2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630474 times)
Santander
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« Reply #4625 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:38 AM »
« edited: November 04, 2020, 01:44:56 AM by Santander »

How the F#CK do you look at the last four years, and especially this year, and say "yeah i want more of this"
Because you don't follow politics that much, and see the politicians and media you've hated and distrusted for years attacking Trump on a daily basis, and see that as a good thing. It's not about owning the libs, it's closer to, "If the elites don't like what he's doing, Trump must be doing a good job."
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RandomInternetUser
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« Reply #4626 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:49 AM »

How the F#CK do you look at the last four years, and especially this year, and say "yeah i want more of this"

Honestly, there are some things that we won't be able to understand even if we have the best empirical knowledge.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4627 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:07 AM »

Georgia is probably going to happen for Biden, but Wisconsin is looking rough.  
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4628 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:11 AM »


As expected. Peterson, Shalala, Mucrasel-Powell, Horn, Finkenauer, Torres-Small...all have lost reelection. And Cunningham looks like he is in trouble as well. How is Jared Golden faring?
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jfern
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« Reply #4629 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:17 AM »


Fox has only AK, NV, WI, MI, PA NC,ME-02, and GA uncalled for a while now.
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Angasboy15
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« Reply #4630 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:20 AM »

When is the big Milwaukee absentee drop happening? This would go a long way to calming my nerves.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #4631 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:22 AM »

i have heard alot of talk about Biden doing bad with Black Voters, but here is his share among the black vote by state(exit polls)

Mich:91%
Wis:93%
Pa: 92%
NC:91%
Ga:87%(surprise)
FL:89%
VA:90%
SC:89%(trump has 7%)
Al:90%
OH:91%

He did fine with black voters but much weaker among hispanics and middle aged voters

Turnout matters more than exact margin with blacks.
This wasnt a low turnout election by any means
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #4632 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:26 AM »


He was a loser when Schumer tipped the scales in the primary and he's a dumba$$ loser now for costing us the Senate cause he couldn't keep it in his pants.

?? Was there a sex scandal or something?  Sorry, I had no idea.  I have been really busy with work lately.  I thought he was leading by a lot in the polls.
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Pyro
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« Reply #4633 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:30 AM »

UGH. Kara Eastman lost. Thank you ticket splitters! And Brad Ashford can f**k off.

She's too good for Nebraska, anyway.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4634 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:22 AM »

So what do we think the popular voter is looking like?

I read on twitter Biden is outperforming Hillary by about 3 points, so a 5% win in the popular vote seems reasonable.
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jfern
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« Reply #4635 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:33 AM »

i have heard alot of talk about Biden doing bad with Black Voters, but here is his share among the black vote by state(exit polls)

Mich:91%
Wis:93%
Pa: 92%
NC:91%
Ga:87%(surprise)
FL:89%
VA:90%
SC:89%(trump has 7%)
Al:90%
OH:91%

He did fine with black voters but much weaker among hispanics and middle aged voters

Turnout matters more than exact margin with blacks.
This wasnt a low turnout election by any means

It's the relative turnout that matters.
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Storr
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« Reply #4636 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:38 AM »

Georgia is probably going to happen for Biden, but Wisconsin is looking rough.  
Only 41% of Milwaukee is in. Rurals look to be mostly in.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4637 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:44 AM »

When is the big Milwaukee absentee drop happening? This would go a long way to calming my nerves.

Around 5:00 AM, maybe a bit earlier.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #4638 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:55 AM »

CBS projects MN for Biden.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #4639 on: November 04, 2020, 01:43:58 AM »

Collin Peterson falls.


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Santander
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« Reply #4640 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:00 AM »

I turned off MSDNC hours ago. It was getting intolerable, sorry. Now that Tucker's gone to bed, I'm watching Fox and occasionally flipping to the Beeb.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #4641 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:05 AM »

How the F#CK do you look at the last four years, and especially this year, and say "yeah i want more of this"

Honestly, there are some things that we won't be able to understand even if we have the best empirical knowledge.

I've discovered this about humans. It's partly why I'm majoring in psychology.
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OBD
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« Reply #4642 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:08 AM »

COME ON GEORGIA

DO THE RIGHT THING FOR THE FIRST TIME LITERALLY EVER
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #4643 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:53 AM »

I think we're going to come up just short but hold onto the Senate.

For several hours tonight, I really thought Trump was going to pull it out for the first time in months.
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Pick Up the Phone
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« Reply #4644 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:04 AM »

118,000 votes to overcome in GA. Doesn’t look impossible.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #4645 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:14 AM »

Floyd and Columbia's counties are above 80% in GA. Also, Dougherty county is less than 50% reporting.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #4646 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:21 AM »

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #4647 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:29 AM »

How the F#CK do you look at the last four years, and especially this year, and say "yeah i want more of this"

take a look at the American education system and you have your answer.

This nation is irredeemable and I am ashamed to be a citizen anymore. I'll be leaving the country for grad school unless things look seriously different by then.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #4648 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:37 AM »

It’s looking more possible, but it will be tight in Georgia.
I expect North Carolina to also be recount territory.
I think Biden wins Wisconsin from what we are seeing (lol Atlas) and Pennsylvania will be tight. Michigan also is tight.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #4649 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:43 AM »

MSNBC was projecting a gain of 11 Dem seats in the House....so where are they?
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