2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 05:01:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 193 194 195 196 197 [198] 199 200 201 202 203 ... 818
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 642573 times)
Meclazine for Israel
Meclazine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,121
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4925 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:06 AM »

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME, VA
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown regardless.

Biden is almost certain to win Michigan.  Look at where the remaining vote is and the patterns between election day and early vote.  He makes up his current deficit with the outstanding vote from Wayne county alone.  I think this will also be true in WI and PA, though it will be closer there.

Thanks Nick.

If what you are saying is true, MI, WI and GA give Joe Biden a comfortable election win with an EC number of around 288.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,970


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4926 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:28 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.
Logged
forsythvoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 736


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4927 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:33 AM »

It actually seems like Biden's strategy of trying to play in both the Sunbelt (AZ + GA) and Rust Belt (WI, MI, PA) might have actually been the right strategy. If he wins, he will do so by winning at least 1 state in each region.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,521
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4928 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:44 AM »

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown unless this count gets organised quickly tomorrow.

Trump doesnt have PA and MI yet.

Yes he does

We can still stop the Dalek Invasion of Earth.

Still, this is way to close for comfort.

Logged
politics_king
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4929 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:52 AM »

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME, VA
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown regardless.

Biden is almost certain to win Michigan.  Look at where the remaining vote is and the patterns between election day and early vote.  He makes up his current deficit with the outstanding vote from Wayne county alone.  I think this will also be true in WI and PA, though it will be closer there.

Thanks Nick.

If what you are saying is true, MI, WI and GA give Joe Biden a comfortable election win with an EC number of around 288.

Don't tell GoTfan that. lol
Logged
H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4930 on: November 04, 2020, 03:01:24 AM »

Hey, 200 pages.
Logged
Kuumo
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,080


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4931 on: November 04, 2020, 03:01:35 AM »

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown unless this count gets organised quickly tomorrow.

Trump doesnt have PA and MI yet.

Yes he does

We can still stop the Dalek Invasion of Earth.

Still, this is way to close for comfort.



I see that you are a fellow Whovian.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,324


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4932 on: November 04, 2020, 03:01:50 AM »



Is this true
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,879


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4933 on: November 04, 2020, 03:01:58 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

How did Biden not run on a sunbelt strategy?
Logged
politics_king
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4934 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:03 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

Demographics are changing and the Democrats need to stop running old white men and women on the ticket.
Logged
Hnv1
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,527


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4935 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:17 AM »

What the hell happened in the Rio Grande area?!

third parties under 2%

Logged
GoTfan
GoTfan21
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,814
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4936 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:28 AM »

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME, VA
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown regardless.

Biden is almost certain to win Michigan.  Look at where the remaining vote is and the patterns between election day and early vote.  He makes up his current deficit with the outstanding vote from Wayne county alone.  I think this will also be true in WI and PA, though it will be closer there.

Thanks Nick.

If what you are saying is true, MI, WI and GA give Joe Biden a comfortable election win with an EC number of around 288.

Don't tell GoTfan that. lol

What a shame he'll lose all three.
Logged
Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
Randall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,464
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4937 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:31 AM »

Psst. Nevada is within 3 points.
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4938 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:39 AM »

Didn't Fox say earlier that Biden is a favourite in Wisconsin?

Didn’t they say earlier that he was a favorite in Florida and Ohio?
no I was talking about somebody from the decision desk that Megyn Kelly tweeted about

The Fox decison desk did think Biden had the edge in WI, Trump the edge in GA and PA could be a mess that takes days to sort out. That was a few hours ago though.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,879


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4939 on: November 04, 2020, 03:02:53 AM »

What the hell happened in the Rio Grande area?!

third parties under 2%



Biden was weak with Hispanics.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4940 on: November 04, 2020, 03:03:05 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

Demographics are changing and the Democrats need to stop running old white men and women on the ticket.

Except Kamala Harris is not an old white woman. I'm now convinced that Biden made a mistake by selecting her as his running mate. He should have gone with Tammy Duckworth, Cory Booker, or Julian Castro.
Logged
musicblind
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 335
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4941 on: November 04, 2020, 03:03:05 AM »

I swear if the Supreme Court does what Trump says, we will have civil unrest.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,905
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4942 on: November 04, 2020, 03:03:14 AM »

What the hell happened in the Rio Grande area?!

third parties under 2%


Trump likely has some sort of appeal among Tejanos, for some reason.
No one saw it coming.
Logged
Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,490
Norway


P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4943 on: November 04, 2020, 03:03:42 AM »

Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,908


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4944 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:07 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

Demographics are changing and the Democrats need to stop running old white men and women on the ticket.

Except Kamala Harris is not an old white woman. I'm now convinced that Biden made a mistake by selecting her as his running mate. He should have gone with Tammy Duckworth, Cory Booker, or Julian Castro.
What was Kamala even supposed to add to the ticket?
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,349
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4945 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:17 AM »



Is this true
75% of the 1.4 million mail in votes that still need to be counted, not necessarily 75% of all the votes still needing to be counted.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,024
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4946 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:20 AM »

Well if Trump wins, he can claim victory over Pelosi botching the stimulus package which was held up deliberately by Pelosi for D's, you don't play with consumers money.

She still has a House but it's no good now without Senate and WH

She should lose the Speakership
Logged
Angasboy15
Rookie
**
Posts: 30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4947 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:33 AM »

whyy.org/ articles/poll-shows-fewer-than-one-third-of-pennsylvania-republican-voters-will-trust-mail-in-ballot-results/

If the true numbers are in this ballpark, Biden has every chance of winning Pennsylvania. The dooming from (Australians??) at the minute is quite unfounded.
Logged
politics_king
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4948 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:41 AM »

I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

Demographics are changing and the Democrats need to stop running old white men and women on the ticket.

Except Kamala Harris is not an old white woman. I'm now convinced that Biden made a mistake by selecting her as his running mate. He should have gone with Tammy Duckworth, Cory Booker, or Julian Castro.

I'm talking about the top of the ticket. The VP really doesn't matter if that proves anything.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,812
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4949 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:46 AM »


Las Vegas lags the rurals in reporting, and it's an all mail election so no obvious EV/ED split to benefit Trump in late returns.  Biden should still win it.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 193 194 195 196 197 [198] 199 200 201 202 203 ... 818  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.072 seconds with 8 queries.