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Very Much No; really can't think of that many points of similarity at all.

Imagine if he gets convicted like 2 hours before this rally starts. I'm pretty sure he would remain free, but is he still going to go?? lol.

Edison Research has Twitter losing nearly a third of its American users between Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 (mostly in the late summer when the Twitter to X name change happened...hypothesis is a number of the more casual users literally didn't recognize the X app on their phone).

The pattern seems to be that the more casual users are drifting away while more hardcore posters continue to post steadily but with fewer and fewer people hearing what they're saying. Generally less impactful vs its heyday.

Slowly but surely a number of people who are big account holders with 500k followers will realize that only 300k of those are people who ever actually use Twitter anymore and their microphone is way weaker than they think it is.

Where are people who have left X going?

Hopefully out to breathe some fresh air.

It's not just building new homes that the government has interfered with, they've also essentially encouraged deadbeats to not pay their rent by making it impossible to evict them. They're also just making apartments worse for the rest of us to live in. It's harder to evict problem tenants who trash the place or make noise, and the government recognizes scams like "Emotional Support Animals" so it's even harder for leasing offices to keep filthy, noisy animals out of what used to be nice properties. Crap like this contributes to the declining quality of life in this country.

VOX, if anyone on the left still cares about them, I know how you are about canceling entities that don't toe the exact line you want, suddenly remembers that free speech is important

ROFLMAO

Between Elon Musk buying Twitter and universities crushing the protests, conservatives (and libertarians!!!) are really now having the last laugh in the "free speech" debate. You really don't hear "it's a private company, they can do whatever they want" or "freedom of speech doesn't mean freedom from consequences" from leftists these days.

I think plenty of people have said this about Twitter/X, specifically people who have voted with their feet and stopped using it. Twitter is still huge obviously but it has shrunk pretty dramatically and is an openly bleeding money wound with a lot of advertisers wanting nothing to do with it.

Twitter usage hasn't dropped dramatically, where are you getting that from? I see still it used just as much as before, just look at this thread (or really any thread in this forum).

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/mar/26/twitter-usage-in-us-fallen-by-a-fifth-since-elon-musks-takeover

No, and it's pretty clear the Catalan people don't either.

It's obviously close to the courthouse on a day he's in court. But still LOL. That's in the congressional district where the Republican nominee lost 97-3 in 2008.

Gain In DC is very fragile about Biden losing the election. He can't stand it, even when you tell him deep blue territory drifts to the right. bloody murder to him.

These are polls not votes like we are gonna believe these silly polls that Pred a Red wave in 22 and were wrong

Places like Dearborn and Hamtramack in MI were the only parts of the state to swing hard right from 2020 Pres --> 2022 Gov.

Which is to say that Trump has a track record of underperforming “generic R candidate” among these voters. Which is not a great sign that Trump will do great among this group in 2024.

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1791985932523938105

Why is NM Safe D? Also, I think NH is more likely to vote to the left of ME-AL than it is to the right of MN.

To be clear any state I think will be within 15, even if it’s 14.9 (this is roughly where I think KS ends up) gets the “likely” treatment from me

In that case, I think Safe D NJ is a little bit crazy.

Polls in all rust belt states show the race within the margin of error … so I don’t get you saying there is “no data” to back it up.

In that case why not call them toss-ups?

Also, there’s more to predicting an election then just polls, for example, fundamentals, fundraising, specials etc all favour Dems. I’m taking this into account

Is presidential approval rating not a “fundamental” now? How about voters’ opinions on the state of the economy?