2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 640701 times)
Rand
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« Reply #8475 on: November 04, 2020, 10:43:37 PM »


His lead is down to 31,000 in GA.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #8476 on: November 04, 2020, 10:43:51 PM »

Late in the game but I voted for Jorgensen. Can’t wait until we have a Republican candidate I feel good about supporting again.

What if it's Trump?
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Splash
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« Reply #8477 on: November 04, 2020, 10:44:21 PM »

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Storr
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« Reply #8478 on: November 04, 2020, 10:45:16 PM »


The duality of man.
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
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« Reply #8479 on: November 04, 2020, 10:45:29 PM »

Late in the game but I voted for Jorgensen. Can’t wait until we have a Republican candidate I feel good about supporting again.

Don't worry, the Republican Party will be back to nominating a warmongerer who doesn't much care about people dying from lack of healthcare before you know it. He won't tweet too much so you'll all love him.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8480 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:13 PM »



This the idiot that said Trump is only down 10k in AZ?
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Horsemask
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« Reply #8481 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:23 PM »

Heading out for the night.

Hope I wake up to something good.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #8482 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:29 PM »

How much longer until we know who wins? I'm getting stressed out.
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #8483 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:36 PM »

Manchin haters are ridiculous. He is the Democratic MVP for how much he votes with the party. You can't compare him Tammy Duckworth, you have to compare him to what his replacement would be in WV. When you game that out, he probably votes 40-50% more Democratic than his hypothetical replacement would. No other Democratic senator provides that value (maybe Tester could come close).
I really should make a Senator WAR chart. I’m pretty sure Manchin and Tester are obvious, but Baldwin and especially Brown are amazing too.
On the GOP side, Collins and Toomey definitely top the list.
Worst Dem is almost certainly Feinstein but Sinema may officially be below replacement if Arizona is trending as quick as it looks.
538 has something similar https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/ Tester/Jones/Manchin top of the class for the Ds. Sinema the worst.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #8484 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:38 PM »

Late in the game but I voted for Jorgensen. Can’t wait until we have a Republican candidate I feel good about supporting again.

Don't worry, the Republican Party will be back to nominating a warmongerer who doesn't much care about people dying from lack of healthcare before you know it. He won't tweet too much so you'll all love him.


Pls Hawley 2024!!!!
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philly09
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« Reply #8485 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:44 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.
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Storr
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« Reply #8486 on: November 04, 2020, 10:46:53 PM »



This the idiot that said Trump is only down 10k in AZ?
Yeeeeep.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8487 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:07 PM »

This would be such a weird goddamn map but I'd take it


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Ye We Can
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« Reply #8488 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:19 PM »

Late in the game but I voted for Jorgensen. Can’t wait until we have a Republican candidate I feel good about supporting again.

Don't worry, the Republican Party will be back to nominating a warmongerer who doesn't much care about people dying from lack of healthcare before you know it. He won't tweet too much so you'll all love him.



I too am confident we'll get a good nominee again
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philly09
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« Reply #8489 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:42 PM »

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BudgieForce
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« Reply #8490 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:55 PM »

Jon Ralston seems so hyped to announce Nevada's results tomorrow. I think that means they'll be good for Biden and agencies will call the state.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #8491 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:55 PM »



This is literally a Veep plot point.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #8492 on: November 04, 2020, 10:48:09 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.
Mostly VBM that recieved till Friday?
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OBD
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« Reply #8493 on: November 04, 2020, 10:48:20 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.
Wait, so there's a chance?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8494 on: November 04, 2020, 10:48:24 PM »

Manchin haters are ridiculous. He is the Democratic MVP for how much he votes with the party. You can't compare him Tammy Duckworth, you have to compare him to what his replacement would be in WV. When you game that out, he probably votes 40-50% more Democratic than his hypothetical replacement would. No other Democratic senator provides that value (maybe Tester could come close).
I really should make a Senator WAR chart. I’m pretty sure Manchin and Tester are obvious, but Baldwin and especially Brown are amazing too.
On the GOP side, Collins and Toomey definitely top the list.
Worst Dem is almost certainly Feinstein but Sinema may officially be below replacement if Arizona is trending as quick as it looks.

FiveThirtyEight already does this, though it's based on the 2016 election results: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #8495 on: November 04, 2020, 10:48:31 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.

Where are they from, what are they (in-person or mail-in), & what does this all mean for Biden/Cunningham's chances? Presumably nothing, given the current margins?
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n1240
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« Reply #8496 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:05 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.

Outstanding here means voters who requested a ballot but don't have a ballot return/in-person vote reported for them, so the amount of ballots that would get added is likely to be much lower.
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philly09
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« Reply #8497 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:13 PM »

116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.

Where are they from, what are they (in-person or mail-in), & what does this all mean for Biden/Cunningham's chances? Presumably nothing, given the current margins?

Mail ballots.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8498 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:40 PM »

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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #8499 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:41 PM »



This is literally a Veep plot point.

At this point, America would be much better run if we just lived in the Veep timeline.
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