2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 187179 times)
Splash
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Posts: 1,044
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« on: September 21, 2020, 06:25:02 PM »

No DMR presidential poll results tonight either, I guess?
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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2020, 05:35:11 PM »



At first I read that tweet as "Joe Biden's up in MI/WI, Donald Trump in OH/PA" and my heart did a back-flip.
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Splash
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2020, 05:00:23 PM »

Are we getting a new national CNN poll soon? It looks like they just polled the question of if/when the Supreme Court vacancy should be filled.
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Splash
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2020, 07:27:55 PM »

I'm going to say Trump +3 in IA, and +1 in TX. Biden +1 in GA.
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Splash
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2020, 07:13:26 PM »

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Splash
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2020, 02:14:22 PM »

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Splash
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2020, 02:48:39 PM »

Looks like we'll get a Monmouth poll out of PA as well after the debate.

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Splash
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 05:11:10 PM »

These past couple days have been atrocious for Trump polling-wise. Biden leading in GA, giant lead in PA, big leads in WI+MI. Biden leading NE-02 by an impressive margin. Trump needs something major to save his sinking ship.
Maybe a second GOYA BUMP?

I don't know; I think a Biden hearing aid bump is more likely.
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Splash
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2020, 06:56:20 PM »

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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2020, 03:05:26 PM »

Sorry if this is a re-post:

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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2020, 03:17:53 PM »

It looks like we'll get new CNN national poll numbers soon. I think their last poll had Biden +8 if I recall correctly.

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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2020, 03:28:39 PM »

It looks like we'll get new CNN national poll numbers soon. I think their last poll had Biden +8 if I recall correctly.



Trump's approval was -12 then, so with a uniform swing we could see Biden+13

Trump was at -12.

Correct. I am going to guess that the new poll will show Biden +12.
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Splash
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2020, 09:20:53 PM »

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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2020, 09:31:52 PM »

I really wish Michigan had a gold standard pollster like Wisconsin has with Marquette or Iowa with Seltzer.

How dare you cast aspersions on EPIC-MRA, led by the infallible Bernie Porn! 
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Splash
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:51 PM »

It's past 1:00 PM, Nate! Where's my NYT/Siena Michigan poll?!
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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2020, 05:45:11 PM »

I forgot about this! It's been a long year...

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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2020, 06:13:39 PM »

So the Selzer Senate numbers were...not great. Any chance Biden is outpolling Greenfield here?

I mean, NYT/Siena showed split results when they last polled the state (Biden +3, Ernst +1) so it's possible.
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Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,044
United States


« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2020, 08:31:42 PM »

Silver is as scared as the rest of us. You know he’s out of a job if Trump wins again right? He’s trying to calm himself down but you can tell he’s terrified.

Nate Silver's mind right now:

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