Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY  (Read 171344 times)
n1240
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« Reply #775 on: April 13, 2020, 05:49:19 PM »
Karofsky up 11% in new Kenosha update, 11191 votes for Karofsky and 8906 for Kelly total

Might be game over!
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Continential
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« Reply #776 on: April 13, 2020, 05:49:30 PM »
It's almost a 50-50 margin with 50.2-49.8 with 31% in.
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Sestak
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« Reply #777 on: April 13, 2020, 05:49:45 PM »
ok NOW Marathon done. Kelly +7, from Hagedorn +18 last year.
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redjohn
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« Reply #778 on: April 13, 2020, 05:50:36 PM »
It's Karofsky's race to lose. Can't wait for Madison to come pummeling in.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #779 on: April 13, 2020, 05:50:43 PM »
NOW marathon has finished counting, and DDHQ has imputed the correct numbers. This is the only county that has finished counting.

53.47% Kelly, 17672 votes: +1190 votes,

46.53% Karofsky, 15379 votes: +4109 Votes

Net swing of ~5.5% swing towards the liberals from 2019.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #780 on: April 13, 2020, 05:50:46 PM »
Rofsky took the lead.
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BRTD
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« Reply #781 on: April 13, 2020, 05:51:24 PM »
Quote from: TJ in Oregon on April 13, 2020, 05:48:29 PM
Quote from: giving birth to thunder on April 13, 2020, 05:40:31 PM
Quote from: TJ in Oregon on April 13, 2020, 05:39:14 PM
Karofsky looking ahead at this point: the part of Dane in is just outlying areas. None of Madison yet. The rurals look weak for Kelly also. Possible the smaller cities are earlier reporting than outlying towns.

Karofsky tied in Outagamie is concerning for Kelly, as are a number of things.
Or Kelly winning Marathon by only 3 points with 100% in.

I'm not seeing where it's 100% in. The Marathon County Clerk's office still is at 94%. But either way it looks bad for Kelly. He should be netting 5.3k votes there, not 2.2k.

https://www.co.marathon.wi.us/Departments/CountyClerk/Elections/Results.aspx
Apparently DDHQ is reporting wrong. But still, not good for Kelly.
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Sestak
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« Reply #782 on: April 13, 2020, 05:52:06 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on April 13, 2020, 05:49:19 PM
Karofsky up 11% in new Kenosha update, 11191 votes for Karofsky and 8906 for Kelly total

Might be game over!

I'm seeing Karofsky up 16 there - 15020 to 10652 per Kenosha website.

Considering that the county went for Hagedorn that's excellent.
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windjammer
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« Reply #783 on: April 13, 2020, 05:52:26 PM »
Looks like the republican establishment masterfully managed an election again!
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #784 on: April 13, 2020, 05:52:55 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on April 13, 2020, 05:50:43 PM
NOW marathon has finished counting, and DDHQ has imputed the correct numbers. This is the only county that has finished counting.

53.47% Kelly, 17672 votes: +1190 votes,

46.53% Karofsky, 15379 votes: +4109 Votes

Net swing of ~5.5% swing towards the liberals from 2019.

It's unlikely to matter, but the Marathon County Clerk's website has those same numbers but still thinks they're missing 6 precincts.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #785 on: April 13, 2020, 05:53:22 PM »
Karofsky is outperforming BALDWIN in Ozaukee...
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #786 on: April 13, 2020, 05:55:33 PM »
Quote from: #Bidemings2020 on April 13, 2020, 05:53:22 PM
Karofsky is outperforming BALDWIN in Ozaukee...
Same in rural, Obama/Trump Vernon (outperforming Obama infact!) with half in.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #787 on: April 13, 2020, 05:56:45 PM »
Madison starting to actually come in now.
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n1240
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« Reply #788 on: April 13, 2020, 05:57:10 PM »
Quote from: Ses on April 13, 2020, 05:52:06 PM
Quote from: n1240 on April 13, 2020, 05:49:19 PM
Karofsky up 11% in new Kenosha update, 11191 votes for Karofsky and 8906 for Kelly total

Might be game over!

I'm seeing Karofsky up 16 there - 15020 to 10652 per Kenosha website.

Considering that the county went for Hagedorn that's excellent.

They updated again since I posted, even worse for Kelly now, don't see a path for him at this point.
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BRTD
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« Reply #789 on: April 13, 2020, 05:58:35 PM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on April 13, 2020, 05:55:33 PM
Quote from: #Bidemings2020 on April 13, 2020, 05:53:22 PM
Karofsky is outperforming BALDWIN in Ozaukee...
Same in rural, Obama/Trump Vernon (outperforming Obama infact!) with half in.
Kelly's numbers are pretty anemic across the board really.
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Sestak
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« Reply #790 on: April 13, 2020, 06:00:21 PM »
supposedly Ozaukee is done and KAROFSKY CLEARED 44%.
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Sestak
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« Reply #791 on: April 13, 2020, 06:01:10 PM »
Karofsky is doing better in Ozaukee than Kelly is in Kenosha.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #792 on: April 13, 2020, 06:01:17 PM »
Quote from: Ses on April 13, 2020, 06:00:21 PM
supposedly Ozaukee is done and KAROFSKY CLEARED 44%.

Paging Trendz are real.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #793 on: April 13, 2020, 06:01:34 PM »
I think we can call this.
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redjohn
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« Reply #794 on: April 13, 2020, 06:01:39 PM »
Ozaukee's trends bode well for the future.
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Gracile
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« Reply #795 on: April 13, 2020, 06:01:55 PM »
Yeah, Karofsky's got this.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #796 on: April 13, 2020, 06:02:31 PM »

Yep, Karofsky wins. Final margin will be somewhere between +3 and +6.
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Sestak
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« Reply #797 on: April 13, 2020, 06:02:44 PM »
from the Kenosha county website Karofsky is at 58.5% there - which is higher than Obama 08.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #798 on: April 13, 2020, 06:03:22 PM »
Neubauer is ahead by 13000 votes with 56% of the precincts in for her Court of Appeals re-election! Absolutely amazing considering her district is absurdly blood red.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #799 on: April 13, 2020, 06:03:25 PM »
A Dem leading statewide in Wisconsin with only 25% in from Dane and 27% of MKE is extraordinary.
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