2011 Canadian election maps
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Author Topic: 2011 Canadian election maps  (Read 61282 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #100 on: July 21, 2011, 11:45:13 AM »

Weird thing I just noticed:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_Northeast

How the hell did the Liberals get their best result since 1993??!! Won a fair number of polls - all in new suburban areas!

Calgary is becoming more and more Liberal. We are only 2 or 3 elections away before the Liberals win a seat here, and, are then able to hold on to it.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #101 on: July 21, 2011, 11:48:10 AM »

Weird thing I just noticed:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_Northeast

How the hell did the Liberals get their best result since 1993??!! Won a fair number of polls - all in new suburban areas!

Calgary is becoming more and more Liberal. We are only 2 or 3 elections away before the Liberals win a seat here, and, are then able to hold on to it.

Calgary is becoming more left wing. Look who their mayor is.
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DL
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« Reply #102 on: July 21, 2011, 12:21:28 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2011, 12:24:37 PM by DL »


Calgary is becoming more and more Liberal. We are only 2 or 3 elections away before the Liberals win a seat here, and, are then able to hold on to it.

Two or three elections from now - the Liberal party of Canada may not even exist anymore and the NDP might be the ones trying to make Calgary Northeast into the next Scarborough-Rouge River!

BTW: The London map makes it look like almost any change in boundaries in London is likely to create a second NDP target seat.
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Shilly
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« Reply #103 on: July 21, 2011, 12:29:42 PM »

A more fun one now.

Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #104 on: July 21, 2011, 12:37:47 PM »

Explanations from anyone who knows the place would be much appreciated.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #105 on: July 21, 2011, 01:31:16 PM »

I lived outside Moncton for a year.

The red bit in the bottom right corner is Dieppe, the french part of the city. The city itself is a bit Quebecish. The border is at the top of the long red bar. NDP support in this area would be partly local but could also partly be a carry-over from their good showing among francophones nationwide.

There is a river that cuts part of this riding. Note the heavy line where it turns into the thin line, and the solid blue polls south of there. This is Riverview. This small town is like something you might find in Alberta. Very right-wing, and the support for the Conservatives here is not surprising at all.

The remainder is Moncton itself. Moncton is surprisingly like Ontario in it's set up. If you were to walk around for an hour in Moncton, you'd think you were in an Ontario town.

The urban area is interesting in that the three work together. Moncton with 60K people and the other two with 20K each. Riverview is actually partly split into another riding.

The core oc the city is where you find all the red and orange, but clearly the city was won on it's newer (1980's and up) inner-burbs, which make up the blue patch on the west of the map.
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Krago
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« Reply #106 on: July 21, 2011, 09:09:44 PM »

Someone posted an invitation to this forum on rabble, and I think I have a new favourite website.  As I've often told my long-suffering wife: I don't smoke, drink, gamble or chase women; I just like to make election maps.

My background is in Statistics and GIS, and I have worked at Elections Ontario and for two provincial electoral boundaries commissions.  I have also helped create maps for CTV and the Toronto Star.

This is what I like to do for fun.  I've been waiting for Elections Canada to release their digital boundary files and poll-by-poll results like a kid on Christmas Eve.  In addition to the last four federal elections, I have also created colour-coded poll maps for all recent provincial elections except PEI, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Saskatchewan (and I'm working on that one).

Thanks for your comments about the maps that I've posted on rabble.  I agree that the riding boundaries need to be fixed, and I'll try making a set of non-pdf maps with poll boundaries instead of the StatsCan street network file.  Here's a sample (Toronto Centre):

(I just got an error that newbies can't post links.  You'll have to replace the ampersands with slashes, and copy and paste this into a web browser  --  https:&&sites.google.com&site&krago123&maps&TorontoCentre.png  )

Thanks for the invite, and keep cool!
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #107 on: July 21, 2011, 09:29:57 PM »

https://sites.google.com/site/krago123/maps/TorontoCentre.png

Do you have the southern edge of Tri-Spa? I'd like to see how the condos voted
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Krago
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« Reply #108 on: July 21, 2011, 10:31:27 PM »

Here you go (previous rules apply):

https:&&sites.google.com&site&krago124&maps&TrinitySpadinaS.png

I'm pretty sure all those orange circles along the waterfront represent Olivia Chow supporters, not dedicated socialists!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #109 on: July 21, 2011, 10:33:16 PM »

Someone posted an invitation to this forum on rabble, and I think I have a new favourite website.  As I've often told my long-suffering wife: I don't smoke, drink, gamble or chase women; I just like to make election maps.

