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June 09, 2024, 10:01:13 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 180688 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1825 on: March 26, 2024, 08:58:37 PM »
« edited: March 26, 2024, 10:11:17 PM by Vice President Christian Man »
The 2020 election if the vote share and percentage was swapped between college educated & non-college educated voters.

Original = Non-Collège Whites (R+38)/41% electorate; College Educated Whites (D+8)/31% electorate



The same map if it was shifted to the rl pv margin:
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,759
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

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« Reply #1826 on: March 29, 2024, 09:24:29 PM »
Expanding upon Liminal's work:

1860 deadlock:




1892 deadlock:



1912 deadlock:



1968 deadlock:

Not a single electoral vote lost for Humphrey in this scenario.
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BigVic
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« Reply #1827 on: March 31, 2024, 11:33:46 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2024, 02:30:56 AM by BigVic »
1992 deadlock. Perot-Gore administration.


1996 - Gore returns the Dems to the Oval Office after 20 long years


2000


2004


2008


2012
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1828 on: April 02, 2024, 04:52:32 PM »
Trump has a severe stroke shortly after naming his VP in August 2024:

2024:


2028:

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Liminal Trans Girl
Lawer
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« Reply #1829 on: April 02, 2024, 10:43:28 PM »
1832 Deadlock:
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1830 on: April 06, 2024, 04:00:54 PM »
The 2028 Presidential Election
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1831 on: April 07, 2024, 05:50:43 PM »


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BigVic
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« Reply #1832 on: April 15, 2024, 09:47:40 AM »
2016 but Johnson remembers Aleppo, makes it to the debates and creates history
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Agonized-Statism
Anarcho-Statism
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« Reply #1833 on: May 14, 2024, 08:47:37 PM »
2012

President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Fmr. Governor Andre Curtis (R-LA) / Senator Dwayne Byrne (R-AZ) ✓
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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E: -4.90, S: -4.17

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« Reply #1834 on: May 15, 2024, 12:36:33 AM »


In this scenario I inverted the margins of all demographics in 538's 2024 calculator, resulting in a 68-30 GOP landslide where Dems only win Vermont and Maine (excluding ME-2). I then shifted the overall margin to either D+52 or D+53, Ohio being the deciding state.

However the GOP still win the PV even if they lose Ohio and the election. At D+54, South Dakota flips, followed by NJ at D+55, NE statewide at D+59, Missouri at D+60, and that's around where Democrats would actually win the popular vote.
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MadmanMotley
Bmotley
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« Reply #1835 on: May 16, 2024, 03:04:37 PM »
2008 (Her Turn):


2012 (A Copycat League):



2016 (A Fresh Face):


2020 (WTF):
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BigVic
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« Reply #1836 on: May 24, 2024, 06:36:57 AM »
« Edited: June 07, 2024, 03:19:12 AM by BigVic »
2000 if RCP was  right



2004
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Canis
canis
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« Reply #1837 on: Today at 06:19:23 PM »

2024 Democratic Primary by margin it should be noted Biden was unopposed in Indiana and Alaska hence him getting 100% of the vote but a primary was still held.
The states with the largest protest votes besides NH where Biden wasn't on the ballot were
Hawaii, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Kentucky and South Dakota.
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