2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 193087 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2150 on: October 29, 2020, 12:25:04 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Gary Peters on October 29, 2020, 12:04:35 PM
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Gary Peters on October 29, 2020, 10:31:37 AM
NYT/Siena (NC): Biden +3

Monmouth (FL): Biden +4

QPac (PA): Biden +9
QPac (FL): Biden +6
QPac (IA): Biden +2
QPac (OH): Tie

Doing well so far!

Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 29, 2020, 10:23:27 AM

NYT/Siena (NC): Biden +1

Monmouth (FL): Tie

Qpac (FL): Biden +2
Qpac (PA): Biden +4
Qpac (OH): Trump +2
Qpac (IA): Tie

Oh yeah, me....me too. 
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mark_twain
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« Reply #2151 on: October 29, 2020, 12:34:57 PM »
Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/


Fla.      
OCT 24-28, 2020
A+
Monmouth UniversityFla.      
OCT 24-28, 2020
A+
Monmouth University
509   LV   
Biden   
51%
Trump
45%

Biden   +6


509   LV   
Biden   
50%
Trump
46%
   
Biden   +4


Fla.      
OCT 24-28, 2020
A+
Monmouth University
509   
RV   
Biden   
50%
More
Biden   +5
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gf20202
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« Reply #2152 on: October 29, 2020, 12:54:58 PM »
Just ten minutes from these Q polls coming in. Can you feel the excitement?
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mark_twain
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« Reply #2153 on: October 29, 2020, 01:22:44 PM »
Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/


Pa.      
OCT 23-27, 2020
B+
Quinnipiac University
1,324   LV   
Biden   
51%
Trump
44%
   
Biden   +7

Ohio      
OCT 23-27, 2020
B+
Quinnipiac University
1,186   LV   
Biden   
48%
Trump
43%
   
Biden   +5

Iowa      
OCT 23-27, 2020
B+
Quinnipiac University
1,225   LV   
Biden   
46%
Trump   
47%

Trump   +1

Fla.      
OCT 23-27, 2020
B+
Quinnipiac University
1,324   LV   
Biden   
45%
Trump   
42%

Biden   +3
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mark_twain
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« Reply #2154 on: October 29, 2020, 01:26:12 PM »
Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/


N.C.      
OCT 20-26, 2020
A/B
University of Massachusetts Lowell
911   LV      Tie   
More      

EVEN

Texas      
OCT 20-26, 2020
A/B
University of Massachusetts Lowell
873   LV   
Biden   
47%
More   

Trump   +1
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2155 on: October 29, 2020, 01:27:37 PM »
Does anyone have news on when Selzer is releasing the Iowa polls. Thats supposedly the gold standard of Iowa
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soundchaser
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« Reply #2156 on: October 29, 2020, 01:30:09 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on October 29, 2020, 01:27:37 PM
Does anyone have news on when Selzer is releasing the Iowa polls. Thats supposedly the gold standard of Iowa

Should be Saturday evening, if precedent holds.
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Buzz
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« Reply #2157 on: October 29, 2020, 01:30:50 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 29, 2020, 10:20:30 AM
Predictions for polls today:

NYT (NC): Biden +3 (47-44)

Monmouth (FL): Biden +4 (50-46)

Quinnipiac (FL): Biden +6 (52-46)
Quinnipiac (PA): Biden +10 (54-44)
Quinnipiac (OH): Trump +1 (48-47)
Quinnipiac (IA): Biden +5 (51-46)
Nailed the first two but didn’t realize Quinnipiac was going to try and save themself from looking fraudulent at the last second.   Epic prediction fail on there numbers lol
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Buzz
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« Reply #2158 on: October 29, 2020, 01:31:48 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 29, 2020, 10:23:27 AM

We'll see whose predictions have been terrible lately...

