2011 Canadian election maps (user search)
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Author Topic: 2011 Canadian election maps  (Read 62592 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« on: July 19, 2011, 03:03:26 PM »

Toronto, as promised.



Right click for huge version.

Will you marry me?
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2011, 03:37:48 PM »

I took the map and added the old city boundaries on to it.




They are better visible at zoom in.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2011, 03:45:54 PM »

I find it really interesting that the NDP vote drops like a rock once you hit the York-North York border, even within the same ridings; and the same for the Liberal vote in the Toronto-North York border (witnesses where the old city "humps" up in the middle of the map.

Scarborough's vote is chaotic and seems to be ethnic at it's base, which is rare as I can't think of other places in Canada that vote ethnically outside of Montreal; and even then you'd have to consider the Quebecois an ethnicity, which I do not.

There is still a "tilted box" that goes from the Toronto Island to that huge island of Red in the northwest corner of the city. This follows a few rail lines up there. This has always, historically, been the hotbed of Liberal/NDP support, and always been opposed to voting Conservative for any period of time. I've always been curious exactly what makes this part of the city so... different. Old toronto poll maps will confirm this trend.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #3 on: July 20, 2011, 01:20:46 AM »

Daveport was always a possibility, but Rouge River came out of nowhere.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2011, 05:37:07 PM »

My buildings are official residences and are lumped in with the village, and some condo's down on Finch; it's the only poll in York that voted Liberal apparently.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2011, 04:58:14 AM »

I'm almost done my national map. Should be done tomorrow.

Any requests?
That quebec riding the NDP won on recount*
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2011, 11:09:12 AM »

Interesting how the NDP support dried up past a point in that Quebec riding.

I'm wondering if, when you are done, we could get a zoomed-out overview of that entire "blob" that the Conservatives won.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2011, 11:45:13 AM »

Weird thing I just noticed:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_Northeast

How the hell did the Liberals get their best result since 1993??!! Won a fair number of polls - all in new suburban areas!

Calgary is becoming more and more Liberal. We are only 2 or 3 elections away before the Liberals win a seat here, and, are then able to hold on to it.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2011, 01:31:16 PM »

I lived outside Moncton for a year.

The red bit in the bottom right corner is Dieppe, the french part of the city. The city itself is a bit Quebecish. The border is at the top of the long red bar. NDP support in this area would be partly local but could also partly be a carry-over from their good showing among francophones nationwide.

There is a river that cuts part of this riding. Note the heavy line where it turns into the thin line, and the solid blue polls south of there. This is Riverview. This small town is like something you might find in Alberta. Very right-wing, and the support for the Conservatives here is not surprising at all.

The remainder is Moncton itself. Moncton is surprisingly like Ontario in it's set up. If you were to walk around for an hour in Moncton, you'd think you were in an Ontario town.

The urban area is interesting in that the three work together. Moncton with 60K people and the other two with 20K each. Riverview is actually partly split into another riding.

The core oc the city is where you find all the red and orange, but clearly the city was won on it's newer (1980's and up) inner-burbs, which make up the blue patch on the west of the map.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2011, 09:29:57 PM »

https://sites.google.com/site/krago123/maps/TorontoCentre.png

Do you have the southern edge of Tri-Spa? I'd like to see how the condos voted
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2011, 12:56:24 PM »

Krago, adding tags like below:
Code:
[img]http://picture goes here[/img]
will allow you to put images in posts.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2011, 05:41:21 PM »

I discovered a problem with the website that hosts all of my maps - it has no security!  So I will have to shut it down until I get it fixed early next week.

My apologies to everyone.  Have a good weekend.

my offer via PM still stands as that'd allow you more security.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2011, 02:08:43 PM »

I already directly was responsible for brining krago's website down by pointing the same out to him as I'm about to, to you; but you do realize that there is a security hole in your results, right?
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2011, 12:53:06 AM »

Poll-by-poll maps for all of Atlantic Canada are now up....

