2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 192870 times)
LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1675 on: October 13, 2020, 09:26:22 PM »
Tomorrow:

Reuters/Ipsos in a couple of states?
Alaska? (NYT/Siena)
Montana (MSU)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1676 on: October 14, 2020, 05:12:46 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 13, 2020, 09:26:22 PM
Tomorrow:

Reuters/Ipsos in a couple of states?
Alaska? (NYT/Siena)
Montana (MSU)


Would assume there is some type of Q-pac release since they usually do Wednesdays
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1677 on: October 14, 2020, 06:54:52 AM »
Really hoping we start getting some more high quality state and senate polls. ME-Sen needs another high quality poll pretty urgently, and more MT, AK, and SC polls will be nice. Even though NYT is polling AK-Sen, I'm pretty sure the poll will have like 20% undecided or smtg and be Sullivan 42-38, which isn't very helpful and a waste of a great poll. I want an AK-Sen poll from a firm that actually pushes people because thus far all the senate polls out of the state have too many undecides
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Zanas
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« Reply #1678 on: October 14, 2020, 07:26:53 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 14, 2020, 05:12:46 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 13, 2020, 09:26:22 PM
Tomorrow:

Reuters/Ipsos in a couple of states?
Alaska? (NYT/Siena)
Montana (MSU)


Would assume there is some type of Q-pac release since they usually do Wednesdays
Is Q-Pac the best pollster alive?
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Buzz
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« Reply #1679 on: October 14, 2020, 07:37:41 AM »
Quote from: Zanas on October 14, 2020, 07:26:53 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 14, 2020, 05:12:46 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 13, 2020, 09:26:22 PM
Tomorrow:

Reuters/Ipsos in a couple of states?
Alaska? (NYT/Siena)
Montana (MSU)


Would assume there is some type of Q-pac release since they usually do Wednesdays
Is Q-Pac the best pollster alive?
probably in the running for worst pollster the cycle. 
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1680 on: October 14, 2020, 08:23:41 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2020, 09:05:16 AM by Donald Trump’s Toupée »
So in the last week in the head to head polls we have the a spread of 12 point: Biden +5 (The Hill) to Biden +17 (Optimum),

Has there ever been an election with a 12 point spread 3 weeks before the General Election? I honestly dont know, either way it’s rare. If you believe these polls, I think you’re going to be very, very disappointed.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1681 on: October 14, 2020, 08:57:04 AM »
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Buzz
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« Reply #1682 on: October 14, 2020, 08:57:39 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 14, 2020, 08:57:04 AM

Biden +6 is the official prediction here
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1683 on: October 14, 2020, 08:58:03 AM »
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1684 on: October 14, 2020, 09:00:29 AM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 14, 2020, 08:23:41 AM
So in the last week in the head to head polls we have the a spread of 12 point: Biden +5 (The Hill) to Biden +12 (Optimum),

Has there ever been an election with a 12 point spread 3 weeks before the General Election? I honestly dont know, either way it’s rare. If you believe these polls, I think you’re going to be very, very disappointed.

This is good for poll accuracy.  It means they are not herding.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1685 on: October 14, 2020, 10:03:53 AM »
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Person Man
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« Reply #1686 on: October 14, 2020, 10:06:17 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 14, 2020, 10:03:53 AM

So he’s behind even in a poll that was to the right of 2016?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1687 on: October 14, 2020, 10:06:36 AM »
Georgia and JOEhio...
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VAR
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« Reply #1688 on: October 14, 2020, 10:10:22 AM »
Prediction:

GA: Trump +5
OH: Biden +6
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Horus
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« Reply #1689 on: October 14, 2020, 10:10:58 AM »
GA - Trump +3
OH - Trump +4
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1690 on: October 14, 2020, 10:11:44 AM »

Nah. Both will be within 2 points either way.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1691 on: October 14, 2020, 10:14:45 AM »
Prediction:

GA B+2
OH B+5
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1692 on: October 14, 2020, 10:16:55 AM »
GA: Biden+1
OH: Trump+2

GA-Sen: Purdue+2
GA-Sen-Special: Warnock+10
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1693 on: October 14, 2020, 10:18:21 AM »
QUINNIPIAC:

GA: Biden+5
OH: Biden+7
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1694 on: October 14, 2020, 10:23:56 AM »

Lmao god I wish
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1695 on: October 14, 2020, 10:24:45 AM »
GA: TIE

OH: Trump +2
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1696 on: October 14, 2020, 10:36:10 AM »
Oh dear god, not Q-Pac

Ohio: Biden +5
Georgia: Biden +8
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1697 on: October 14, 2020, 10:39:59 AM »
Given Quinnipiac's polling in the South thus far this year, I'll say

Georgia: Biden +5
Ohio: Biden +2
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1698 on: October 14, 2020, 10:51:36 AM »
For every Q-pac poll, you should subtract about 6 points from Biden.
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Buzz
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« Reply #1699 on: October 14, 2020, 10:55:55 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 14, 2020, 10:06:36 AM
Georgia and JOEhio...


Quinnipiac is high key garbage so my prediction is:

Georgia: Biden +4
Ohio: Biden +6
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