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October 28, 2020, 06:04:36 PM

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 on: Today at 05:48:41 PM 
Started by Panda Express - Last post by TiltsAreUnderrated
Monmouth's release actually has likely voter model results for the runoffs, too:

Warnock 51%
Loeffler 45%

Warnock 52%
Collins 45%

For comparison:
Registered Voters
Warnock 49%
Loeffler 41%
No one/not vote 6%
Undecided 4%

Warnock 51%
Collins 39%
No one/not vote 7%
Undecided 4%

 on: Today at 05:47:59 PM 
Started by Ses - Last post by TrendsareUsuallyReal
Waste of money. I won't shed a tear when Cheri Bustos inevitably loses in 2022

King Mike will probably draw her a comfortably Dem seat with tentacles flying everywhere.

 on: Today at 05:47:48 PM 
Started by EJ24 - Last post by Single Issue Covid Voter
I’ve been going through the snap map recently to see some of the snaps in the Swing States.
I only have a few days of “data”, but here it is.
Caveat, the Demographics of Snapchat skew younger and seemingly more diverse, but then again, Trump cultists are the ones who will likely post the most. Take this all with a barrel of salt.

Trump=Pro-Trump snap      Biden=Pro-Biden snap      Vote=Voting/election related, no clear bias

FL-27 Trump 1  Vote 2
FL-25 Trump 2
FL-22 Vote 1
FL-20 Biden 4 Trump 2 Vote 1
FL-19 Trump 1 Biden 1. Vote 2
FL-18 Vote 1
FL-17 Trump 1
FL-13 Vote 2
FL-11 Trump 3 Vote 1
FL-10 Biden 1
FL-9 Vote 1
FL-7 Vote 1
FL-5 Biden 8 Trump 1
FL-3 Trump 2
FL-2 Trump 1 Vote 1

GA-1 Biden 2 Trump 2
GA-2 Vote 1
GA-3 Vote 2 Biden 2
GA-4 Biden 1 Vote 11
GA-6 Vote 1
GA-7 Biden 5 Vote 6
GA-8 Trump 1
GA-9 Trump 1
GA-10 Biden 2 Vote 1
GA-11 Vote 1
GA-12 Vote 2
GA-13 Vote 3
GA-14 Vote 2

North Carolina:
NC-1 Biden 1 Trump 2
NC-2 Vote 4 Biden 2
NC-4 Trump 7 Vote 2
NC-5 Trump 1
NC-6 Vote 2
NC-8 Trump 17
NC-12 Trump 1 Biden 1 Vote 1
NC-13 Vote 3 Trump 1

PA-1 Biden 11 Vote 3
PA-2 Trump 4 Vote 1
PA-3 Trump 12 Biden 3
PA-5 Biden 1 Trump 1 Vote 1
PA-6 Trump 1 Vote 1
PA-7 Trump 5 Biden 1 Vote 1
PA-8 Trump 2 Biden 1
PA-10 Trump 6
PA-11 Trump 3
PA-12 Trump 1
PA-13 Vote 1 Trump 1
PA-17 Trump 3

MI-14 Vote 1 Biden 1 Trump 1
MI-11 Biden 2 Vote 1
MI-8 Trump 1
MI-7 Vote 1
MI-4 Trump 1
MI-3 Trump 25 Vote 2

WI-1 Trump 1
WI-2 Vote 1
WI-4 Vote 2

MN-1 Vote 1
MN-5 Vote 2
MN-8 Trump 1

NE-02 Vote 3

AZ-7 2 Trump 1 Vote
AZ-6 Vote 2 Trump 2
AZ-5 Vote 3
AZ-4 Trump 1 Biden 1

NV-4 Biden 2

 on: Today at 05:47:48 PM 
Started by Ljube - Last post by Ljube
Crazy Europeans impose full lockdowns again.

France will go into a national lockdown starting Friday.

Germany orders closure of restaurants, bars, cinemas, and similar establishments.

They are never going to recover from this.

As for the United States, the Stock Market is in free fall and only Trump's victory can stop that collapse.
If Biden wins, the investors will realize a new lockdown is imminent and the only thing that can possibly stop the slide at that moment will be a new stimulus.

 on: Today at 05:47:35 PM 
Started by VARepublican - Last post by VARepublican

 on: Today at 05:47:28 PM 
Started by VARepublican - Last post by Electoral College Dropout
Toss-up. I think some ratings have been too bullish on Davis based on her fundraising without taking into account that politicians with "national" profiles like hers are going to raise a lot of out-of-state money that doesn't translate into votes.

 on: Today at 05:46:59 PM 
Started by Make Politics Boring Again - Last post by Alben Barkley
For Biden: CA, CT, DE, HI, IL, MA, MD, NJ, NY, OR, RI, VT, WA
For Trump: AL, AR, ID, IN, KY, LA, MS, MO, NE (minus NE-01 and NE-02), ND, OK, SD, TN, WV, WY

NE-01 isn't getting called on close but IN, MS, and MO are? Doubt it. All of those have the potential to be within single digits, likely closer than NE-01 regardless.

 on: Today at 05:46:57 PM 
Started by President Johnson - Last post by Skill and Chance
This is probably a case where one or more of the current members of the liberal bloc defects (probably Breyer, possibly Kagan or Sotomayor, but not both, and certainly not all three members of the bloc), rather than one more members of the conservative bloc going the other way.

I can't see most justices of both parties being fond of Congress or the Executive Branch meddling in the Court's independence (as weak as it is) in any way.

I'd expect a 7-2 decision (Breyer joins the conservative bloc.) striking down court packing.

It's extremely likely Breyer retires by next summer if Dems control the federal government.

 on: Today at 05:46:54 PM 
Started by Ses - Last post by RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Waste of money. I won't shed a tear when Cheri Bustos inevitably loses in 2022

 on: Today at 05:46:40 PM 
Started by LimoLiberal - Last post by wbrocks67
Yeah, the fact that the majority of the real polls we've gotten today were double digits, yet the national 538 average is still only +8.9 means they're giving more than a bit of weight to Ras, Spry, IBD, etc

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