM »

It will be immensely frustrating if Biden clinches in WI and MI only to lose in NV.

Well doesn't AZ pad us in that scenario?
Not really. Without NV, Biden needs PA or GA in addition to WI and MI.
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n1240
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« Reply #5531 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:07 AM »

FYI - Wayne County would still only be 54% reporting after this update.

Their precincts reporting count is weird and is definitely not right but there are probably at least 100k absentees outstanding + some eday vote. Could milk out 200-250k more total votes out of Wayne.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #5532 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:13 AM »

Infact, just writing this nonsense is therapeutic, so bare with me. :-)

That's some very intense therapy! Smiley
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5533 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:33 AM »

Morning y’all. Based on what I’ve gathered these past 5 minutes on Twitter and here it seems while it will take a while all the remaining states NV/MI/WIS/PENN/GE should be going for Biden just based on what’s left outstanding?

I’d say he’s at least narrowly favored in all of them, yes. And definitely favored to win enough to get past 270.
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Pick Up the Phone
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« Reply #5534 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:38 AM »

Do people here really expect Trump to win NV? Seems pretty unlikely.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #5535 on: November 04, 2020, 06:27:19 AM »

No more results from NV until 11am EST Thursday.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5536 on: November 04, 2020, 06:27:59 AM »

I'm more shocked about the house races tbh. It's almost as if the blue wave of 2018 didn't happen - where did all of those voters go? It's like they were mad and put Dems in charge and then totally reversed.

Or even Graham winning by 12 and Trump winning in South Carolina *more* than 2016? Like how?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #5537 on: November 04, 2020, 06:28:08 AM »

Okay I'm headed to sleep until 11 EST.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #5538 on: November 04, 2020, 06:28:14 AM »

Morning y’all. Based on what I’ve gathered these past 5 minutes on Twitter and here it seems while it will take a while all the remaining states NV/MI/WIS/PENN/GE should be going for Biden just based on what’s left outstanding?
Should be going to him, yes.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5539 on: November 04, 2020, 06:28:16 AM »

Do people here really expect Trump to win NV? Seems pretty unlikely.

It would depend on the late mail-in vote being WAY more red, and much/most of it is in Clark. So yeah, pretty unlikely.
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ibagli
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« Reply #5540 on: November 04, 2020, 06:28:54 AM »

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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5541 on: November 04, 2020, 06:29:04 AM »

No more results from NV until 11am EST Thursday.

I really hope Biden wins GA so we don’t have to depend on it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5542 on: November 04, 2020, 06:29:43 AM »

No more results from NV until 11am EST Thursday.

This is unacceptable. There's no excuse to just not keep counting when sh**t is on the line like this.
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philly09
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« Reply #5543 on: November 04, 2020, 06:29:51 AM »

Do you think AZ will be called back like Florida in 2000? Just curious.
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Platypus
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« Reply #5544 on: November 04, 2020, 06:30:38 AM »

Maine senate is looking better than it was, hard not to consider it a tossup (again) now, right?
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Horus
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« Reply #5545 on: November 04, 2020, 06:30:45 AM »

I'm more shocked about the house races tbh. It's almost as if the blue wave of 2018 didn't happen - where did all of those voters go? It's like they were mad and put Dems in charge and then totally reversed.

Or even Graham winning by 12 and Trump winning in South Carolina *more* than 2016? Like how?

I feel like rural black voters shifted R a lot more than urban/suburban black voters but gonna have to wait until precinct level maps are out to see. Myrtle Beach and Hilton Head are gaining lots of white olds who did not trend Biden as much as expected. Also Greenville-Spartanburg is a popular destination for those who want to move to the south but are also conservative, very different from Atlanta or Charlotte.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5546 on: November 04, 2020, 06:30:51 AM »

It would truly be something if Biden won GA but he got good swings from the suburbs and in fast-growing places like AZ, and still was +3% from 2016, so it's going to be very close. But it would be really nice if they could end all of this for us.
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SPQR
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« Reply #5547 on: November 04, 2020, 06:31:16 AM »

From what the Philly City Commissioner is saying on CNN, I am starting to get slightly worried about both the city and the State.

Also, the city is now 350,000 - 105,000 with around 56%in
2016: 584,000 - 108,000
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Badger
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« Reply #5548 on: November 04, 2020, 06:31:26 AM »

No more results from NV until 11am EST Thursday.

Oh ffs
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5549 on: November 04, 2020, 06:31:45 AM »

Do you think AZ will be called back like Florida in 2000? Just curious.

The AP called it though even after the Fox "retraction" drama? Don't know why it's now showing up on their map. Trump would have to make up ~100K votes ... how much is left there?
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