2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 192811 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2100 on: October 28, 2020, 11:36:17 AM »
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

I think they usually release at 2pm Eastern time.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2101 on: October 28, 2020, 11:36:27 AM »
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

Usually they release at 11am EST but today they're late I guess
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redjohn
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« Reply #2102 on: October 28, 2020, 11:36:45 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2020, 11:36:17 AM
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

I think they usually release at 2pm Eastern time.

Great, so we'll have just enough time to react to Marquette once this hits.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2103 on: October 28, 2020, 11:37:04 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2020, 11:36:17 AM
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

I think they usually release at 2pm Eastern time.

that's Quinnipiac Smiley

who usually release on Wednesdays but they've been silent today so far Sad
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2104 on: October 28, 2020, 11:38:31 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 11:36:27 AM
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

Usually they release at 11am EST but today they're late I guess

Only time they tend to be late is if they unveil the poll on a news program.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2105 on: October 28, 2020, 11:43:34 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 28, 2020, 11:38:31 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 11:36:27 AM
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 11:36:00 AM
Do we know what time Monmouth is releasing?

Usually they release at 11am EST but today they're late I guess

Only time they tend to be late is if they unveil the poll on a news program.

True, I think when they used to unveil on CNN or MSNBC it was at 1 or 2pm EST
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ExSky
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« Reply #2106 on: October 28, 2020, 11:44:44 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 11:31:01 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 28, 2020, 11:25:54 AM

Welp, it's either gonna be like Biden +5 or Trump +5

I’m not quite sure a poll showing Trump winning GA by the amount he won by in 2016 is going to make hell break loose (other than this board). If it’s Biden up 5, it’s time to start saying your prayers if you’re the GOP because that means Senator Warnock and Senator Ossoff Incoming.  
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2107 on: October 28, 2020, 11:46:40 AM »
Quote from: ExSky on October 28, 2020, 11:44:44 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 11:31:01 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 28, 2020, 11:25:54 AM

Welp, it's either gonna be like Biden +5 or Trump +5

I’m not quite sure a poll showing Trump winning GA by the amount he won by in 2016 is going to make hell break loose (other than this board). If it’s Biden up 5, it’s time to start saying your prayers if you’re the GOP because that means Senator Warnock and Senator Ossoff Incoming.  

if Warnock is above 50...
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2108 on: October 28, 2020, 11:50:01 AM »
The last Monmouth poll of Georgia was conducted Sep 17-21.

They use that weird high turnout/low turnout model: https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_ga_092320.pdf/

Among registered voters they had Trump+1, and when they applied "high turnout" it was Trump+2 and with "low turnout" it was Trump+5
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VAR
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« Reply #2109 on: October 28, 2020, 11:50:38 AM »
Monmouth’s FL poll was released at 1 pm EST, so I guess this one’s going to be released at the same time.
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n1240
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« Reply #2110 on: October 28, 2020, 11:57:52 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 28, 2020, 11:50:38 AM
Monmouth’s FL poll was released at 1 pm EST, so I guess this one’s going to be released at the same time.

It's usually semi-random but I don't think they ever post beyond 1 pm - they always release at 11 am, 12 pm, or 1pm EST/EDT on the dot as far as I know.
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hyouzel the predictor
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« Reply #2111 on: October 28, 2020, 12:03:12 PM »
BIDEN UP 5 IN MONMOUTH POLL!!!! NUT
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #2112 on: October 28, 2020, 12:12:26 PM »
Doomers:
Incoming "Trump is down by 5 in GA" bump.
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Buzz
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« Reply #2113 on: October 28, 2020, 12:17:43 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 28, 2020, 08:27:23 AM
Marquette - WI: Biden +4
Monmouth - GA: Trump +5

PQG - your predictions have gotten atrocious the past few weeks.  Reverse psychology at its finest =)
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VAR
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« Reply #2114 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:17 PM »
Uh...where’s the Michigan poll?
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Splash
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« Reply #2115 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:51 PM »
It's past 1:00 PM, Nate! Where's my NYT/Siena Michigan poll?!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2116 on: October 28, 2020, 12:26:32 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 28, 2020, 12:17:43 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 28, 2020, 08:27:23 AM
Marquette - WI: Biden +4
Monmouth - GA: Trump +5

PQG - your predictions have gotten atrocious the past few weeks.  Reverse psychology at its finest =)

...I thought I was due....

*EDIT: Hey! My WI prediction was only off by one (sticks out tongue)
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2117 on: October 28, 2020, 01:05:55 PM »
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Holmes
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« Reply #2118 on: October 28, 2020, 01:14:02 PM »
A NYT/Siena poll with a small amount of undecideds? I’ll believe it when I see it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2119 on: October 28, 2020, 03:37:59 PM »
No Q-pac today? Sad
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2120 on: October 28, 2020, 07:49:29 PM »


Hopefully, we get governorship and statehood numbers.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2121 on: October 28, 2020, 08:40:16 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 06:12:00 AM
Quote from: philly09 on October 28, 2020, 05:57:46 AM


I could be totally wrong, but I feel like these polls with Biden "struggling" with nonwhites are off. Trump could do maybe a few % better with Latinos, but there are just as many polls showing Trump doing just as bad as 2016 with nonwhites, so I feel like this narrative may collapse come election day.

Yeah if Biden were really "struggling" Texas and Georgia would not be in play.

They had this in 2018 lol.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2122 on: October 28, 2020, 08:41:22 PM »
After North Carolina tomorrow, the last four Siena/NYT Polls in alphabetical order will be: Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2123 on: October 28, 2020, 11:38:15 PM »
We haven't had a good Ohio poll in forever. Nothing post covid or first debate...
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Buzz
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« Reply #2124 on: October 29, 2020, 12:08:59 AM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 28, 2020, 11:38:15 PM
We haven't had a good Ohio poll in forever. Nothing post covid or first debate...
fox news poll not good?
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