Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I see the Atlas pendulum has begun to swing once again.

No, not Atlas, but there were 3-4 turnout experts, kinda claiming Safe D.

I'm just going to quote my post again:

It’ll be embarrassing for NSV if Youngkin wins after hours of NSV ejaculating all over the place over limited turnout reports

[Chips]

I would like to remind everyone that exit polls aren't always reliable. If these are the truth though then yes things would be looking pretty good for Youngkin.

[hyouzel the predictor]

We still don't know if these numbers are from just Election Day voters or all voters... if this is Election Day voters I am feeling pretty great about Terry's chances

They said on air they include vote by mail, in-person early vote and election day.

How can they know the proportions to weigh the sample by? We have no idea what percentage of the electorate voted in which way, so how can they claim to have a representative sample?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Fox poll was right. RIP.
https://twitter.com/usa_polling/status/1455645290648719361?s=21

Jesus f**king Christ.

[KaiserDave]

Are these exit polls same-day only?

[Ferguson97]

Are these exit polls same-day only?

[One Term Floridian]

I'm glad Atlas doesn't have a Needle like NYT. That thing would be going from Safe D to Lean D to Lean R to Safe R to Titanium R in the last hour alone...

[emailking]

Important to note, McAuliffe had similar numbers in 2013 and won.

[2016]

CNN EXIT POLL

73 % WHITE
17 % AA

That is (AA) down from 2020 POTUS and 2017 VA Race.

That's good News for Youngkin.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I would like to remind everyone that exit polls aren't always reliable. If these are the truth though then yes things would be looking pretty good for Youngkin.

They're not reliable at all. A random Atlas user could probably make up a more accurate exit poll.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

We still don't know if these numbers are from just Election Day voters or all voters... if this is Election Day voters I am feeling pretty great about Terry's chances

They said on air they include vote by mail, in-person early vote and election day.

How can they know the proportions to weigh the sample by? We have no idea what percentage of the electorate voted in which way, so how can they claim to have a representative sample?

Yes, it looks possible that balancing issues could have severely hampered this poll's numbers. We shall see in due time if it has.

[roxas11]

Important to note, McAuliffe had similar numbers in 2013 and won.

true I almost forgot about that

[Orwell]

TMAC BIG

[CookieDamage]

didn't we just have approval numbers that had both McAuliffe and Youngkin both around +1 to -1?

[Big Abraham]

I'm glad Atlas doesn't have a Needle like NYT. That thing would be going from Safe D to Lean D to Lean R to Safe R to Titanium R in the last hour alone...

Does the Times have a needle? I don't see it.

[lfromnj]

2020 Exit poll for mod/con/lib.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/virginia

[Umengus]

Just a reminder to not take the following seriously:
1) Incomplete turnout reports of only a select few counties
2) Exit polls

[roxas11]

I would like to remind everyone that exit polls aren't always reliable. If these are the truth though then yes things would be looking pretty good for Youngkin.

They're not reliable at all. A random Atlas user could probably make up a more accurate exit poll.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Important to note, McAuliffe had similar numbers in 2013 and won.

Source? But, yeah, the exit polls confirms the race is close/Lean R, not that Youngkin will win.

[Hope For A New Era]

Important to note, McAuliffe had similar numbers in 2013 and won.

Wait, really?

[Umengus]

I would like to remind everyone that exit polls aren't always reliable. If these are the truth though then yes things would be looking pretty good for Youngkin.

They're not reliable at all. A random Atlas user could probably make up a more accurate exit poll.

right but generaly, they favor democrats. not here.

[TodayJunior]

Did everyone get their THC of choice like I said to do???
It’s 5pm in the East. It can take up to two hours to kick in for me. Oh well. Carry on and have fun with it.

Last time I partook in the devil's lettuce my heart rate went to 195 and I almost went to hospital. So I'm sticking with a cup of tea tonight.

Oh no! Well just so you know I was half-way kidding. I’m also not a doctor so there’s that!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I'm glad Atlas doesn't have a Needle like NYT. That thing would be going from Safe D to Lean D to Lean R to Safe R to Titanium R in the last hour alone...

Does the Times have a needle? I don't see it.

Unfortunately not.

[One Term Floridian]

I'm glad Atlas doesn't have a Needle like NYT. That thing would be going from Safe D to Lean D to Lean R to Safe R to Titanium R in the last hour alone...

Does the Times have a needle? I don't see it.

I don't think they'll have it for this election tonight

[2016]

27 % of Voters are Senior Citizens in VA per CNN. Youth Vote only 9 %.