NYT/Siena (NC): Biden +1

Monmouth (FL): Tie

Qpac (FL): Biden +2
Qpac (PA): Biden +4
Qpac (OH): Trump +2
Qpac (IA): Tie
I think we both should reevaluate our predictions going forward lol
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2159 on: October 29, 2020, 02:10:53 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 29, 2020, 01:30:50 PM
Quote from: Buzz on October 29, 2020, 10:20:30 AM
Predictions for polls today:

NYT (NC): Biden +3 (47-44)

Monmouth (FL): Biden +4 (50-46)

Quinnipiac (FL): Biden +6 (52-46)
Quinnipiac (PA): Biden +10 (54-44)
Quinnipiac (OH): Trump +1 (48-47)
Quinnipiac (IA): Biden +5 (51-46)
Nailed the first two but didn’t realize Quinnipiac was going to try and save themself from looking fraudulent at the last second.   Epic prediction fail on there numbers lol

If you flip Iowa and Ohio you would have been right.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #2160 on: October 29, 2020, 02:26:40 PM »
https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/523408-poll-trump-approval-reaches-48-percent

is this poll complete garbage?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2161 on: October 29, 2020, 02:28:10 PM »

Probably, but throw it in the average, which is still abysmal for Trump.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2162 on: October 29, 2020, 02:32:25 PM »

oh my god

Fifty percent of adults under the age of 35 approved of Trump's job as president,

throw this right in the flaming dumpster.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #2163 on: October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM »
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2164 on: October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM »
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.
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DKrol
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« Reply #2165 on: October 29, 2020, 03:25:59 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.

Aren't polls from Scott Rasmussen different from the Rasmussen Reports trash polls?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2166 on: October 29, 2020, 03:27:29 PM »
Quote from: DKrol on October 29, 2020, 03:25:59 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.

Aren't polls from Scott Rasmussen different from the Rasmussen Reports trash polls?

Yes, and they're significantly better.  They still seem to have a small R house effect, but nothing out of the ordinary.
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Buzz
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« Reply #2167 on: October 29, 2020, 03:43:25 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 29, 2020, 03:27:29 PM
Quote from: DKrol on October 29, 2020, 03:25:59 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.

Aren't polls from Scott Rasmussen different from the Rasmussen Reports trash polls?

Yes, and they're significantly better.  They still seem to have a small R house effect, but nothing out of the ordinary.
They are the RMG polls, correct?  They do seem fairly neutral.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2168 on: October 29, 2020, 03:45:41 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 29, 2020, 03:43:25 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 29, 2020, 03:27:29 PM
Quote from: DKrol on October 29, 2020, 03:25:59 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.

Aren't polls from Scott Rasmussen different from the Rasmussen Reports trash polls?

Yes, and they're significantly better.  They still seem to have a small R house effect, but nothing out of the ordinary.
They are the RMG polls, correct?  They do seem fairly neutral.

Correct.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2169 on: October 29, 2020, 03:55:00 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 29, 2020, 02:32:25 PM

oh my god

Fifty percent of adults under the age of 35 approved of Trump's job as president,

throw this right in the flaming dumpster.

Pro trump poll and online....

Yet they still have it +6 Biden hahaha
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #2170 on: October 29, 2020, 03:59:55 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 29, 2020, 03:19:49 PM
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 29, 2020, 02:51:15 PM


Who the f**k cares.
Calm down sir, these are RMG Research, not Rasmussen Reports like you might be thinking.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2171 on: October 30, 2020, 06:08:20 AM »
« Edited: October 30, 2020, 06:13:58 AM by Penn_Quaker_Girl »
So let's see: we have RMG dropping polls for Texas Senate* and MI today.  What else?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #2172 on: October 30, 2020, 06:10:26 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 30, 2020, 06:08:20 AM
So let's see: we have RMG dropping polls for Texas and MI today.  What else?

Didn't they just drop a Texas poll yesterday?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2173 on: October 30, 2020, 06:14:16 AM »
Quote from: Monstro Still Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 30, 2020, 06:10:26 AM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 30, 2020, 06:08:20 AM
So let's see: we have RMG dropping polls for Texas and MI today.  What else?

Didn't they just drop a Texas poll yesterday?

Whoops! I meant Texas senate!
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
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« Reply #2174 on: October 30, 2020, 10:29:03 AM »
Again, Trump is still popping some good numbers.


Not consistently good numbers for Trump but a stark improvement - I’m convinced we have a proper race on - Biden isn’t winning the election with more than +5% (which would still be compelling, but not nearly a blowout that was being predicted just a couple weeks ago).

And I’m still holding strong with a Trump re-election. The battle grounds are ever closer, and a pattern with presidential elections is that on Election Day, some people do indeed ‘come home’ for the incumbent.
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