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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« on: January 25, 2019, 07:30:18 PM »

The old one hit the magic number. You know what to do.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2019, 12:31:54 AM »

The 2048 presidential election was the most competitive since 2028, after climate disasters in the early 2030s ushered in 14 years of single-party Democratic rule, only terminated by the Republicans retaking the House in 2046. Both parties attempted to build new coalitions in these elections. The Democratic Party, which had moved significantly to the left due to it's nearly unchallenged dominance of Washington (as the election of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as president in 2040 shows), was based in the urban areas and the ravaged coastal regions on the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. The Republican Party, attempting to rebuild, aimed to build a coalition of disenchanted suburban areas and traditionally conservative regions (i.e inland rurals). The Democrats, looking to build on Ocasio-Cortez's progressive legacy, nominated Illinois Governor Roberta Chang, who had enacted universal healthcare and basic income in Illinois. The Republicans turned to Senator Jaime Hernandez of Arizona, running on a moderate, business-friendly platform. In the first ever election where two women minorities were nominated by the major parties, Chang took an early lead, which was gradually whittled down by Hernandez. On Election Day, Chang led in national polls by 5 points, but Hernandez pulled out the win in a shocking upset, by returning the suburbs and coastal areas to the Republican party. Hernandez won by a narrow popular vote margin of 49.4% to 49%.

In the Senate, Democrats were highly vulnerable, defending 26 seats to the Republican's 7. While the GOP was disappointed in the Midwest, Virginia, and Texas, they won upsets in Ohio, Maine, and New Mexico to tie the Senate and take control.

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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2019, 08:31:16 PM »

LaFollette runs the second most successful third party in history

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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2019, 03:34:59 PM »

2018 Senate Elections if Kavanaugh was voted down and there was uncertainty as to whether Trump could get a nominee through before the new Senate was to be sworn in:

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WestVegeta
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2019, 05:15:10 PM »


Gov. George W. Bush (R-TX)/Fmr. Sen. John Danforth (R-MO): 278 EVs
Vice Pres. Al Gore (D-TN)/Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT): 260 EVs
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2019, 06:55:53 PM »



Wallace gets his peak of 7 percent, and Thurmond does his peak of 3-4 percent and wins the entire deep south
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WestVegeta
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« Reply #6 on: January 27, 2019, 10:45:25 PM »


Sen. Kamala Harris (Dem.-CA)/U.S. Rep. Ron Kind (Dem.-WI): 290 EVs
Pres. Donald J. Trump (Rep.-NY)/Vice Pres. Mike Pence (Rep.-IN): 248 EVs
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Grassroots
Grassr00ts
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2019, 12:03:30 AM »



Harris vs O'Rourke vs Biden

Biden wins in this scenario. Result can be changed by switching around 5 key states: Indiana, Nevada, South Carolina, New Mexico, and New York.
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NHI
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2019, 07:56:41 PM »

Harris: 54.1%
Warren: 41.7%
Other: 4.2%

Trump: 81.9%
Hogan: 14.5%
Other: 3.6%

Trump/Pence: 280 (44.7%)
Harris/O'Rouke: 258 (49.1%)
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: January 30, 2019, 10:29:25 AM »


Rep. Natasha Salazar (P–N.Y.) / Gov. Napoleon Sandridge (P–Colo.) – 50.8% ✔
Senator Elijah Haefner (S–Mo.) / Gen. Athena Andrade (S–Ariz.) – 48.0%
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #10 on: January 30, 2019, 10:34:07 AM »



1896 election, third parties only:

John Palmer/Simon Buckner (B. Dem): 42.57%, 213 EV
Joshua Levering/Hale Johnson (Prohibition): 41.52%, 226 EV*
Charles Matchett/Matthew Maguire (S. Labor): 11.50%, 0 EV
Charles E. Bentley/James H. Southgate (N. Prohibition): 4.41%, 8 EV
Other: 0.05%, 0 EV

*NV and UT did not have any third party votes, but knowing their fanatical hatred of the gold standard, they would not go for Palmer. NC was the tipping point state, going to Levering by 57 votes.  VA is close behind, going to Levering by 221 votes.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #11 on: January 30, 2019, 09:44:10 PM »

The 2028 Presidential Election: The Same Old Song and Dance



Governor Donald J. Trump Jr. (R-MT) / Senator Matthew Gaetz (R-FL): 278 Electoral Votes, 48.1% popular vote
Mayor Corey Johnson (D-NY) / Governor Maura Healey (D-MA): 260 Electoral Votes, 49.0% popular vote