My background is in Statistics and GIS, and I have worked at Elections Ontario and for two provincial electoral boundaries commissions.  I have also helped create maps for CTV and the Toronto Star.

This is what I like to do for fun.  I've been waiting for Elections Canada to release their digital boundary files and poll-by-poll results like a kid on Christmas Eve.  In addition to the last four federal elections, I have also created colour-coded poll maps for all recent provincial elections except PEI, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Saskatchewan (and I'm working on that one).

Thanks for your comments about the maps that I've posted on rabble.  I agree that the riding boundaries need to be fixed, and I'll try making a set of non-pdf maps with poll boundaries instead of the StatsCan street network file.  Here's a sample (Toronto Centre):

(I just got an error that newbies can't post links.  You'll have to replace the ampersands with slashes, and copy and paste this into a web browser  --  https:&&sites.google.com&site&krago123&maps&TorontoCentre.png  )

Thanks for the invite, and keep cool!

Hello Krago, that was I who invited you (under an alter alias). But anyways, welcome to the forum. I've been trying to organize Canadian election maps on my blog (see my signature).  I eventually want to make a Canadian version of this site.

Do you have a website of some sort?

You're incredibly lucky to have worked for Elections Ontario and to have helped with CTV and the Star. That's the kind of thing I would to do someday.

Anyways, welcome. Your maps are excellent. I thought we had the world beat with getting our election maps out, but we have a little competition. Smiley

Anyways, I hope you post some of your analysis, I think we can all learn something from what you know.

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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #110 on: July 21, 2011, 10:34:53 PM »

Oh, I guess this is your site: https://sites.google.com/site/krago123/ Tongue

Very nice! I shall add a link from my blog.
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Krago
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« Reply #111 on: July 21, 2011, 10:52:08 PM »

Very nice! I shall add a link from my blog.

Sorry, Hatman, but the 'website' is actually just a File Cabinet that I use to store my maps so I can link to them on the web.  I didn't realize that anyone could access them!

Once I get a 'real' website going, I'll definitely send you the link.  Thanks.
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Smid
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« Reply #112 on: July 21, 2011, 11:27:00 PM »

Someone posted an invitation to this forum on rabble, and I think I have a new favourite website.  As I've often told my long-suffering wife: I don't smoke, drink, gamble or chase women; I just like to make election maps.

My background is in Statistics and GIS, and I have worked at Elections Ontario and for two provincial electoral boundaries commissions.  I have also helped create maps for CTV and the Toronto Star.

This is what I like to do for fun.  I've been waiting for Elections Canada to release their digital boundary files and poll-by-poll results like a kid on Christmas Eve.  In addition to the last four federal elections, I have also created colour-coded poll maps for all recent provincial elections except PEI, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Saskatchewan (and I'm working on that one).

Thanks for your comments about the maps that I've posted on rabble.  I agree that the riding boundaries need to be fixed, and I'll try making a set of non-pdf maps with poll boundaries instead of the StatsCan street network file.  Here's a sample (Toronto Centre):



Thanks for the invite, and keep cool!

G'day mate! Welcome to the Forum!

Your maps are excellent! Reading what you've posted there as an introduction to yourself, I can see you'll feel right at home here!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #113 on: July 21, 2011, 11:39:34 PM »

Very nice! I shall add a link from my blog.

Sorry, Hatman, but the 'website' is actually just a File Cabinet that I use to store my maps so I can link to them on the web.  I didn't realize that anyone could access them!

Once I get a 'real' website going, I'll definitely send you the link.  Thanks.

