2011 Canadian election maps (user search)
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  2011 Canadian election maps (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2011 Canadian election maps  (Read 63782 times)
adma
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« on: July 20, 2011, 08:22:39 PM »

eta: For what it's worth, it doesn't look like the Glendon campus went NDP.

Which is more a measure of the seat it's in (Don Valley West, where the NDP ran a de facto paper candidate) than anything.
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adma
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« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2011, 08:25:16 PM »

I spoke to Dan Harris (we go way back to our days in ONDY, was elected in Scarborough SW) at the NDP platform launch it must have been April 10thish, anyway at that point he was confident he could win... but SSW had no incumbant and a scandal around the tory candidate... plus this was Dan's i believe 8th run at office.

SSW *did* have an incumbent: Liberal Michelle Simson (who came third).  But SRR *didn't*; which surely factors into Rathika's win.
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adma
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2011, 06:57:39 AM »

And if today's Republicans were like the more moderate Republicans of half a century ago, they'd probably have a foothold in said condos...
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adma
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2011, 08:18:52 PM »

That town is Amherstview. I'm surprised it's not more Tory, as that area is Loyalist country (it's literally in Loyalist Twp).

Though Amherstview also has a bit of a working-class exurb thing going, which makes it the most naturally un-Tory part of its seat (Lanark et al)--and generally speaking, Loyalist country has been more Progressive Conservative, i.e. more germane to Chretien-Martin Liberalism in recent times...
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adma
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2011, 06:51:28 AM »

Hmm, that poll in Sydney had me thinking. We should try and compile all the polling irregularities we can find. From the look of that % change, it is clear that the NDP and the Greens were swapped.

Unless "Sydney" and "Sidney" got confused (cf. Vanc Island)
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adma
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2011, 08:57:03 PM »

The NDP would have won Westmount-Ville Marie if you took only election day polls, which might explain why Marc Garneau conceded defeat on election night only to retract it later as usually the advanced polls are the last to come in.  Also it was Westmount that saved him as the NDP came in third in Westmount behind the Tories. 

When it comes to strictly e-day, how many seats "voted differently", besides Sask-RB and West-VM?

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When it comes to St Kitts at large, it never had the collective reflected glory of the Swart/Kormos provincial NDP powerhouse machine, the way that Thorold and Welland and now Port Colborne has.  And the parts within Welland riding also happen to encompass some of St Kitts' toniest neighbourhoods, thus nullifying NDP reach except in a few spillover spots.  Otherwise, the most "NDP-natural" zone in St Catharines actually happens to be the south-of-the-QEW part of St Catharines riding, encompassing downtown as well as GM--but the riding at large is cancelled out by a historical lack of a strong, provincially/federally electable machine a la Welland; thus a lot of that vote's defaulted Liberal (notably Jim Bradley provincially) and elsewhere.  (North of the QEW, it's mostly postwar-middle-class-suburban tedium that tends to be fairly solidly Lib/Tory--or just plain Tory as of the last two fed elections--though there *could* be orange-umbrella grand-coalition possibility there.)
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