(I changed the EV based on the predictions for apportionment)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #12 on: January 31, 2019, 04:26:59 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2019, 11:12:57 AM by Let Dogs Survive »

Some Elections @ 10 PM

1976



Carter/Mondale: 197 EV
Ford/Dole: 75 EV

1980



Reagan/Bush: 307 EV (WINNER)
Carter/Mondale: 21 EV


1988



George HW Bush/Quayle: 243 EV
Dukakis/Bentsen: 62 EV

1992



Bill Clinton/Al Gore: 239 EV
George HW Bush/Dan Quayle: 46 EV

1996





Bill Clinton/Al Gore: 275 EV [WINNER]

Bob Dole/Jack Kemp: 57 EV
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: January 31, 2019, 05:58:35 PM »

2018 Gubernatorial elections at 10:30 PM:

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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: January 31, 2019, 06:00:00 PM »

2018 Senate elections at 10:30 PM:

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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: February 01, 2019, 02:20:10 AM »

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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2019, 03:06:40 AM »

In my opinion, Trump's probably best mark

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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #17 on: February 18, 2019, 04:51:29 AM »


Is that based on 1912?
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2019, 07:34:12 PM »

1980

Jimmy Carter
241 electoral votes
29,267,080 popular votes (34%)


Ronald Reagan
168 electoral votes
28,637,976 popular votes (33%)


John Anderson
129 electoral votes
28,375,016 popular votes (33%)
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NHI
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« Reply #19 on: February 23, 2019, 10:00:39 AM »

Dem: Hart/Biden: 334 (52.9%)
Rep: Bush/Quayle: 204 (46.1%)


Rep: Dole/Powell: 430 (38.0%)
Ref: Tsongas/Brown: 91 (32.5%)
Dem: Hart/Biden: 17 (26.9%)

Dole/Powell: 270 (48.0%)
Ref: Clinton/Romney: 268 (49.7%)
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alancia
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« Reply #20 on: February 23, 2019, 12:42:23 PM »

2018 Senate (3.3% Swing towards the GOP)


58 Republicans

40 Democrats

2 Independents (Caucusing with Democrats)

R+7

2018 Governor's (3.3% Swing towards the GOP)


32 Republicans

18 Democrats

D+2

2018 House (3.3% Swing towards the GOP)


229 Republicans

205 Democrats

1 Tie (MI-11, both candidates at 48.5%)

D+11
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: February 23, 2019, 03:52:22 PM »

1980

Jimmy Carter
241 electoral votes
29,267,080 popular votes (34%)


Ronald Reagan
168 electoral votes
28,637,976 popular votes (33%)


John Anderson
129 electoral votes
28,375,016 popular votes (33%)

How did Anderson do so well
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #22 on: February 23, 2019, 04:43:56 PM »

Senate Swings from 2014-2018



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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #23 on: February 23, 2019, 05:22:24 PM »
« Edited: February 24, 2019, 03:45:46 AM by Let Dogs Survive »

2018 Senate (3.3 Swings towards Dems)

NOTE: AL is stand-in for MS-Special/IA is stand-in for MN Special



49 Democrats
49 Republicans
2 Independents (Caucusing with Democrats)

D+2 (D GAIN)

Closest & Tipping Point: Missouri

2018 Gubernatorial (3.3 Swing to Dems)



29 Democrats
21 Republicans

D+12 (D GAIN)

Closest: New Hampshire
Tipping Point: Iowa

2018 House Races (3.3% swing Dem)


https://drive.google.com/file/d/12ih_FGyivbIrCxGjQlOvrx2GH18QU9kv/view?usp=sharing

If it doesn't show...

270 Democrats
165 Republicans
1 Tie (VA-05, Cockburn and Riggleman at 50%)
1 TBD (NC-09)

D+76 (D-GAIN)
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: February 24, 2019, 01:53:04 PM »


I used the 1988 President Elect game (https://archive.org/details/msdos_President_Elect_-_1988_Edition_1987) to make a 1980 election were Reagan was the incumbent and then I said there would be like 20% inflation, 30% unemployment, with –5% GDP growth and a war less popular than "WWI, in Russia, in 1917" to make sure the third party would win states. I was hoping Anderson or Carter would win outright but I think I made the system glitch, and they all got exactly 1/3 of the vote  Tongue
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