Oh ok. I noticed you had some Manitoba provincial maps in there. Do you have the whole province? I'd like to see how some of the new ridings had voted.
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #114 on: July 22, 2011, 12:17:11 AM »

Good to see you here, Krago. You don't need to replace any slashes with ampersands: all you need to do is remove the http:// protocol and the link is deemed invalid.

sites.google.com/site/krago124/maps/TrinitySpadinaS.png

The best part is that the link will work on its own in most browsers!


I am working on a slightly different version of the Lower Mainland map. Instead of a map of the poll winners, I'm tracking party swing from the 2008 election to this one. Below is an early draft that includes most of the City of Vancouver; versions for other parties are available in my gallery.

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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #115 on: July 22, 2011, 12:22:52 AM »

Very good stuff, Foucaulf, but is there a reason why you didn't include Vancouver Kingsway?

The Conservative map is interesting, I wonder what's with the pink/red areas in Vancouver Centre?
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #116 on: July 22, 2011, 12:38:04 AM »

Very good stuff, Foucaulf, but is there a reason why you didn't include Vancouver Kingsway?

The Conservative map is interesting, I wonder what's with the pink/red areas in Vancouver Centre?

I was tired of pasting stats! Eventually I'll upload a map with at least every riding north of Surrey and east of Maple Ridge, but I wanted to get a preliminary reaction.

Interestingly enough, the Tories weren't swept out of the West End like the Liberals. The reddest parts include Granville Island, Mount Pleasant and the periphery of the Downtown Eastside. The entire area around False Creek has shifted away - maybe a demographic change? On the other hand, Yaletown and Gastown is moving with the Tories. Not that surprising given that both neighbourhoods is going through a new burst of high-rise developments.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #117 on: July 22, 2011, 12:49:02 AM »

Considering how many condos there are in Vancouver Centre, I'm surprised that the NDP manages to even do reasonably well.
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ottermax
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« Reply #118 on: July 22, 2011, 01:08:59 AM »

It really gives you some perspective when you see polls in downtown areas of Canadian cities that vote for the Conservative party and compare that to similar places in America. Seattle never has any precincts voting for the Republicans, nor do most other cities.... of course we don't have the crazy vote splitting that exists in Canada.

I wonder if this is because Canada is just more urban so conservative people are more likely to live in central urban areas, or if its purely because Canada's political system is so different from the US. I'm sure it's mostly the second cause, because Canada's politics are so much more related to income than in America. It seems like the NDP will have a difficult time winning old Liberal territory in some of these areas because it is so dependent on a lower income base (like North York, Peel, Vancouver, Calgary)
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #119 on: July 22, 2011, 01:13:25 AM »

If the Democrats were split into 2 parties, you would then see the GOP winning more urban precincts. I'm sure Seattle has condos... those people tend to not be socialists.
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Krago
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« Reply #120 on: July 22, 2011, 06:42:39 AM »


Oh ok. I noticed you had some Manitoba provincial maps in there. Do you have the whole province? I'd like to see how some of the new ridings had voted.

Here is a map of Winnipeg showing the new riding boundaries overlaid on the poll-by-poll results from the 2007 provincial election: sites.google.com/site/krago124/maps/Winnipeg2007.png

Are there any other areas you're interested in?
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adma
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« Reply #121 on: July 22, 2011, 06:57:39 AM »

And if today's Republicans were like the more moderate Republicans of half a century ago, they'd probably have a foothold in said condos...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #122 on: July 22, 2011, 07:02:50 AM »

Are there any other areas you're interested in?

Everywhere, obviously.
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Hash
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« Reply #123 on: July 22, 2011, 08:52:00 AM »

Are there any other areas you're interested in?

Hey, welcome to the forum. I was wondering if you could get some maps for Ahuntsic, Bourassa, Honore-Mercier, Richmond-Arthabaska, Bas Richelieu-etc and Haute-Gaspesie-La Mitis etc. Thanks!
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #124 on: July 22, 2011, 11:11:11 AM »

I don't smoke, drink, gamble or chase women; I just like to make election maps.


I've no idea who you are but that sounds very very promising. And we'll fix the part about the drinking yet. Welcome! Cheesy
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