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/

Obviously it's still very much a work in progress, but here's a taste for now.
I've been sneaking peaks at this for the past few days already Tongue

What's up with the Green win in Sydney?
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2011, 01:31:50 AM »

Labrador is interesting. Looks like the NDP could win Labrador West in the provincial election Smiley

Well, they did hold it before, but when the MHA in question is now in jail for corruption, I'm not sure how much of a sign that is. Smiley

Well, it was the 2nd best NDP riding in the 2007 election, so it's certainly one to watch.

I also checked out your Charlottetown map. Very interesting. Again, could mean something in the provincial election- but probably not. (NDP won the Downtown part of the city)
The "Downtown" area has always been somewhat NDP friendly. It's convincing voters that voting NDP is not a wasted ballot that's not so easy.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2011, 05:07:17 PM »

Due Date for Quebec?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2011, 05:25:45 PM »


The poll above is for PEI.
Quebec has no fixed elections law, so, the election is at the will of Jean Charest.

No

(The 506, what is your) Due Date for (the) Quebec (poll maps being finished)
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2011, 06:00:31 PM »

Tommy, I've been working on Newfoundland maps and wondering a bit of the same - I think 14 seats in St John's and surrounds, all represented federally by the NDP. Of course, most are provincially PC >75%, but there's likely potential there.

Regarding PEI, the NDP didn't run in half the seats, which deflates their figures somewhat. I have a spreadsheet with the votes (and votes by poll) on my computer. I could give you their vote just in seats where they ran in about twenty minutes. Won't be substantially higher - they didn't win any seats - but will be higher nonetheless.

The NDP has run island-wide in the past, and PEI does have poll-by-poll records (and the whole island has whut like 300 polls?) so transferring old elections to current would not be all that hard to do.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2011, 06:35:12 PM »

As someone who ran for the PEI NDP and sat on the executive, I can assure you that beyond slight increases in vote in "downtown and central" Charlottetown and Summerside, and the left-over vote bump in the O'Leary riding from Dr. Herb, that any other vote increases or decreases can be assigned to the local candidate.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2011, 11:41:09 PM »

Great thread to return to after a little while away from the forum (even though I seemed to have missed krago's maps). That Toronto map is really really interesting.

Perhaps the most surprising thing so far is the sharpness of the line between Vancouver South and Kingsway, which isn't that sharp of a divide either ethnically or economically, and doesn't have a straightforward strategic explanation. Just evidence of the impact of whether a party bothers to really contest a riding with a local GOTV effort, I guess.
Krago has not been seen since a moderator edited a black man's penis into someone's sig. I'm not sure he'll ever be back.
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2011, 04:26:26 AM »

Thank god, I was afraid we had lost you. The toxic BS usually stays away from this part of the forum, so as long as you stick to here you'll be fine!
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #21 on: July 30, 2011, 08:50:29 AM »

http://maps.google.ca/maps/ms?authuser=0&vps=2&hl=en&ie=UTF8&oe=UTF8&msa=0&msid=214668381355121949879.0004a91deb0f14e6216c2

"Strongholds" of non-NDP support in Quebec.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #22 on: July 31, 2011, 01:34:14 AM »

Don't forget the Libertarians.

or the PCP and UP for that matter
Logged
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #23 on: August 01, 2011, 06:22:54 PM »
« Edited: August 01, 2011, 06:26:14 PM by Teddy (SoFE) »

We have more than a dozen parties, if you are doing left VS right, and there are only 3 right-wing parties and 2 in the middle; I'd add the 2 in the middle to the right wing to try to balance it out Tongue




EDIT
another idea is to divide into 3 groups.

Left:
AAEVP
BQ
CAP
COM
FPNP
MJP
MLP
NDP
PRT
RNO

Centre:
GRN
LIB
PCP
UP

Right:
CHP
CPC
LBTR
WBP

And do a Right VS Centre&Left
then a Right&Centre VS Left
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -1.91

WWW
« Reply #24 on: August 01, 2011, 07:14:37 PM »

If that's what is being considered then I think I misunderstood his post.
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